Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28/12/2025 14:05
Stade Rochelais

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -17.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Toulousain begin this latest set of Top 14 fixtures in second place. They are only behind Section Paloise on head-to-head results. This weekend sees them host Stade Rochelais who are tenth in the table. Time for our match prediction.

The home side have won nine of their 12 league games this season, losing the other three. All six of their home games in Top 14 this season have been won with a points difference of +179. Only Clermont have scored more home points than them. 

They have only had 105 points scored against them in six home league games. Just their opponents in this game have conceded fewer home league points. Eight of their last nine home games against Stade Rochelais have been won, the other being drawn.

Stade Rochelais are down at tenth in Top 14 but just three points adrift of the final play-off position. They have won five home league games this season but just one on the road. The other five away league fixtures have all been lost. 134 points have been conceded in their last three away games.

They had lost three successive league fixtures before beating Aviron Bayonne at home last week. 

We tip Stade Toulousain to win on a -15.5 handicap.

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The Best Betting Odds for Stade Toulousain v Stade Rochelais Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.03 51 11
Unibet
1.06 34 8.5
Ladbrokes
1.06 41 8.5
NetBet
1.01 40 8.5
Melbet
1.03 50 13
Check all Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais odds

Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais Form

Stade Toulousain and Stade Rochelais's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
42 12 9 0 3 205
10
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
31 12 6 0 6 74

Stade Toulousain and Stade Rochelais Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Glasgow Warriors
28 :  21
Stade Toulousain

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
56 :  19
Hollywoodbets Sharks

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  24
Racing 92

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
7 :  49
Stade Toulousain

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
56 :  19
Hollywoodbets Sharks

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  24
Racing 92

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  17
Stade Francais Paris

26 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  24
RC Toulonnais

12 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
56 :  13
Union Bordeaux Begles

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  12
Castres Olympique
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  41
Stade Toulousain

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Glasgow Warriors
28 :  21
Stade Toulousain

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
7 :  49
Stade Toulousain

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
30 :  26
Stade Toulousain

5 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
40 :  26
Stade Toulousain

20 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
44 :  14
Stade Toulousain
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

2 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  6
Racing 92

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
54 :  19
US Montalbanaise

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
31 :  8
USA Perpignan
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  36
Stade Rochelais

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais

4 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
37 :  13
Stade Rochelais

Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

50 %

Draw

17 %

Stade Rochelais

33 %

4 Jan 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
22 :  19
Stade Toulousain

15 Sept 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  27
Stade Rochelais

21 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  23
Stade Rochelais

2 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  31
Stade Rochelais

30 Dec 2023 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
29 :  8
Stade Toulousain

17 Jun 2023 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
29 :  26
Stade Rochelais

Stade Toulousain - Stade Rochelais Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won all six of their home league games this season.
  2. Four of Stade Toulousain's last five home league wins have been by at least 18 points.
  3. Stade Rochelais have lost five of their six away league fixtures this season.
  4. Stade Rochelais have conceded 134 points in their last three away matches.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais Prediction

Stade Toulousain are attempting to make it seven straight home wins in Top 14 this season. They have won six of their last seven league and cup games. The only loss was a 28-21 defeat at Glasgow after leading 21-0 at the break.

Stade Rochelais are only tenth in the table but not far behind the play-offs. Their away league form is poor with just one win this season and far too many points scored against them. Our Stade Toulousain v Stade Rochelais prediction is Stade Toulousain wins on a -17.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -17.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stade Toulousain vs Stade Rochelais Prediction