South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions
South Africa face New Zealand in the third of a four test series. This is the final match in this series that will be played in South Africa, the final being staged in the USA. The two sides are 1-1 in this series and New Zealand have proved they can regularly score tries against the world champions, Our prediction is they will win on a +10.5 handicap.
South Africa have more than held their own against the All-Blacks. Only the second half of the first test saw New Zealand in control and that saw them win that match. Last week saw the Springboks back in control as they beat New Zealand 33-26 after leading 24-14 at the break,
That win prevented the All-Blacks winning two successive tests in South Africa for the first time in 30 years. New Zealand fought back well in the second half last week and that combined with the way they played in the opening test match will give them hope of going 2-1 up in the series before the final match in the States.
The loss last week was their first on this South African tour. With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand can be backed in this match.
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South Africa v New Zealand Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.37 | 21 | 3.23 |
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1.37 | 21 | 3.23 |
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1.37 | 21 | 3.23 |
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1.37 | 21 | 3.32 |
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1.4 | 23 | 3.1 |
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South Africa vs New Zealand Form
South Africa and New Zealand Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
20 Jun 2026 - Test Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
29 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship
27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches
South Africa vs New Zealand Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
29 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches
13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship
28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
25 Aug 2023 - Test Matches
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South Africa - New Zealand Key Points
- New Zealand has already won one match in this series without the need of a handicap start.
- With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand would have won seven of the last eight matches played between these two countries.
- With their opponents being given a 10.5 points start, South Africa would have lost their last three matches.
- With a 10.5 points start, New Zealand would have won ten of their last 12 matches.
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Our South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction
We could be in for a real barnstormer of a third test between South Africa and New Zealand. After the All-Blacks won the opening test, they struggled in the first half last week and lost despite a great late comeback. With a 10.5 points start, it'd be 2-0 to the All-Blacks.
South Africa did well to level the series last week and could well go 2-1 up. The way New Zealand played in the second half of both the opening two games is encouraging though. Our South Africa v New Zealand prediction is New Zealand wins on a +10.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.