South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions
It's the final match of the South Africa v New Zealand test series. South Africa lead the series 2-1 but this final match is not being played on home soil like the other three, but in Baltimore USA. New Zealand haven't been heavily beaten in their two losses and our prediction is the All-Blacks win on a +10.5 handicap.
New Zealand won the opening test 33-16 after a strong second half performance. The Springboks drew level with a win in the second test but only by a seven point margin. South Africa went 2-1 up in the series last weekend with another win but it was another close match with the All-Blacks only being beaten by five points.
Now they meet in this final match with New Zealand hoping to get a win and draw the series. The fact that South Africa no longer has home advantage in this series may well be a major factor in this match. It was certainly strange to see both the teams make their way to the USA on the same plane.
The weather is scheduled to be warm and fairly sticky with the possibility of thunderstorms.
New Zealand are the underdogs against the world champions, but with a 10.5 point start New Zealand can be backed to win.
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South Africa v New Zealand Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.42 | 28 | 2.88 |
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1.42 | 28 | 2.88 |
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1.42 | 28 | 2.88 |
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|
1.44 | 21 | 2.88 |
|
|
1.45 | 20 | 2.74 |
|
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South Africa vs New Zealand Form
South Africa and New Zealand Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
29 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
South Africa vs New Zealand Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
5 Sept 2026 - Test Matches
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
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South Africa - New Zealand Key Points
- With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand would have won seven of their last eight games against South Africa.
- South Africa's two wins in this series were only by a combined margin of 12 points.
- With a 10.5 point start, New Zealand would have won 11 of their last 12 matches.
- Giving their opponents a 10.5 start would have seen South Africa lose their last four tests.
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Our South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction
It's off to the USA for the Springboks and the All-Blacks. This is the final match of their four-test series and after losing the opening match, South Africa lead 2-1 and the worst case scenario is they will draw this series if they are beaten in Baltimore.
New Zealand have lost the last two tests, but both were by narrow margins. They now face a Springboks side who do not have its home advantage. South Africa may well make it 3-1 but it could be close and our South Africa v New Zealand prediction is New Zealand wins on a +10.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
