St Mirren vs Celtic Prediction & Betting Tips - Scottish League Cup

Scotland - Scottish League Cup

St Mirren
14/12/2025 10:30
Celtic

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Ian John | in Football Predictions

Hampden Park will be thronging this weekend as defending champions Celtic face St. Mirren in the Scottish League Cup Final. Both the Hoops and the Saints have been involved in some high-scoring encounters on their way to the final and with both teams in contrasting form heading into the game, it's going to be a tricky match on whic to make a prediction.

A quick look at their league position reveals Celtic currently lie second in the SPL Table with 32 points from 15 games, three points behind Hearts but with a game in hand. St. Mirren lie eighth with 14 points from 18 games. However, the Saints are unbeaten in seven League Cup games this season, scoring 19 goals into the bargain.

Celtic have won all of their three League Cup games, scoring 11 goals in those matches. The Celts defeated Rangers 3-1 after extra time in their semi-final with St.Mirren thrashing Motherwell 4-1 in their semi.

Recent form is problematic for Celtic. Since Wilfried Nancy took over as manager, Celtic were beaten 2-1 by Hearts in the league last weekend and then in midweek were well-beaten at home by AS Roma in the Europa League, going down to a 3-0 defeat.

St. Mirren's recent form is a little better. Their last two games both game in the league and saw them earn a creditable 3-3 draw away at Aberdeen and last weekend they defeated Dundee 2-0 at home. 

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St Mirren v Celtic Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
6.8 4.6 1.44
Melbet
6.26 4.3 1.48
Betwinner
6.36 4.59 1.44
Bet365
6.25 4.5 1.38
Roobet
6.4 4.2 1.42
Check all St Mirren vs Celtic odds

What is the prediction for the football match between St Mirren and Celtic?

Our prediction for the St Mirren vs Celtic match is: Over 2.5 Goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/12/2025 between St Mirren and Celtic in Scottish League Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.71% for a win of St Mirren against Celtic with odds of 7.4 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St Mirren vs Celtic is 12.82% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 54.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Celtic vs St Mirren with odds of 1.48 at Melbet.

St Mirren - Celtic Prediction and Best Odds:

St Mirren Celtic Prediction Probability Odds
Celtic wins 54.47% 1.48 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 53.42% 1.93 at Bet365
Both Team To Score: No 55.42%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Celtic 21.81% 4 at Bet365

St Mirren vs Celtic Form

St Mirren and Celtic Last Matches

St Mirren
St Mirren Last matches
W L L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Dundee United

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
3 :  3
St Mirren

29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  1
St Mirren

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic

8 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Hibernian

1 Nov 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
1 :  4
St Mirren
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  0
Dundee United

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic

8 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Hibernian

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

18 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Aberdeen

27 Sept 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
1 :  0
Dundee FC
D L L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen
3 :  3
St Mirren

29 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
3 :  1
St Mirren

1 Nov 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Motherwell
1 :  4
St Mirren

25 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee United
3 :  1
St Mirren

4 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock
2 :  0
St Mirren

19 Sept 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Kilmarnock
2 :  2
St Mirren
Celtic
Celtic Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
Dundee FC

30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Celtic

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
1 :  3
Celtic

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 Dec 2025 - Europa League

Celtic
0 :  3
Roma

7 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  2
Heart Of Midlothian FC

3 Dec 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
Dundee FC

9 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Kilmarnock

2 Nov 2025 - Scottish League Cup

Celtic
3 :  1
Rangers

29 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
4 :  0
Falkirk
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Hibernian
1 :  2
Celtic

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Feyenoord
1 :  3
Celtic

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

FC Midtjylland
3 :  1
Celtic

26 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Heart Of Midlothian FC
3 :  1
Celtic

19 Oct 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Dundee FC
2 :  0
Celtic

St Mirren vs Celtic Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

St Mirren

0 %

Draw

17 %

Celtic

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  1
Celtic

3 Aug 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  0
St Mirren

17 May 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
1 :  1
St Mirren

1 Mar 2025 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
2 :  5
Celtic

5 Jan 2025 - Scottish Premiership

Celtic
3 :  0
St Mirren

25 Aug 2024 - Scottish Premiership

St Mirren
0 :  3
Celtic
St Mirren vs Celtic Prediction

Players list

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

S. George

Defender

M. Freckleton

R. King

D. John

M. Fraser

Midfielder

K. Baccus

A. Gogic

Forward

D. Nlundulu

K. Phillips

C. McMenamin

J. Ayunga

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

K. Schmeichel

Defender

L. Scales

A. Ralston

A. Trusty

K. Tierney

Midfielder

S. Tounekti

R. Hatate

A. Engels

C. McGregor

D. Maeda

Forward

K. Iheanacho

Substitutes

St Mirren
St Mirren
Goalkeeper

R. Mullen

Defender

J. Richardson

S. Tanser

Midfielder

R. Idowu

F. Taylor

M. O'Hara

L. Donnelly

E. Mooney

Forward

M. Mandron

Celtic
Celtic
Goalkeeper

V. Sinisalo

Defender

M. Balikwisha

C. Donovan

Midfielder

P. Bernardo

B. Nygren

L. McCowan

Y. Hyun-jun

J. Forrest

Forward

J. Kenny

St Mirren - Celtic Key Points

  1. Celtic's three League Cup games have produced a total of 13 goals.
  2. St. Mirren's eight League Cup games have produced a total of 27 goals.
  3. Eight of Celtic's last ten games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Six of St. Mirren's last eight games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our St Mirren vs Celtic Prediction

Our prediction for the Celtic vs. St. Mirren Scottish League Cup Final match is: Over 2.5 Goals.

While the league games between these two have both finished 1-0 to Celtic, recent form for both teams, and in this competition (and in cup competitions in general) suggests that in a one-off, winner-takes-all encounter, goals are going to be much more likely. Backing Celtic to win had little value here, but backing the over 2.5 goals market for these freescoring teams in this competition makes sense.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St Mirren Celtic

St Mirren vs Celtic Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
St Mirren wins 8.25 7.4 -10.3%
Draw 4.6 4.6 0%
Celtic wins 1.31 1.48 +13.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Celtic is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 13.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 67.6% (-8.8%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.