Lorient vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Stade du Moustoir will host an exciting match this Sunday, featuring Lyon away to Lorient, both looking to build on recent positives. The two sides won their latest league matches, moving Lyon into the top six and Lorient out of the drop zone. Let’s have a look at the preview and a prediction here.
Lorient ended their seven-match winless run in fine fashion last time out. They beat Nice 3-1 to not only record their third league win but also leap out of the bottom three.
All those three wins came at home, where they’ve recorded 12 points, and thus will be hopeful of extending that here.
Lyon’s day out will be highlighted by the return of manager Paulo Fonseca. The coach has served his nine-match touchline ban and will be hoping to mark that in a big way.
The best can only be bagging three points to possibly rise into the top five. It could turn out to be a good weekend, as Marseille have already lost. Rennes taking on PSG means they will also knock points off one another.
Most importantly though, Lyon have to build on their three-game undefeated run, which has two wins and nine goals in it. Les Gones are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Lorient, which will give them the lift going into the match.
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Lorient v Lyon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.75 | 3.45 | 2.11 |
|
|
3.72 | 3.38 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.4 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.3 | 2.04 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs Lyon match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/12/2025 between Lorient and Lyon in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.88% for a win of Lorient against Lyon with odds of 3.9 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs Lyon is 41.34% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Lorient with odds of 2.11 at Stake.
Lorient - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.34% | 3.55 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.01% | 2.06 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 63.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 14.85% | 5 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs Lyon Form
Lorient and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | +13 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
Lorient and Lyon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Lorient vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
8 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Sept 2022 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
Lorient against Lyon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Kamara
DefenderN. Adjei
I. Silva
MidfielderJ. Mvuka
N. Cadiou
D. Karim
T. Aiyegun
B. Dieng
B. Mohamed
R. Descamps
DefenderT. Barisic
H. Hateboer
R. Ghezzal
A. Karabec
K. Merah
ForwardA. Moreira
A. Gomes Rodriguez
Missing players
S. Toure
A. Faye
MidfielderB. Fadiga
P. Katseris
ForwardT. Sanusi
R. Kluivert
MidfielderO. Mangala
T. Tessmann
ForwardE. Nuamah
M. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Lorient
Lyon
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
C. Tolisso
(11 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(11 Goals)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
A. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
Endrick
(7 Assists)
Lorient - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon only lost twice in the last nine matches.
- Lorient have only managed one win in their last eight games.
- Lorient won only once in their last eight meetings with Lyon.
- Lyon haven't tasted defeat in their last three outings.
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Our Lorient vs Lyon Prediction
This is a big game for Lyon, as they welcome back coach Paulo Fonseca to the touchline after a nine-month ban. This comes at a very good time for the visitors, having gone unbeaten in their last three matches.
In their last two games, they scored a total of nine goals and have also improved defensively, keeping three straight clean sheets. Lyon do not have a bad record against Lorient either, and yet Lorient do not have a very strong run. Our prediction for Lorient v Lyon is that Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient Lyon
| Lorient vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 3.6 | 3.9 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.55 | +4.4% |
| Lyon wins | 2 | 2.11 | +5.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 28.2% (-1.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
