England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Premier League Predictions
Matchday 36 in the English Premier League will get underway with Manchester City making the trip to the south coast to face Southampton at St. Mary’s Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Saints are bottom of the table, while the Citizens are third with three games to go. Check out our match prediction below!
It’s been a torrid season for Southampton, who became the first team to be relegated from the Premier League after losing to Spurs on April 6. Southampton now have just three more games left to avoid joining Derby as the teams to have posted the fewest points in a top-flight season (11). City, on the other hand, is in the midst of a heated battle for Champions League qualification, currently three points ahead of Nottingham Forest in sixth.
Based on the odds, the visitors are expected to dominate this match, as they have been installed as the shortest-priced favourites of any team on matchday 36. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12 | 7 | 1.2 |
|
|
15 | 7.5 | 1.2 |
|
|
8 | 3.7 | 1.4 |
|
|
12 | 7 | 1.18 |
|
|
12.5 | 7 | 1.16 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Manchester City match is: Manchester City over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2025 between Southampton and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.47% for a win of Southampton against Manchester City with odds of 15 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Manchester City is 14.43% with odds of 8 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 77.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Southampton with odds of 1.4 at Ladbrokes.
Southampton vs Manchester City Form
Southampton and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
64 | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 24 |
|
20
|
11 | 35 | 2 | 5 | 28 | -57 |
Southampton and Manchester City Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Premier League
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
25 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2025 - Premier League
22 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
15 Mar 2025 - Premier League
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
Southampton vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
8 Apr 2023 - Premier League
11 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup
8 Oct 2022 - Premier League
20 Mar 2022 - FA Cup
22 Jan 2022 - Premier League
Southampton - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Southampton suffered their 28th league defeat, losing 2-0 to second-bottom Leicester City last weekend. If they lose this match as well, they will be tied for the most defeats in a Premier League season.
The loss to the Foxes was the Saints’ 12th consecutive match without victory (W0 D2 L10) dating back to the start of the year, and the eighth time in their last 10 league games conceding two or more goals.
The hosts are also winless in their last 12 home games this term (W0 D1 L11), and have only conceded fewer than two goals in two matches during that period.
Southampton are currently tied for the all-time fewest EPL home wins in a season (1)!
Meanwhile, outgoing champions Manchester City are making a late surge up the table, and moved into third place last weekend with a hard-fought 1-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers.
That result marked the Sky Blues’ fourth consecutive league win and seventh game unbeaten. They scored two or more goals in five of those matches and maintained clean sheets in four.
The visitors have been well below their usual standard on the road this season, having only taken 25 points in 17 games (W7 D4 L6). However, they have shut out opponents in three of their last four outings.
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Southampton vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Southampton & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Southampton are expected to be without at least three players this weekend due to injury, including Albert Gronbaek (muscle), Charlie Taylor (hip) and Gavin Bazunu (knee).
Paul Onuachu and Tyler Dibling were brought on for the second half against Leicester, and the pair are expected to make the starting 11 this weekend, with Ross Stewart being one of the most likely to make way.
Could this be the ideal match for Pep Guardiola to unleash Erling Haaland?
The Norwegian has been out of action since the start of April with an ankle injury, but he returned to the bench last weekend against Wolves, albeit as an unused substitute.
City also received two more injury boosts over the last week, with Oscar Bobb and Nathan Ake both resuming first-team training following spells on the sidelines.
Rodri is working his way back to full fitness and is training with the group, meaning that John Stones is the only Man City player who is still currently on the treatment table.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Manchester City
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
E. Haaland
(29 Goals)
M. Fernandes
(6 Assists)
Savinho
(10 Assists)
Southampton and Manchester City Stats in Premier League
Southampton - Manchester City Key Points
- Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 league games.
- Southampton are averaging 2.65 goals conceded in home games this season.
- Southampton have conceded three or more goals in eight of their last 10 home matches.
- Manchester City have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight league games.
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Our Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction
Southampton have endured a torrid season, but unfortunately, they still have this match against City, who are fighting for a Champions League spot, and Arsenal to come on the final day of the campaign, neither of which they will be looking forward to.
The Citizens have also had a tough time in the top flight this term, but they will want to produce a commanding performance here to carry their momentum into the FA Cup final against Crystal Palace next week. Our Southampton vs Manchester City prediction is Manchester City over 2.5.
Southampton vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score (NO)
Each of Manchester City’s last four away league games have ended with only one team scoring. They also kept clean sheets in three of those matches, and we fancy them to do likewise in this one.
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Southampton vs Manchester City match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will be played on May 10 at 15:00 GMT.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.
The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.
However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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