Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open
ATP - Almaty Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed and defending champion Daniil Medvedev faces qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili in the indoor hard court Almaty Open. Medvedev has not lost a set this week and has already won three ATP Tour titles this year. Our prediction is that Medvedev repeats his one previous result against Basilashvili and he wins in straight sets.
It wasn't too difficult for Medvedev on Saturday. In his semi-final, he won the first set against Alexander Bublik 6-3 who then retired.
Before that win, the Russian had won two matches in straight sets with only 11 games being lost. He's been in great form in recent months with two semi-finals and a final being reached. This is his fifth ATP Tour final of 2026, but his first on an indoor hard court.
He won this title last year and before that was a semi-finalist in 2022. His only loss in Almaty in 11 matches was via retirement.
These two players have met once with Medvedev winning on this surface 6-2 6-2 four years ago.
Nikoloz Basilashvili has had to win six matches to reach his first ATP Tour final since 2022. He won his first five matches in straight sets, but then had a tough semi-final on Saturday. The Georgian defeated seventh seed Stefanos Tsitsipas in three sets.
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Daniil Medvedev v Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.21 | 4.10 |
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1.25 | 4.16 |
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1.24 | 4.10 |
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1.24 | 4.10 |
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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Who will win the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili match is: Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili game on 25/10/2026 of the current Almaty Open season:
- Daniil Medvedev has a 63.65% chance to win against Nikoloz Basilashvili according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.25.
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 36.35% probability of winning facing Daniil Medvedev ⭐ with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Daniil Medvedev has a 63.65 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 63.65 % |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 36.35 % |
Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Form
Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
23 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
22 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
24 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
23 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
19 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
18 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
17 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open
Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili Key Points
- Medvedev is playing in his fifth ATP Tour Final of the year with three titles won.
- Medvedev is the defending champion and has a 10-1 record in this tournament.
- Medvedev has only lost 14 games in his three matches this week.
- Basilashvili is playing in his first ATP Tour final since 2022.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Prediction
Daniil Medvedev has made it to his second successive final in Almaty. It's his third time in this indoor hard court tournament and no player has ever won a match point against him. He has reached this final without dropping a set and losing only 14 games.
It's taken qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili nearly nine hours (six more than Medvedev) to reach his first ATP Tour final since 2022. He had to go to a deciding set to win his semi-final against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Our Daniil Medvedev v Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction is Daniil Medvedev wins in straight sets.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Daniil Medvedev or Nikoloz Basilashvili, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.