Senegal vs Sudan Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions
Senegal are aiming for another win on their return to the AFCON Qualifiers against Sudan. The home side has three wins in their past five games with ten goals scored. Sudan are in worse form with four losses in their past five games. Moreover, Sudan’s goalscoring is poor ahead of this low-scoring matchup, so our Senegal vs Sudan match prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Sudan were beaten 4-1 by Mozambique in Matchday 2 of the new AFCON Qualifiers, following their 1-0 victory at the start of the tournament. Before the new AFCON season, Sudan lost six matches out of seven, while netting only three goals. Given their poor attacking form, it would be no surprise if the away side fails to score come Thursday.
Still, the Falcons could cause problems for Senegal with a rigid defensive setup. Senegal’s 1-0 win over Comoros was their third win in five games. Les Lions beat Ethiopia 1-0 following a 1-1 draw with Mozambique in late September. Despite netting at 2.0 per match in their past five games, Senegal might find fewer goalscoring opportunities against Sudan.
Although their last clash ended in a 3-2 victory for Senegal, each of their five H2H games prior ended in under 2.5 goals. We expect a similar outcome for Senegal, especially as the home side, who are scoring more, have only managed two goals in two AFCON games.
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Senegal v Sudan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.09 | 9.00 | 15.00 |
|
|
1.07 | 9.30 | 26.00 |
|
|
1.07 | 9.30 | 26.00 |
|
|
1.01 | 9.70 | 17.00 |
|
|
1.09 | 8.00 | 21.00 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Senegal and Sudan?
Our prediction for the Senegal vs Sudan match is: Under 2.5 Goals
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/11/2026 between Senegal and Sudan in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 83.44% for a win of Senegal against Sudan with odds of 1.12 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Senegal vs Sudan is 12.21% with odds of 9.7 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 4.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Sudan vs Senegal with odds of 26 at 1xbet.
Senegal vs Sudan Form
Senegal and Sudan's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 |
|
3
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Senegal and Sudan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Sept 2026 - AFCON
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Jan 2026 - AFCON
14 Jan 2026 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - International Friendlies
29 Sept 2026 - AFCON
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - AFCON
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2026 - AFCON
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
6 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
23 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - AFCON
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
3 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
Senegal vs Sudan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Jan 2026 - AFCON
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
29 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
19 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Missing players
A. Mendy
MidfielderH. Diarra
B. Ndiaye
ForwardI. Sarr
Senegal and Sudan Stats in AFCON
Senegal - Sudan Key Points
- Senegal have only scored one goal per match in each of their past three appearances.
- The away side have only scored three goals in their past six games.
- Falcons have not scored more than one goal in a single match in any of their last ten games.
- Both sides have only scored two goals in their past two AFCON matches.
- Five of their past six H2H clashes have ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our Senegal vs Sudan Prediction
Thursday’s clash should be another routine win for Senegal, who are unbeaten in seven matches against the Falcons. They are also in better form ahead of the game after securing three wins in five games. Senegal’s goalscoring has tapered off in recent games, with Les Lions managing only three goals in three matches.
Still, that should be enough to overcome a Sudan side that is scoring far fewer goals. Overall, we expect a rather tight game, especially as the away side will aim to concede a few goals. Hence, our Senegal vs Sudan prediction is Under 2.5 Goals
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