England - Championship
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Championship Predictions
Two teams that finished last season perilously close to the relegation zone will clash on matchday one of the 2025-26 Championship campaign as Stoke welcome Derby County on Saturday. This match at Bet365 Stadium between the Potters and the Rams comes with our prediction of an away win.
Both Stoke and Derby finished in the bottom seven positions last year, as Stoke ended up 18th with 51 points and only two points above the relegation zone. Derby were one point and one position worse than their current hosts.
Stoke ended last season with just one point from their last three games and could have been relegated if things had gone against them in other fixtures. Their summer preparations haven’t been great, either, worrying the fans about their current campaign.
The Potters lost two and drew one of their five friendlies, although wins against Crewe and Burnley raise a flicker of hope.
Derby may have finished below Stoke last season, but they are a different team under John Eustace. They finished with six wins and just two defeats out of their final 11 games of the league campaign.
Recent form in the friendlies is a positive sign too, as the Rams won four of their final five preparatory games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stoke v Derby County Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
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2.38 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
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2.25 | 3.1 | 3.25 |
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2.3 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
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2.15 | 3.3 | 3.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Stoke vs Derby County match is: Derby County wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/08/2025 between Stoke and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.66% for a win of Stoke against Derby County with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Derby County is 28.34% with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 38% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Stoke with odds of 3.45 at Unibet.
Stoke vs Derby County Form
Stoke and Derby County Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
25 Apr 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
Stoke vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
40 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 May 2025 - Championship
2 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Dec 2021 - Championship
31 Jan 2020 - Championship
13 Mar 2019 - Championship
Stoke vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Stoke - Derby County Key Points
- Stoke lost two and drew one of their final three games of last year’s league campaign.
- Stoke lost two of their last four home games, winning just once, including the friendlies.
- Stoke lost four of their last eight matches including friendlies.
- Derby won six of their final 11 matches of last year’s league campaign, losing only two.
- Derby won four of their last five friendlies, losing only once.
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Our Stoke vs Derby County Prediction
Going by where they ended last season, Stoke and Derby have a lot of work to do. However, Derby found their mojo after John Eustace took charge towards the far end of the season. Six wins out of the last 11 league games isn’t sensational form, but with only two defeats in that run, they set the template for stubborn play. Stoke, on the other hand, finished their season poorly.
That could continue here, and a surprise could be in store, as our Stoke vs Derby County prediction is Derby County wins the match.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Stoke vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Stoke and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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