Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Two unseeded players face each other in the Rio Open quarter-finals. Alejandro Tabilo takes on Thiago Agustin Tirante both hoping to make it into the semi-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
It's been an unpredictable tournament so far and only two seeds remain. The top seed was Francisco Cerundolo but he was beaten by Tirante in round two. Cerundolo lost the opening set and was 3-1 down in the second when he retired.
Before that big win, Tirante had defeated unseeded Cristian Garin in round one. The 24-year-old has now won seven of his 11 matches played in 2026. He's up to a career-high 75th in the live rankings. This is his second quarter-final in 2026, the other in a hard court Challenger Tour event.
Alejandro Tabilo has shared his two previous matches with Tirante but won the only one played on clay.
28-year-old Tablo beat Emilio Nava in straight sets in round one. He had to come from a set down to beat lucky loser Francesco Passaro in round two and is now 57th in the live rankings.This is his second successive ATP Tour clay court quarter-final.
He's also been the runner-up in a Challenger Tour event and has now won nine of his 11 matches on clay this year.
We tip him to beat Tirante.
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Thiago Agustin Tirante v Alejandro Tabilo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.36 | 1.59 |
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2.36 | 1.57 |
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|
2.3 | 1.57 |
|
|
2.28 | 1.54 |
|
|
2.28 | 1.54 |
|
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Who will win the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo match is: Alejandro Tabilo wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo game on 20/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Thiago Agustin Tirante has a 49.6% chance to win against Alejandro Tabilo according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.4.
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 50.4% probability of winning facing Thiago Agustin Tirante ⭐ with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Thiago Agustin Tirante has a 49.6 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 49.6 % |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 50.4 % |
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo Form
Thiago Agustin Tirante and Alejandro Tabilo Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
8 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
6 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
20 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
18 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open
11 Jan 2026 - Adelaide International
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
13 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
6 Feb 2026 - Davis Cup
Thiago Agustin Tirante - Alejandro Tabilo Key Points
- Tabilo is 18 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
- Tabilo won the only previous clay court match played between these two players.
- Tabilo also reached the last eight in Buenos Aires last week.
- This is the first time Tirante has reached an ATP Tour quarter-final since 2024.
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Our Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alejandro Tabilo Prediction
Alejandro Tabilo has previously reached two ATP Tour clay court finals but is yet to win one. The seeds have been falling left, right and centre in Rio this week and Tabilo has a good chance of at least reaching the last four.
He won his only previous match against Tirante that was played on this surface. His opponent had never made it to the main draw in Rio before this year. He beat a struggling top seed in round two. Our Thiago Agustin Tirante v Alejandro Tabilo prediction is Alejandro Tabilo wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
