SC Braga vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Sporting Braga are home to Freiburg in the first leg of this Europa League semi-final.. The winners of this tie will face either Nottingham Forest or Aston Villa in the final. Can the Archbishops get a home win? Read our match prediction below.
Braga have had a long road to this semi-final. They began in the second qualifying round of this season's Europa League and are now just one tie away from the final which will be played in Istanbul, Turkey.on May 20. They are unlikely to be in the Europa League next season but currently are fifth in the Portuguese Primeira League. That would take them into the Conference League. Winning this competition though would take them into the Champions League.
Freiburg are in a battle to qualify for next season's Conference League. They are only eighth in the German Bundesliga and the Breisgau Brazilians need to improve their form if they want to qualify for the Europa League final.
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SC Braga v Freiburg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.29 | 3.1 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.04 | 3.19 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.04 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.44 | 3 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between SC Braga and Freiburg?
Our prediction for the SC Braga vs Freiburg match is: Sporting Braga wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/04/2026 between SC Braga and Freiburg in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.71% for a win of SC Braga against Freiburg with odds of 2.46 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between SC Braga vs Freiburg is 23.41% with odds of 3.2 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs SC Braga with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
SC Braga - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:
| SC Braga Freiburg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| SC Braga wins | 42.71% | 2.46 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% | 2.5 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 59.52% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : SC Braga/SC Braga | 16.48% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
SC Braga vs Freiburg Form
SC Braga and Freiburg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Apr 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Apr 2026 - Europa League
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2026 - Europa League
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
16 Apr 2026 - Europa League
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
SC Braga - Freiburg: Form Analysis
This is the tenth home game in Europe this season for Sporting Braga. The Arsenalists have won seven of their games (one after extra time), drew with Real Betis and suffered one loss to Genk.
After winning their way through three qualifying rounds, Braga finished sixth in the league phase with five wins, two draws and one loss. That saw them go straight into the last 16 where they beat Ferencvaros. The last eight saw them defeat Real Betis.
Good home form for Braga.
Braga are fourth in the Primeira League and had been unbeaten in six games before a weekend loss at Santa Clara. They are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures with just one loss in the last 14.
Freiburg went straight into the league phase and finished in seventh place. They also had a 5-2-1 record and qualified for the last 16. Genk were beaten in the last 16 and the quarter-finals saw them beat Celta Vigo.
Only two of their six away games in this season's Europa League have been won. They have been beaten at Lille and Genk with two draws. Freiburg are eighth in the German Bundesliga behind the Conference League qualifying place on goal difference.
They are struggling for form at present with their last two games being lost. Their most recent loss saw them go down 4-0 at Borussia Dortmund. Before that they were knocked out of the DFB Pokal by Stuttgart.
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SC Braga against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bellaarouch
T. Sa
DefenderJ. Noro
L. Lelo
R. Silva
A. Sousa
MidfielderVasconcelos
F. Navarro
Y. da Rocha
M. Dorgeles
L. Pinto
ForwardA. El Ouazzani
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderB. Ogbus
A. Jung
C. Gunter
L. Kubler
MidfielderN. Hofler
R. Tarnutzer
ForwardL. Holer
C. Irie
D. Scherhant
M. Philipp
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderP. Osterhage
SC Braga & Freiburg Squad Analysis
The first leg of any tie is always vital and Sporting Braga will aim to make most of their home advantage. They have been in strong form on home soil in this season's Europa League with only Genk beating them.
Genk won that game 4-3 but aside from that league phase defeat, Braga have been difficult to score against in home European fixtures this season. Another impressive defensive performance is needed on Thursday evening to boost their qualification hopes.
Can Horta continue his good scoring form?
Up front, Ricardo Horta has been a key player this season with 18 goals and 14 assists. They will be without Gabriel Moscardo who is suspended and there is a doubt over the fitness of Florian Grillitsch.
Freiburg need to bounce back from their DFB Pokal exit and a 4-0 hammering at Borussia Dortmund. They have blown hot and cold on the road in this season's Europa League. There have been big wins at Nice and Celta Vigo but they failed to score at Viktoria Pizen, Lille and Genk.
A return to scoring form for Yuito Suzuki (two in their last three UEL games) would help them. On the injury front, Jordy Makengo didn't play at Borussia Dortmund and he's doubtful for this match.
Most goals and assists
SC Braga
Freiburg
R. Horta
(4 Goals)
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
R. Horta
(4 Assists)
, 
V. Gomez
(4 Assists)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
SC Braga - Freiburg Key Points
- Braga have won seven home games in the Europa League this season.
- Braga have only lost one of their last seven games.
- Freiburg have lost their last two matches and were beaten 4-0 by Dortmund at the weekend.
- Braga are unbeaten in their last three home fixtures with just one loss in the last 14.
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Our SC Braga vs Freiburg Prediction
Sporting Braga will be confident of being able to take a lead to Freiburg for the second leg. The Arcbishops have been strong on home soil in this season's Europa League with seven wins and that includes beating Nottingham Forest who are in the other semi-final.
Freiburg had an almost identical record to Braga in the league phase. They have been struggling in recent games though and lost 4-0 at the weekend. Three of their last four Europa League away games have seen them fail to score. Our Sporting Braga v Freiburg prediction is Sporting Braga wins.
SC Braga vs Freiburg Alternative Predictions
Sporting Braga keep a clean sheet
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis SC Braga Freiburg
| SC Braga vs Freiburg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| SC Braga wins | 2.16 | 2.46 | +13.9% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.2 | -4.5% |
| Freiburg wins | 3.25 | 3.68 | +13.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- SC Braga is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.3% and is now 40.7% (-5.6%)
SC Braga vs Freiburg - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
