St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Sunday’s matchday 23 in the Bundesliga features St Pauli and Werder Bremen in what’s promising to be a relegation six-pointer. This match in Hamburg between the 17th-placed ‘Neighbourhood Kickers’ and the 16th-placed ‘River Islanders’ comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.
St Pauli’s 17 points (W4, D5, L13) see them start this round three points behind the safety zone and two points behind the relegation play-off spot. That place is currently occupied by Werder with 19 points (W4, D7, L11), who are one point behind Wolfsburg, who are the last safe side heading into this round.
St Pauli were thrashed 4-0 away at Leverkusen last weekend, throwing a spanner in their relegation battle. They are still battling it out, winning ten points from their last ten league games (W2, D4, L4).
Their home form is keeping St Pauli alive in the battle, as they have won eight points from their last four home league games (W2, D2).
Werder lost 3-0 at home to Bayern last time out to extend their winless run since mid-November. They are now without a win in 12 league games (D4, L8), dragging them closer to the bottom.
Their struggles on the road are well documented, as Werder have lost five of their last six Bundesliga trips (D1), failing to score in the last four.
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St. Pauli v Werder Bremen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.12 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.12 | 2.82 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.15 | 2.78 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Werder Bremen?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/02/2026 between St. Pauli and Werder Bremen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.52% for a win of St. Pauli against Werder Bremen with odds of 2.77 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen is 37.77% with odds of 3.3 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Werder Bremen vs St. Pauli with odds of 2.88 at 888Starz.
St. Pauli - Werder Bremen Prediction and Best Odds:
| St. Pauli Werder Bremen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 40.52% | 2.77 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 64.11% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 70.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 17.19% | 6.5 at LSbet |
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Form
St. Pauli and Werder Bremen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
32 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -23 |
|
18
|
26 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | -31 |
St. Pauli and Werder Bremen Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
7 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Werder Bremen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Voll
DefenderL. Ritzka
A. Dzwigala
MidfielderJ. Sands
L. Oppie
M. Pereira Lage
A. Ceesay
M. Rasmussen
T. Hara
K. Hein
DefenderY. Sugawara
J. Malatini
MidfielderO. Deman
P. Covic
L. Bittencourt
K. Topp
J. Milosevic
Missing players
S. Spari
DefenderD. Nemeth
MidfielderC. Metcalfe
R. Jones
ForwardA. Hountondji
M. Weiser
M. Wober
A. Pieper
K. Coulibaly
MidfielderW. Adeh
ForwardV. Boniface
Most goals and assists
St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
D. Sinani
(5 Goals)
J. Stage
(10 Goals)
J. Fujita
(3 Assists)
R. Schmid
(7 Assists)
St. Pauli - Werder Bremen Key Points
- St Pauli (20) and Werder (22) have been among the poorest scorers in the division with only Heidenheim scoring fewer.
- St Pauli failed to score in four of their last seven home league games.
- Four of Werder’s last five Bundesliga games produced under 2.5 goals.
- Werder failed to score in five of their last six away league games including four in a row.
- Five of Werder’s last seven away league games saw fewer than three goals scored.
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Our St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen Prediction
St Pauli and Werder Bremen are among the bottom three sides coming into this round, while their scoring record doesn’t cover them in any glory. They are also in the bottom three of the scoring record in the league this season, while Werder have scored just four goals in their last eight league games. With heavy stakes involved in this relegation six-pointer, goals could take a back seat.
Both these sides have struggled for goals this season, and that’s why our St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Werder Bremen
| St. Pauli vs Werder Bremen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 2.63 | 2.77 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 3.32 | 3.3 | -0.6% |
| Werder Bremen wins | 3 | 2.88 | -4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 36.1% (-1.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
