Auxerre vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Auxerre will host Metz in a Ligue 1 relegation six-pointer this Sunday. Going into this match, Auxerre are rock bottom on nine points, with Metz a place above them, two points better. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this encounter.
While Auxerre haven't won a lot, they are paying the ultimate price for being the poorest in attack. The hosts have only scored eight times in the league.
Surprisingly, with 20 goals conceded, they are doing better defensively compared to all five sides ahead of them. A 1-1 draw with Paris FC last time out saw them hit two games without defeat, but they’ve since fallen five points adrift of safety.
Auxerre meets the weakest side defensively in the league and will surely be expected to make Metz pay. However, Metz’s recent results would suggest they can send shockwaves.
They did just that with three straight wins that hauled them off the bottom of the standings. In that run they beat Nice, Nantes, and Lens, but they couldn’t sustain it, and they come here having lost the last two matches.
The most recent of them was 1-0 to the improved Rennes. This will not be a match they go into with high confidence. Metz have only managed three points on the road, after losing six of seven matches.
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Auxerre v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.01 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.52 | 3.86 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.4 | 3.7 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Auxerre and Metz?
Our prediction for the Auxerre vs Metz match is: Auxerre to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Auxerre and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.29% for a win of Auxerre against Metz with odds of 2.05 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Auxerre vs Metz is 17.1% with odds of 3.61 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.6% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Auxerre with odds of 4 at LSbet.
Auxerre - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Auxerre Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 46.29% | 2.05 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.77% | 1.9 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Auxerre | 23.23% | 5 at Bet365 |
Auxerre vs Metz Form
Auxerre and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
34 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | -10 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Auxerre and Metz Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Apr 2019 - Ligue 2
5 Nov 2018 - Ligue 2
Auxerre against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. De Percin
DefenderE. Diamalunda
A. Petit Dol
G. Mensah
T. Devernois
A. Diousse
J. Casimir
Y. Zaddy
M. Cissokho
O. Ba
DefenderB. Stambouli
T. Yegbe
I. Sane
K. Kouao
MidfielderA. Toure
M. Mbaye
B. Madjo
H. Diallo
Missing players
M. Senaya
T. Siwe
MidfielderE. Owusu
L. Coulibaly
P. Sy
MidfielderU. Mboula
Most goals and assists
Auxerre
Metz
L. Sinayoko
(12 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
L. Sinayoko
(4 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Auxerre - Metz Key Points
- Metz have collected just three of 11 points on the road.
- In six of their last seven away matches, Metz conceded 3+.
- Of Auxerre’s nine points, seven were collected in home matches.
- So far in the league, these two sides have conceded a combined 51 goals.
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Our Auxerre vs Metz Prediction
Though these are some of the lowest-scoring teams in Ligue 1 at the moment, we expect their meetings to produce over 2.5 goals. With both sides looking to give their all for a win, cracks are bound to appear in defence in this relegation six-pointer.
Having conceded a combined 51 goals in their 14 league matches, this could be another high-scoring clash. Apart from the goals market, we will back Auxerre to prevail, given Metz’s away form. Our prediction for Auxerre v Metz is for Auxerre to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Auxerre Metz
| Auxerre vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre wins | 2.12 | 2.05 | -3.3% |
| Draw | 3.63 | 3.61 | -0.6% |
| Metz wins | 3.74 | 4 | +7.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Auxerre is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.2% and is now 48.8% (1.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
