South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches

International - Test Matches

South Africa
05/09/2026 11:00
New Zealand

Prediction :

 

New Zealand wins on a +10.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

South Africa face New Zealand in the third of a four test series. This is the final match in this series that will be played in South Africa, the final being staged in the USA. The two sides are 1-1 in this series and New Zealand have proved they can regularly score tries against the world champions, Our prediction is they will win on a +10.5 handicap.

South Africa have more than held their own against the All-Blacks. Only the second half of the first test saw New Zealand in control and that saw them win that match. Last week saw the Springboks back in control as they beat New Zealand 33-26 after leading 24-14 at the break,

That win prevented the All-Blacks winning two successive tests in South Africa for the first time in 30 years. New Zealand fought back well in the second half last week and that combined with the way they played in the opening test match will give them hope of going 2-1 up in the series before the final match in the States.

The loss last week was their first on this South African tour. With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand can be backed in this match.

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South Africa v New Zealand Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.37 21 3.23
Melbet
1.37 21 3.23
Betwinner
1.37 21 3.23
22bet
1.37 21 3.32
Bet365
1.4 23 3.1
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South Africa vs New Zealand Form

South Africa and New Zealand Last Matches

South Africa
South Africa Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
10 :  17
South Africa

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
43 :  0
Wales

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
45 :  21
England
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
43 :  0
Wales

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
45 :  21
England

20 Jun 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
80 :  31
The Barbarians
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
10 :  17
South Africa

29 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
0 :  73
South Africa

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  24
South Africa

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Italy
14 :  32
South Africa

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

France
17 :  32
South Africa

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
27 :  29
South Africa
New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
33 :  19
New Zealand

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
17 :  25
New Zealand

South Africa vs New Zealand Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

South Africa

67 %

Draw

0 %

New Zealand

33 %

29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
33 :  26
New Zealand

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
11 :  12
South Africa

25 Aug 2023 - Test Matches

New Zealand
7 :  35
South Africa
South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction

Players list

South Africa
South Africa
K. Arendse R. Nortje E. Hooker S. Mngomenzulu C. Kolbe D. De Allende P. du Toit E. Etzebeth C. Reinach S. Kolisi J. Kriel M. Marx O. Nche J. Wiese W. Louw
New Zealand
New Zealand
L. Carter T. Vaa'i Q. Tupaea W. Jordan S. Darry R. Love P. Lakai C. Roigard L. Jacobson A. Savea J. Barrett A. Aumua T. Lomax G. Bower D. Mckenzie

Substitutes

South Africa
South Africa
M. van der Berg I. Libbok C. Hanekom G. Steenekamp A. Esterhuizen L. De Jager T. Du Toit D. Fourie
New Zealand
New Zealand
X. Numia S. Taukei'aho F. Newell K. Preston W. Sititi F. Holland J. Moorby A. Lienert-Brown

South Africa - New Zealand Key Points

  1. New Zealand has already won one match in this series without the need of a handicap start.
  2. With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand would have won seven of the last eight matches played between these two countries.
  3. With their opponents being given a 10.5 points start, South Africa would have lost their last three matches.
  4. With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand would have won ten of their last 12 matches.
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Our South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction

We could be in for a real barnstormer of a third test between South Africa and New Zealand. After the All-Blacks won the opening test, they struggled in the first half last week and lost despite a great late comeback. With a 10.5 points start, it'd be 2-0 to the All-Blacks.

South Africa did well to level the series last week and could well go 2-1 up. The way New Zealand played in the second half of both the opening two games is encouraging though. Our South Africa v New Zealand prediction is New Zealand wins on a +10.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

New Zealand wins on a +10.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.