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Toulouse vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Toulouse
19/10/2025 11:15
Metz

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins the match

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Bottom-side Metz will take the trip to Toulouse on matchday eight of Ligue 1, targeting a first win of the season. Hosts Toulouse start the match as favorites, looking to leap from their current ninth place. Let’s have a look at the prediction here. 

Toulouse went into the international break having collected four points from their last two matches. It was an improvement after three straight defeats, and three more points could see them rise into European football slots. 

Their last outing wasn’t an ordinary victory; Les Violets came from behind to beat Lyon 2-1 away from home. They are unbeaten in seven meetings with Metz.

Metz have endured a tough return to the topflight and remain favorites for the drop. Seven matches into the season, they are yet to post a win. Heading into this game, they have only picked up two points. 

Those came from draws with fellow struggling sides Angers and Le Havre. Before breaking off for the international week, Les Grenats suffered a 3-0 defeat at home to Marseille. 

The loss confirmed Metz as the weakest defensively, having conceded 16 times in seven matches. Stephane Le Mignan’s side is the only one yet to win a game in Ligue 1 this season.

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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Metz Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.5 4.2 6.25
Betfred
1.53 4 6.5
William Hill
1.55 4 5.8
Betway
1.5 4.33 6
Unibet
1.53 4.25 6
Check all Toulouse vs Metz odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Metz?

Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Metz match is: Toulouse wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/10/2025 between Toulouse and Metz in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.33% for a win of Toulouse against Metz with odds of 1.65 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Metz is 29.02% with odds of 4.41 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Toulouse with odds of 6.5 at Betfred.

Toulouse - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:

Toulouse Metz Prediction Probability Odds
Toulouse wins 44.33% 1.65 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 59.67% 1.91 at Betfred
Both Team To Score 55% 1.95 at Betsson
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Toulouse 17.73% 4.5 at Betfair

Toulouse vs Metz Form

Toulouse and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Toulouse
Toulouse
13 8 4 1 3 3
18
Metz
Metz
2 8 0 2 6 -15

Toulouse and Metz Last Matches

Toulouse
Toulouse Last matches
W L L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Toulouse

27 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Toulouse

14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Toulouse

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  6
PSG

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Brest
D L D W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  6
PSG

24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  0
Brest

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  1
Sevilla

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
1 :  2
QPR

12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
0 :  0
Pau FC
L L W L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Toulouse

21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Toulouse

14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Toulouse

16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  1
Toulouse

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Stuttgart
6 :  0
Toulouse

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Al Nasr
2 :  1
Toulouse
Metz
Metz Last matches
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
5 :  2
Metz

14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Angers

31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Metz

23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz
W W L D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

28 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  0
Le Havre

14 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Angers

17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Strasbourg

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
4 :  0
Red Star

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Metz
1 :  0
US Mondorf-Les-Bains
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
3.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Sep 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
5 :  2
Metz

31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
3 :  2
Metz

23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  0
Metz

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hoffenheim
8 :  0
Metz

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Troyes
0 :  1
Metz

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Thionville US Lusitanos
3 :  5
Metz

Toulouse vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Toulouse

33 %

Draw

67 %

Metz

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  1
Toulouse

1 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  0
Metz

28 Sep 2019 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  2
Toulouse

3 Mar 2018 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse

18 Nov 2017 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Metz

14 May 2017 - Ligue 1

Metz
1 :  1
Toulouse
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Toulouse against Metz Lineups: Starting 11

Toulouse

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
G. Restes
19
D. Sidibe
4
C. Cresswell
2
R. Nicolaisen
9
F. Magri
23
C. Casseres Jr
17
A. Francis
24
D. Methalie
20
E. Da Silva
15
A. Donnum
10
Y. Gboho
30
H. Diallo
9
G. Abuashvili
14
C. Sabaly
97
F. Ballo-Toure
8
B. Traore
10
G. Hein
12
A. Toure
5
J. Gbamin
38
S. Sane
39
K. Kouao
1
J. Fischer

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Metz

Missing players

Toulouse
Toulouse
Midfielder

N. Schmidt

R. Messali

Forward

I. Azizi

Metz
Metz
Defender

U. Mboula

Forward

M. Mbaye

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Toulouse
CD Huachipato Metz
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon F. Magri (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France G. Hein (1 Goals) Senegal H. Diallo (1 Goals) Ivory Coast J. Gbamin (1 Goals) Senegal S. Sane (1 Goals) Mali B. Traore (1 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina S. Hidalgo (2 Assists)
Best assists
France G. Hein (2 Assists)

Toulouse - Metz Key Points

  1. Metz are winless in Ligue 1 this season.
  2. Metz lost their last two matches against Toulouse.
  3. Toulouse are unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Metz.
  4. Toulouse’s only loss in five away league matches was against PSG.
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Our Toulouse vs Metz Prediction

In just three away matches in Ligue 1, Metz have conceded 11 goals. They lost all three, which paints a somewhat impossible task for a team looking to rise from the bottom of the league standings. A poor run against their hosts of the day doesn’t help either.

Toulouse beat Metz in their last two meetings and thus extended to seven matches their undefeated run against Metz. Coming off a win at Lyon, Toulouse will be the more confident here. Our prediction for Toulouse v Metz is that Toulouse wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Toulouse wins the match

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Toulouse Metz

Toulouse vs Metz Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Toulouse wins 1.67 1.5 -10.2%
Draw 3.8 4.2 +10.5%
Metz wins 5 6.25 +25.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Toulouse is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.2% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 66.7% (6.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Toulouse vs Metz Prediction
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