Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Southampton
10/05/2025 10:00
Manchester City

Prediction :

 

Manchester City over 2.5

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions

Matchday 36 in the English Premier League will get underway with Manchester City making the trip to the south coast to face Southampton at St. Mary’s Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Saints are bottom of the table, while the Citizens are third with three games to go. Check out our match prediction below!

It’s been a torrid season for Southampton, who became the first team to be relegated from the Premier League after losing to Spurs on April 6. Southampton now have just three more games left to avoid joining Derby as the teams to have posted the fewest points in a top-flight season (11). City, on the other hand, is in the midst of a heated battle for Champions League qualification, currently three points ahead of Nottingham Forest in sixth. 

Based on the odds, the visitors are expected to dominate this match, as they have been installed as the shortest-priced favourites of any team on matchday 36. Let’s get into the key stats.

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Southampton vs Manchester City Form

Southampton and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Manchester City
71 38 21 8 9 +28
20 Southampton
12 38 2 6 30 -60

Southampton and Manchester City Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
D L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Fulham

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  3
Aston Villa

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Crystal Palace

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Wolves

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
0 :  4
Brighton

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  3
Bournemouth
W L L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Premier League

Leicester
2 :  0
Southampton

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Southampton

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
3 :  1
Southampton

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
3 :  1
Southampton

25 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  0
Southampton

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
1 :  2
Southampton
Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

22 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 May 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Wolves

22 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Aston Villa

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  2
Crystal Palace

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  0
Leicester

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  2
Brighton

1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Manchester City
3 :  1
Plymouth
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - FA Cup

Nottingham Forest
0 :  2
Manchester City

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  2
Manchester City

6 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  0
Manchester City

30 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Bournemouth
1 :  2
Manchester City

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Manchester City

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Manchester City

Southampton vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

17 %

Draw

17 %

Manchester City

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Southampton

8 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  4
Manchester City

11 Jan 2023 - Carabao Cup

Southampton
2 :  0
Manchester City

8 Oct 2022 - Premier League

Manchester City
4 :  0
Southampton

20 Mar 2022 - FA Cup

Southampton
1 :  4
Manchester City

22 Jan 2022 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  1
Manchester City

Southampton - Manchester City: Form Analysis

Southampton suffered their 28th league defeat, losing 2-0 to second-bottom Leicester City last weekend. If they lose this match as well, they will be tied for the most defeats in a Premier League season. 

The loss to the Foxes was the Saints’ 12th consecutive match without victory (W0 D2 L10) dating back to the start of the year, and the eighth time in their last 10 league games conceding two or more goals.

The hosts are also winless in their last 12 home games this term (W0 D1 L11), and have only conceded fewer than two goals in two matches during that period. 

Southampton are currently tied for the all-time fewest EPL home wins in a season (1)!

Meanwhile, outgoing champions Manchester City are making a late surge up the table, and moved into third place last weekend with a hard-fought 1-0 home win over Wolverhampton Wanderers. 

That result marked the Sky Blues’ fourth consecutive league win and seventh game unbeaten. They scored two or more goals in five of those matches and maintained clean sheets in four. 

The visitors have been well below their usual standard on the road this season, having only taken 25 points in 17 games (W7 D4 L6). However, they have shut out opponents in three of their last four outings. 

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Southampton vs Manchester City last Lineups

Southampton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

30
A. Ramsdale
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
35
J. Bednarek
5
J. Stephens
14
J. Bree
4
F. Downes
26
L. Ugochukwu
34
Welington
18
M. Fernandes
20
K. Sulemana
33
T. Dibling
9
E. Haaland
47
P. Foden
17
K. De Bruyne
87
J. McAtee
8
M. Kovacic
20
B. Silva
24
J. Gvardiol
3
R. Dias
25
M. Akanji
82
R. Lewis
31
Ederson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2

Manchester City

Substitutes

Southampton
Southampton
Goalkeeper

A. McCarthy

Defender

Y. Sugawara

N. Wood

Midfielder

W. Smallbone

M. Fernandes 90'

J. Aribo

L. Ugochukwu 46'

R. Manning

Welington 88'

Forward

R. Stewart

K. Sulemana 88'

C. Archer

T. Dibling 66'

P. Onuachu

Manchester City
Manchester City
Goalkeeper

S. Ortega

Defender

N. O'Reilly

R. Lewis 76'

Midfielder

M. Nunes

N. Gonzalez

Savinho

P. Foden 76'

J. Grealish

I. Gundogan

Forward

O. Marmoush

M. Kovacic 84'

J. Doku

J. McAtee 46'

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

N. Ake

J. Stones

Midfielder

Rodri

Southampton & Manchester City Squad Analysis

Southampton are expected to be without at least three players this weekend due to injury, including Albert Gronbaek (muscle), Charlie Taylor (hip) and Gavin Bazunu (knee). 

Paul Onuachu and Tyler Dibling were brought on for the second half against Leicester, and the pair are expected to make the starting 11 this weekend, with Ross Stewart being one of the most likely to make way. 

Could this be the ideal match for Pep Guardiola to unleash Erling Haaland?

The Norwegian has been out of action since the start of April with an ankle injury, but he returned to the bench last weekend against Wolves, albeit as an unused substitute. 

City also received two more injury boosts over the last week, with Oscar Bobb and Nathan Ake both resuming first-team training following spells on the sidelines. 

Rodri is working his way back to full fitness and is training with the group, meaning that John Stones is the only Man City player who is still currently on the treatment table. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Manchester City
Top Goalscorer
Nigeria P. Onuachu (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (21 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal M. Fernandes (4 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium K. De Bruyne (8 Assists)
Brazil Savinho (8 Assists)

Southampton - Manchester City Key Points

  1. Southampton have conceded two or more goals in eight of their last 10 league games.
  2. Southampton are averaging 2.65 goals conceded in home games this season.
  3. Southampton have conceded three or more goals in eight of their last 10 home matches.
  4. Manchester City have scored two or more goals in five of their last eight league games.
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Our Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction

Southampton have endured a torrid season, but unfortunately, they still have this match against City, who are fighting for a Champions League spot, and Arsenal to come on the final day of the campaign, neither of which they will be looking forward to. 

The Citizens have also had a tough time in the top flight this term, but they will want to produce a commanding performance here to carry their momentum into the FA Cup final against Crystal Palace next week. Our Southampton vs Manchester City prediction is Manchester City over 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Manchester City over 2.5

 
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Southampton vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions

Both teams to score (NO)

Odds 1.9

Each of Manchester City’s last four away league games have ended with only one team scoring. They also kept clean sheets in three of those matches, and we fancy them to do likewise in this one.

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Southampton vs Manchester City - FAQs

The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will be played on May 10 at 15:00 GMT. 

The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will take place at St. Mary's Stadium in Hampshire.

The Premier League match between Southampton and Manchester City will not be broadcast on TV in the UK.

However, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Southampton vs Manchester City Prediction