Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Carabao Cup Predictions
A wounded lion, Manchester City are seeking to redeem themselves in the Carabao Cup as they welcome Brighton & Hove Albion to the Etihad Stadium in the fourth round. Meetings between these two sides have been highly entertaining, with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals recorded in three of those encounters; hence, our prediction is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.
Manchester City's 100% Premier League record ended over the weekend. The English giants lost 2-1 against Aston Villa on the road. That result comes on the back of a 5-1 hammering of AEK Athens in the UEFA Champions League (League Phase).
The Citizens now turn their attention to the EFL Cup. They are the defending champions after beating Arsenal 2-0 in last season's final, marking their ninth triumph in the competition.
Enzo Maresca's men faced Norwich City in the third round and won 5-0 at home.
Brighton & Hove Albion were also dealt a blow over the weekend in the Premier League. The visitors set foot at Anfield and walked away empty-handed after a 2-0 defeat.
While that result ended a four-match winning streak in the league, it was their first setback in nine matches across all competitions.
The Seagulls will be aiming to bounce back, with the EFL Cup presenting the perfect platform. They are in the fourth round after causing an upset in a hard-fought 3-2 away win over Manchester United.
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Manchester City v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.63 | 4.30 | 4.40 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.30 | 4.57 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.24 | 4.50 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.24 | 4.50 |
|
|
1.68 | 4.24 | 4.50 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Brighton match is: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2026 between Manchester City and Brighton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.77% for a win of Manchester City against Brighton with odds of 1.7 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Brighton is 13.42% with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.82% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Manchester City with odds of 4.57 at 1xbet.
Manchester City vs Brighton Form
Manchester City and Brighton Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
11 Oct 2026 - Premier League
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
22 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
25 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Rulli
DefenderN. O'Reilly
V. Reis
R. Lewis
R. Ait-Nouri
MidfielderA. Bouaddi
R. McAidoo
P. Foden
M. Kovacic
J. Steele
DefenderCostinha
J. Hadjam
MidfielderM. O'Riley
J. Hinshelwood
M. Yalcouye
ForwardG. Rutter
P. David
I. Osman
Missing players
A. Semenyo
M. Wieffer
MidfielderK. Mitoma
F. Azeez
ForwardE. Ferguson
S. Tzimas
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Brighton
F. Samba
(2 Goals)
P. Gross
(1 Goals)
, 
M. De Cuyper
(1 Goals)
, 
C. Kostoulas
(1 Goals)
Manchester City - Brighton Key Points
- Manchester City have seen two of their last three EFL Cup games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have seen BTTS & over 2.5 goals in three of their last four meetings with Manchester City.
- Manchester City have seen six of their last seven home matches this season produce over 2.5 goals.
- Brighton & Hove Albion have seen both teams score in each of their last four away meetings with Manchester City.
- Manchester City are averaging 2.8 goals per match at home, and Brighton & Hove Albion are averaging 2.6 goals per match away.
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Our Manchester City vs Brighton Prediction
Manchester City have the chance to exact revenge on Brighton & Hove Albion for their defeat in this competition 18 years ago. They failed to reach the third round after losing 5-3 on penalties. The defending champions might achieve this feat despite rotations, having won six of their last seven home matches this season.
Brighton & Hove Albion are averaging 2.6 goals per match on the road and have managed to find the net in each of their last four away meetings in this fixture, suggesting they could get on the scoreboard. Our Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction: BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Manchester City vs. Brighton game!
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Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
