Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev ATP 5
25/10/2026 06:00
Nikoloz Basilashvili Georgia
Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP 128

Prediction :

 

Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Top seed and defending champion Daniil Medvedev faces qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili in the indoor hard court Almaty Open. Medvedev has not lost a set this week and has already won three ATP Tour titles this year. Our prediction is that Medvedev repeats his one previous result against Basilashvili and he wins in straight sets.

It wasn't too difficult for Medvedev on Saturday. In his semi-final, he won the first set against Alexander Bublik 6-3 who then retired.

Before that win, the Russian had won two matches in straight sets with only 11 games being lost. He's been in great form in recent months with two semi-finals and a final being reached. This is his fifth ATP Tour final of 2026, but his first on an indoor hard court.

He won this title last year and before that was a semi-finalist in 2022. His only loss in Almaty in 11 matches was via retirement.

These two players have met once with Medvedev winning on this surface 6-2 6-2 four years ago.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has had to win six matches to reach his first ATP Tour final since 2022.  He won his first five matches in straight sets, but then had a tough semi-final on Saturday. The Georgian defeated seventh seed Stefanos Tsitsipas in three sets. 

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Daniil Medvedev v Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus
Stake
1.21 4.10
1xbet
1.25 4.16
Melbet
1.24 4.10
Betwinner
1.24 4.10
Bet365
1.22 4.33
Check all Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili game on 25/10/2026 of the current Almaty Open season:

  • Daniil Medvedev has a 63.65% chance to win against Nikoloz Basilashvili according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.25.
  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 36.35% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 63.65 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Daniil Medvedev63.65 %
Nikoloz Basilashvili36.35 %

Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Form

Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili Last Matches

Daniil Medvedev Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

23 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Terence Atmane

22 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Sho Shimabukuro

17 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas

12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Dalibor Svrcina
Nikoloz Basilashvili Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

24 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

23 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Facundo Diaz Acosta
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

19 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Marin Cilic
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

18 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

17 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Taro Daniel
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction

Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili Key Points

  1. Medvedev is playing in his fifth ATP Tour Final of the year with three titles won.
  2. Medvedev is the defending champion and has a 10-1 record in this tournament.
  3. Medvedev has only lost 14 games in his three matches this week.
  4. Basilashvili is playing in his first ATP Tour final since 2022.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction

Daniil Medvedev has made it to his second successive final in Almaty. It's his third time in this indoor hard court tournament and no player has ever won a match point against him. He has reached this final without dropping a set and losing only 14 games.

It's taken qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili nearly nine hours (six more than Medvedev) to reach his first ATP Tour final since 2022. He had to go to a deciding set to win his semi-final against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Our Daniil Medvedev v Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Get a retirement guarantee for the Daniil Medvedev vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili game!

bet365 2 goals ahead early payout

When you place a bet on the match between Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.

It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Nikoloz Basilashvili, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!

Claim this offer!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.