South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matches

International - Test Matches

South Africa
29/08/2026 11:10
New Zealand

Prediction :

 

New Zealand wins on a +11.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions

South Africa are the world champions and top the rankings, but are trailing in this four-test series against New Zealand. The All-Blacks won the first test last week and despite the Springboks being bound to want revenge, our prediction is they can win on a +11.5 handicap.

It was a tight match in the first test until the second half. New Zealand dominated that period and they ran out the 33-16 winners. There are three tests left to play, two in South Africa and one in the USA.

New Zealand's win was their fifth in South Africa in the past ten years.. It was also the second time that they had beaten the world champions in their last three matches. All four of their matches on this tour of South Africa have been won.

South Africa will be out for revenge here. Another defeat would mean that the best they can get from this series is a draw, if winning the final two matches that are scheduled.

It was really tight in the first half last weekend and the Springboks need to repeat that kind of effort if they are to level the series. They have to work out just what went wrong in the second half and avoid a repeat of that performance.

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South Africa v New Zealand Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.37 20 3.28
Melbet
1.37 20 3.28
Betwinner
1.37 20 3.28
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1.41 21 3.32
Bet365
1.36 23 3.2
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South Africa vs New Zealand Form

South Africa and New Zealand Last Matches

South Africa
South Africa Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
10 :  17
South Africa

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
43 :  0
Wales

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
45 :  21
England

20 Jun 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
80 :  31
The Barbarians
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
43 :  0
Wales

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
42 :  28
Scotland

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

South Africa
45 :  21
England

20 Jun 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
80 :  31
The Barbarians

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

South Africa
61 :  7
Japan
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

8 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Argentina
10 :  17
South Africa

29 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
0 :  73
South Africa

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  24
South Africa

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Italy
14 :  32
South Africa

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

France
17 :  32
South Africa

4 Oct 2025 - The Rugby Championship

Argentina
27 :  29
South Africa
New Zealand
New Zealand Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

18 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
40 :  21
Ireland

11 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
47 :  17
Italy

4 Jul 2026 - Nations Championship

New Zealand
34 :  32
France

27 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
33 :  24
Australia

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

7 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

Stormers
21 :  38
New Zealand

22 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Wales
26 :  52
New Zealand

15 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

England
33 :  19
New Zealand

8 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Scotland
17 :  25
New Zealand

1 Nov 2025 - Test Matches

Ireland
13 :  26
New Zealand

South Africa vs New Zealand Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

South Africa

50 %

Draw

0 %

New Zealand

50 %

22 Aug 2026 - Test Matches

South Africa
16 :  33
New Zealand

13 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
10 :  43
South Africa

6 Sept 2025 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
24 :  17
South Africa

28 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

New Zealand
11 :  12
South Africa

25 Aug 2023 - Test Matches

New Zealand
7 :  35
South Africa

15 Jul 2023 - The Rugby Championship

New Zealand
35 :  20
South Africa
South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction

Players list

South Africa
South Africa
K. Arendse R. Nortje G. Williams D. Willemse P. de Villiers S. Mngomenzulu M. Marx J. Kriel C. Kolbe D. De Allende P. du Toit E. Etzebeth W. Louw O. Nche J. Wiese
New Zealand
New Zealand
T. Vaa'i E. de Groot Q. Tupaea W. Jordan J. Lord F. Holland C. Roigard J. Moorby R. Love A. Savea D. Mckenzie L. Jacobson J. Barrett T. Lomax C. Taylor

Substitutes

South Africa
South Africa
Z. Porthen J. Wessells I. Libbok M. van Staden A. Esterhuizen C. Reinach G. Steenekamp C. Wiese
New Zealand
New Zealand
S. Parker F. Newell L. Carter K. Preston P. Lakai A. Lienert-Brown A. Aumua G. Bower

South Africa - New Zealand Key Points

  1. New Zealand won the first test by 17 points.
  2. New Zealand have won two of their last three games against South Africa.
  3. New Zealand have won all four of their tour matches by 12 points or more.
  4. With an 11.5 point start, New Zealand would have won five of their last six games against South Africa.
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Our South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction

South Africa will come out all guns a blazing for this second test against New Zealand. They put up a good battle in the first half last weekend but then New Zealand ran away with the game with a dominant second half performance.

The All-Blacks will know that the South Africans will be desperate to level the series. However, their win must have boosted their confidence. The Springboks may well win but our South Africa v New Zealand prediction is New Zealand wins on a +11.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

New Zealand wins on a +11.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.