Union Berlin vs Köln Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Matchday 32 in the Bundesliga will see an intriguing relegation battle played out in Berlin, as Union Berlin and Koln look for three crucial points to move away from danger. This match between the 13th-placed Iron Ones and the 14th-placed Billy Goats comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With 32 points (W8, D8, L15), Union started this round six points above the relegation zone, while Koln are right behind them with 31 points (W7, D10, L14) and closer to the drop zone.
The union has been sleepwalking their way towards danger with four defeats in their last five Bundesliga games (D1). That includes three in a row after losing 3-1 away at Leipzig last weekend. They can still confirm safety with a win here, although home form is of concern. The Iron Ones could win just one of their last seven Bundesliga matches in Berlin (D3, L3).
Koln lost 2-1 at home against Leverkusen last weekend, a result that ended their five-game unbeaten streak (W1, D4). All those games have seen both teams score goals, so entertainment has been a constant factor. Koln still struggle on the road, as they haven’t won any of their last 11 away Bundesliga outings (D5, L6), which casts concerns over their chances on this trip.
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Union Berlin v Köln Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.68 | 3.38 | 2.61 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.38 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.35 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.35 | 2.58 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Köln?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Köln match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Union Berlin and Köln in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.04% for a win of Union Berlin against Köln with odds of 2.72 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Köln is 34.44% with odds of 3.51 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Köln vs Union Berlin with odds of 2.96 at 888Starz.
Union Berlin - Köln Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Köln Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 35.04% | 2.72 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.46% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 69.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Union Berlin | 14.34% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Union Berlin vs Köln Form
Union Berlin and Köln's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -14 |
|
14
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -14 |
Union Berlin and Köln Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Köln Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Dec 2023 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Sept 2022 - Bundesliga
1 Apr 2022 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Köln Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Wisbereit
DefenderD. Kohn
L. Querfeld
C. Trimmel
L. Burcu
J. Haberer
T. Skarke
A. Kral
A. Ilic
R. Zieler
DefenderJ. Schmied
A. Castro-Montes
D. Heintz
MidfielderL. Maina
J. Thielmann
D. Huseinbasic
F. Chavez
Y. Niang
Missing players
F. Ronnow
T. Hubers
L. Kilian
M. El Mala
MidfielderI. Johanneson
ForwardR. Ache
F. Schenten
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Köln
O. Burke
(6 Goals)
S. El Mala
(13 Goals)
A. Ilic
(8 Assists)
L. Waldschmidt
(4 Assists)
,
M. Bulter
(4 Assists)
Union Berlin - Köln Key Points
- Koln are seventh in the division in terms of xG, while they are in the bottom-six in terms of xG conceded.
- Eight of Koln’s last eight away league outings have seen both teams score goals.
- Eight of Union’s last ten home league matches have seen both teams score goals.
- In 14 of their last 16 Bundesliga matches, Koln have seen both teams score goals.
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Our Union Berlin vs Köln Prediction
Union won the reverse fixture 1-0 back in December, but the scene ahead of this outing is completely different. Both teams are separated by just one point and are closer to the bottom three. In that context, the loser of this fixture will be in a tricky situation, which only keeps both teams eager for full points.
Union’s recent games have been full of goals, and that has remained a constant this season. That trend could continue, so our Union Berlin vs Koln prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Köln
| Union Berlin vs Köln | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2.35 | 2.72 | +15.7% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.51 | +1.7% |
| Köln wins | 3 | 2.96 | -1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Union Berlin is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 36.8% (-5.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
