Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Carabao Cup Predictions
Bournemouth and Aston Villa will meet in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup at the Vitality Stadium on Wednesday evening. These sides played to a 1-1 draw when they met here in February, and our prediction is that there will be goals at both ends in this match as well.
Bournemouth will enter this match brimming with confidence after securing an impressive 3-0 victory over Manchester United in the EPL on Sunday, which took them up to 13th place.
Marcus Tavernier has been in excellent form of late, scoring in each of his last three matches. The Cherries are now unbeaten in four games, including a 3-0 victory over AC Milan in the UEL.
This week’s hosts are on a three-match win streak at home and have lost just one of their last 16 matches at the Vitality across all competitions, which included that 1-1 draw against Villa in February.
Meanwhile, after a poor start to the season, Aston Villa are now in full flight and pulled off one of the upsets of the weekend, beating Manchester City 2-1 on home soil on Saturday afternoon.
The Villans have been flawless in the Champions League this season (W3) and are now unbeaten in their last eight games in all competitions dating back to September 12 against Forest.
The visitors have won their last five away games in all competitions and scored three or more goals in all but one match during this period.
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Bournemouth v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.17 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.56 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.30 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.52 | 3.20 |
|
|
2.30 | 3.52 | 3.01 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Aston Villa match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2026 between Bournemouth and Aston Villa in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.74% for a win of Bournemouth against Aston Villa with odds of 2.32 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Aston Villa is 19.34% with odds of 3.6 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Bournemouth with odds of 3.2 at Betwinner.
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Form
Bournemouth and Aston Villa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Premier League
21 Oct 2026 - Champions League
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - Premier League
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - Premier League
16 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Di Gregorio
DefenderB. Diakite
J. Soler
MidfielderR. Christie
ForwardE. Kroupi
D. Brooks
A. Adli
A. Rodriguez
B. Gannon-Doak
M. Bizot
DefenderT. Mings
MidfielderR. Barkley
L. Bogarde
E. Buendia
L. Goretzka
ForwardI. Mbaye
G. Hemmings
B. Madjo
Missing players
J. Araujo
MidfielderA. Scott
A. Toth
A. Wan-Bissaka
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderA. Onana
M. Cisse
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
R. Christie
(3 Goals)
T. Abraham
(2 Goals)
Bournemouth - Aston Villa Key Points
- Bournemouth have only failed to score in one of their 12 matches in all competitions this season.
- Bournemouth have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games.
- Aston Villa have scored in 10 consecutive matches ahead of this one.
- Aston Villa have scored three or more goals in four of their last five away games.
- Both teams scored in the last match between these sides at this venue.
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Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Prediction
Bournemouth have produced their two best performances of this season in their last two matches, beating Manchester United comprehensively at Old Trafford just days after smashing AC Milan here at the Vitality.
However, Aston Villa are also arriving in this match in excellent form, unbeaten in eight matches in all competitions, including a gritty 2-1 win over Man City at the weekend. With two in-form sides going head-to-head here, we are expecting goals at both ends. Our Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
