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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
For the first time in his Rome Masters history, Jannik Sinner will be playing in the semi-final. He will meet Tommy Paul, this being the fifth matchup between them, and the winner will face Carlos Alcaraz or Lorenzo Musetti. Read on for our prediction.
Sinner has blasted his way to the last four after coming off a three-month suspension. The world number one is yet to drop a set at the Rome Masters.
He is coming from a dominant, two-set win over Madrid Masters winner Casper Ruud. Sinner won that match 6-0, 6-1, needing just an hour and five minutes to do the job. He leads Tommy Paul 3-1 in their head-to-head records.
Across all the remaining four players, it so happens that none is as experienced at Rome Masters as Tommy Paul. He is the only remaining player to have made it to the last four at a previous appearance.
That said, the American is faced with the arduous task of being the first person to beat Sinner this year. He overcame Hubert Hurkacz in straight sets in just under two hours.
Bringing his tally for the season to 21-7, Paul will be a force to reckon with, especially as he is 8-2 on clay for the season. In their four meetings, only one was on clay, and Sinner won it in three sets at Madrid.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Tommy Paul Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.08 | 8 |
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1.1 | 7 |
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1.07 | 8.5 |
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1.08 | 8 |
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1.08 | 8.5 |
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul match is: Sinner to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul game on 16/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 72.67% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.1.
- Tommy Paul has a 27.33% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 8.5 at Betway.
Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 72.67 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jannik Sinner | 72.67 % |
Tommy Paul | 27.33 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Form
Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
26 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
24 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
2 Sep 2024 - ATP US Open
12 Aug 2023 - Toronto, Canada
22 Jun 2022 - ATP Eastbourne International
Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Sinner hasn’t lost a match this season.
- Sinner has a 6-4 record at Masters semi-finals.
- Paul has a 1-3 record against top-10 players in 2025.
- Sinner leads this matchup 3-1 on head-to-head records.
- Tommy Paul suffered two losses in their last eight matches.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Tommy Paul may be the only one of the remaining four to have graced the Rome Masters semi-final, but his current record states he will be an underdog. The American has this year alone lost three of four matches against top-10 players.
In his career, on clay he has faced nine top-10 players and lost six times. While the other three wins came here in Rome, chances of a repeat are quite slim when faced with Sinner in his current form. Sinner has been dominant since returning, picking up from where he left off. Our prediction for Jannik Sinner v Tommy Paul is for Sinner to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Jannik Sinner vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Jannik Sinner and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Jannik Sinner or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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