Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Prediction & Betting Tips - Adelaide International

ATP - Adelaide International

ATP 36 France
Ugo Humbert
16/01/2026 21:30
ATP 35 Czech Republic
Tomas Machac

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

1.62
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Unseeded Ugo Humbert is one win away from winning the Adelaide International. Saturday's final sees the Frenchman take on eighth seed Tomas Machac in the final of this outdoor hard court tournament. Time for our match prediction.

There's little to choose between these two players. Humbert is 33rd in the live rankings, just three places below his opponent. A win for Humbert will see him climb above his opponent in the list. 

Humbert has made it to this final for the loss of just one set. That was the second set of his semi-final as he defeated top seeded Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. A third-set tie-break was needed to secure his win.

Fokina was the second seed that Humbert has beaten in this tournament. Round two saw him defeat fourth-seeded Tallon Griekspoor.

Machac lost his only previous match against Humbert. It was played in 2024 on this surface but went to three sets.

Tomas Machac has also dropped one set in this tournament. Friday's semi-final saw him have to come from a set down to defeat second seed Tommy Paul.  The Czech is looking to win his second ATP Tour title, 11 months after his victory in a Mexican outdoor hard court tournament.

We tip Humbert to win the title.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ugo Humbert v Tomas Machac Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 2.3
Melbet
1.7 2.15
BC Game
1.62 2.18
Tonybet
1.63 2.19
888Starz
1.7 2.15
Check all Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac odds

Who will win the Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac match is: Ugo Humbert wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac game on 16/01/2026 of the current Adelaide International season:

  • Ugo Humbert has a 68.01% chance to win against Tomas Machac according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.7.
  • Tomas Machac has a 31.99% probability of winning facing Ugo Humbert ⭐ with odds of 2.3 at Bet365.

Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ugo Humbert has a 68.01 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Ugo Humbert68.01 %
Tomas Machac31.99 %

Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Form

Ugo Humbert and Tomas Machac Last Matches

Ugo Humbert Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

16 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

14 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alexander Shevchenko

13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

5 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Ugo Humbert

24 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka
Tomas Machac Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tomas Machac
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

14 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tomas Machac
2 :  0
Jaume Munar

13 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tomas Machac
2 :  0
Quentin Halys

12 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International

Tomas Machac
2 :  0
James Duckworth

4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  1
Tomas Machac

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  0
Tomas Machac

Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ugo Humbert

100 %

Tomas Machac

0 %

30 Sept 2024 - ATP Japan Open

Tomas Machac
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert - Tomas Machac Key Points

  1. Humbert has beaten two seeds in this tournament.
  2. Humbert won the only previous match between these two players.
  3. Humbert has won ten of his last 13 matches, one of the three losses being via retirement.
  4. Humbert has won seven of his ten ATP Tour finals, all bar one on a hard court.
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Our Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Ugo Humbert has been in excellent form in this week's Adelaide International tournament. The unseeded player has lost just one set and defeated two seeded players. That includes top seed Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the last four.

He won his only previous match against Machac. That went to three sets and a side bet on this going all the way could be successful. Machac has also only lost one set this week and will be a difficult opponent for Humbert. Our Ugo Humbert v Tomas Machac prediction is Ugo Humbert wins.

Prediction :

 

Ugo Humbert wins

1.62
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ugo Humbert vs Tomas Machac Prediction