Southampton vs Stoke Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Southampton
29/10/2024 15:45
Stoke

Prediction :

 

Double Chance - Stoke & Draw

 
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 by Ian John in Carabao Cup Predictions

A place in the Carabao Cup Quarter-final is on the line when Southampton host Stoke City in their Round of 16 clash on Tuesday. Can the Saints put their struggling Premier League form behind them here, or could the visiting Potters pile on more misery for their hosts with a win? Let’s see what our prediction for this match has discovered.

Southampton’s sole win this season came in the Carabao Cup, a 5-3 win away to Cardiff and in Round Three, they beat Everton 6-5 on penalties after a 1-1 draw at Goodison Park.

Russell Martin’s team have not won a home game this season and they come into this game having lost four games in a row including a 3-2 home loss to Leicester followed by this past weekend’s 1-0 away defeat to Manchester City.

Stoke City come into this game on the back of a defeat at the weekend, a 2-0 loss away to Sheffield United. But prior to that, they had gone four games unbeaten (three draws and one win).

Narcis Pelach’s team beat Carlisle United (2-0) and Middlesbrough (5-0) both away from home before a 1-1 draw followed by a 2-1 win on penalties over Fleetwood saw them earn this shot at the Saints in the Carabao Cup.

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Southampton vs Stoke Form

Southampton and Stoke Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
D D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Leicester

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Southampton

21 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

17 Sept 2024 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Southampton
D D L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
2 :  3
Leicester

21 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Ipswich Town

14 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Manchester United

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
Nottingham Forest

10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
0 :  0
Getafe

7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
1 :  1
Lazio
W L D L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

5 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Arsenal
3 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Southampton

17 Sept 2024 - Carabao Cup

Everton
1 :  1
Southampton

31 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Southampton

28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
3 :  5
Southampton
Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L W D D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  0
Stoke

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Bristol City

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Norwich

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Stoke

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
6 :  1
Portsmouth

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Stoke
L D L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  2
Bristol City

19 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Norwich

2 Oct 2024 - Championship

Stoke
6 :  1
Portsmouth

20 Sept 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Hull

17 Sept 2024 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
1 :  1
Fleetwood Town

24 Aug 2024 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  2
West Brom
W W L L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Championship

Sheffield United
2 :  0
Stoke

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Stoke

28 Sept 2024 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  0
Stoke

14 Sept 2024 - Championship

Oxford United
1 :  0
Stoke

31 Aug 2024 - Championship

Plymouth
0 :  1
Stoke

27 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  5
Stoke

Southampton vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

20 %

Draw

20 %

Stoke

60 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.2
Total goals
20%
BTTS
0.4
Goals scored
0.8
Goals conceded
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  1
Stoke

3 Oct 2023 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  1
Southampton

30 Sept 2017 - Premier League

Stoke
2 :  1
Southampton

21 May 2017 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  1
Stoke

14 Dec 2016 - Premier League

Stoke
0 :  0
Southampton

Southampton vs Stoke last Lineups

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

19
C. Archer
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
26
L. Ugochukwu
18
M. Fernandes
16
Y. Sugawara
35
J. Bednarek
24
R. Fraser
9
A. Armstrong
7
J. Aribo
30
A. Ramsdale
14
J. Bree
15
J. Thompson
7
A. Vidigal
5
M. Rose
13
J. Bonham
26
A. Phillips
30
S. Sidibe
41
J. Dixon
22
J. Tchamadeu
12
T. Seko
9
T. Cannon
17
E. Bocat

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Stoke

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

N. Wood

C. Taylor

J. Stephens

Midfielder

S. Amo-Ameyaw

A. Armstrong 81'

M. Cornet

R. Fraser 37'

Forward

K. Sulemana

J. Bednarek 81'

P. Onuachu

C. Archer 67'

B. Brereton

M. Fernandes 68'

Stoke
Stoke
Goalkeeper

F. Fielding

Defender

F. Anderson

L. Giani

Midfielder

A. Moran

S. Sidibe 71'

L. Koumas

T. Cannon 60'

W. Burger

E. Bocat 84'

Forward

M. Manhoef

A. Vidigal 72'

E. Tezgel

N. Ennis

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Forward

R. Stewart

Stoke
Stoke

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Stoke
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England E. Tezgel (2 Goals) ,  Netherlands M. Manhoef (2 Goals)
Best assists
England C. Taylor (2 Assists) , 
England T. Dibling (2 Assists) , 
Portugal M. Fernandes (2 Assists)
Best assists
Rep. of Ireland A. Moran (3 Assists)

Southampton - Stoke Key Points

  1. Southampton have not won at home this season.
  2. Stoke have scored seven goals in two away games in the Carabao Cup this season.
  3. Stoke have lost just one of their last five games.
  4. Southampton have not beaten Stoke City at home since 2014 (four games, three defeats, one draw)
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Our Southampton vs Stoke Prediction

Our prediction for the Southampton vs. Stoke City tie in the Carabao Cup is: Double Chance - Stoke & Draw.

Southampton's confidence must be rock bottom after a miserable start to the Premier League season. They haven't won a home game in any competition. Stoke's recent form has been improving and they have been excellent away from home in this competition. Add to that the fact Southampton may rest players for this game and the recent and historic data suggests Stoke have a chance. As such, the Double Chance option for Stoke and a draw makes good sense. 

Prediction :

 

Double Chance - Stoke & Draw

 
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Southampton vs Stoke Prediction