France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Bottom-side Metz will take the trip to Toulouse on matchday eight of Ligue 1, targeting a first win of the season. Hosts Toulouse start the match as favorites, looking to leap from their current ninth place. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
Toulouse went into the international break having collected four points from their last two matches. It was an improvement after three straight defeats, and three more points could see them rise into European football slots.
Their last outing wasn’t an ordinary victory; Les Violets came from behind to beat Lyon 2-1 away from home. They are unbeaten in seven meetings with Metz.
Metz have endured a tough return to the topflight and remain favorites for the drop. Seven matches into the season, they are yet to post a win. Heading into this game, they have only picked up two points.
Those came from draws with fellow struggling sides Angers and Le Havre. Before breaking off for the international week, Les Grenats suffered a 3-0 defeat at home to Marseille.
The loss confirmed Metz as the weakest defensively, having conceded 16 times in seven matches. Stephane Le Mignan’s side is the only one yet to win a game in Ligue 1 this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Metz Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 4.2 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.55 | 4 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.5 | 4.33 | 6 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.25 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Metz?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Metz match is: Toulouse wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Toulouse and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.33% for a win of Toulouse against Metz with odds of 1.65 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Metz is 29.02% with odds of 4.41 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Toulouse with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.
Toulouse - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Toulouse Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 44.33% | 1.65 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.67% | 1.91 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | 1.95 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse | 17.73% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Toulouse vs Metz Form
Toulouse and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
|
18
|
2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15 |
Toulouse and Metz Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Toulouse vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1
3 Mar 2018 - Ligue 1
18 Nov 2017 - Ligue 1
14 May 2017 - Ligue 1
Toulouse against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
N. Schmidt
R. Messali
ForwardI. Azizi
U. Mboula
ForwardM. Mbaye
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Metz
F. Magri
(4 Goals)
G. Hein
(1 Goals)
, 
H. Diallo
(1 Goals)
, 
J. Gbamin
(1 Goals)
,
S. Sane
(1 Goals)
, 
B. Traore
(1 Goals)
S. Hidalgo
(2 Assists)
G. Hein
(2 Assists)
Toulouse - Metz Key Points
- Metz are winless in Ligue 1 this season.
- Metz lost their last two matches against Toulouse.
- Toulouse are unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Metz.
- Toulouse’s only loss in five away league matches was against PSG.
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Our Toulouse vs Metz Prediction
In just three away matches in Ligue 1, Metz have conceded 11 goals. They lost all three, which paints a somewhat impossible task for a team looking to rise from the bottom of the league standings. A poor run against their hosts of the day doesn’t help either.
Toulouse beat Metz in their last two meetings and thus extended to seven matches their undefeated run against Metz. Coming off a win at Lyon, Toulouse will be the more confident here. Our prediction for Toulouse v Metz is that Toulouse wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Metz
| Toulouse vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse wins | 1.67 | 1.5 | -10.2% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.2 | +10.5% |
| Metz wins | 5 | 6.25 | +25.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Toulouse is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 66.7% (6.8%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Toulouse vs. Metz game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Toulouse and Metz when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Ligue 1!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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