France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Toulouse have secured survival, and Lens can’t get in the top six; it means the two sides’ Ligue 1 season can’t achieve much. They face off in matchday 33 action, hosted by Toulouse, who start the weekend in 12th place, ands, who start in eighth. Read on for our prediction of the match.
For the first time since 2009/10. Toulouse have the chance to seal a league double over Lens. Les Violets beat Lens 1-0 away from home in January, a rare victory they will look to add to here. However, their recent form defies the ambition.
Toulouse have lost five of their last seven matches, even though they are coming off a two-match unbeaten run. After a 0-0 draw with Nantes, they beat Rennes 2-1 in their latest outing.
Lens left it late in the season before starting to challenge for a top six place. They failed and will have to contend with a season outside European football.
They are in line, however, for a strong finish to the season; in their last match, they beat Lyon 2-1 away from home. That win left a dent in Lyon’s own European ambitions.
Currently placed eighth, the highest Lens can finish after the remaining matches is seventh. Away from home, Les Sang et Or have six wins in 10 outings. They also have six wins in the last seven games against Toulouse.
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The Best Betting Odds for Toulouse v Lens Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.5 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.41 | 3.02 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.5 | 3.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Toulouse and Lens?
Our prediction for the Toulouse vs Lens match is: Lens wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Toulouse and Lens in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.49% for a win of Toulouse against Lens with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Toulouse vs Lens is 12.18% with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Lens vs Toulouse with odds of 3.2 at 1xbet.
Toulouse vs Lens Form
Toulouse and Lens's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
48 | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | -1 |
|
12
|
38 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
Toulouse and Lens Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Feb 2025 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sep 2023 - Ligue 1
2 May 2023 - Ligue 1
28 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Toulouse vs Lens last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
R. Nicolaisen
M. McKenzie
MidfielderN. Schmidt
ForwardZ. Aboukhlal
N. Edjouma
D. Petric
DefenderJ. Chavez
R. Aguilar
ForwardR. Lascary
F. Sotoca
Most goals and assists
Toulouse
Lens
Z. Aboukhlal
(7 Goals)
M. Nzola
(6 Goals)
G. Suazo
(6 Assists)
A. Thomasson
(6 Assists)
Toulouse and Lens Stats in Ligue 1
Toulouse - Lens Key Points
- Lens have five wins in their last eight matches.
- In 10 away league matches, Lens have posted six wins.
- Toulouse suffered five defeats in their last seven matches.
- In eight home league matches, Toulouse managed just one win.
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Our Toulouse vs Lens Prediction
Toulouse have struggled in their recent matches, and though they play at home, they will come into this encounter as the underdogs. They did win in the reverse meeting, beating Lens 1-0, but that stands as their only win in the last seven games against Lens.
Toulouse lost each of the earlier six, and we expect the same to come out here. Lens may have had a poor season, but their recent fixtures have brought out their fighting edge. Our prediction for Toulouse v Lens is that Lens wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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