ATP - ATP Beijing Open


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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur meet for the 11th time, and this clash will take place in the semifinals of the Beijing Open. Sinner would especially be excited as he holds an almost perfect record against his opponent. See the sharp pick in this Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match prediction.
Our bet is for Sinner to beat Minaur in straight sets, which is something he has done in eight of his nine wins against Minaur. In fact, in the ten times they’ve faced, Sinner has conceded one set to Minaur, and that was half a decade ago during their second-ever clash, in which Sinner won.
Minaur’s only win against Sinner was a walkover, meaning the game wasn’t decided based on skill. But it’s not just against Minaur that Sinner consistently wins this way. Of Jannik Sinner’s last 22 three-set singles wins, he has won 20 games in two sets. Also notable is the fact that Minaur's last seven three-set defeats featured four losses in two sets.
What’s more, the quality of Sinner’s opponent doesn’t seem to matter much, as that run includes several players ranked in the ATP top 20. Sinner capped that run with a quarterfinal straight-sets victory over Fabian Marozsan. While Minaur qualified off a retired game against Jakub Mensik.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Alex De Minaur Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.11 | 6.5 |
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1.11 | 6.5 |
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1.1 | 7 |
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1.12 | 6 |
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1.12 | 6.5 |
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match is: Sinner wins in two sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur game on 30/09/2025 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:
- Jannik Sinner has a 76.43% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.13.
- Alex De Minaur has a 23.57% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 7.08 at Betobet.
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 76.43 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
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Jannik Sinner | 76.43 % |
Alex De Minaur | 23.57 % |
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Form
Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
25 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
7 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
5 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
21 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
20 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches
12 Sep 2025 - Davis Cup
Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
22 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
23 Nov 2024 - Davis Cup
10 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals
18 Feb 2024 - ATP Rotterdam
26 Nov 2023 - Davis Cup
2 Nov 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters
Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Sinner has won eight of his nine victories against Minaur in straight sets.
- Sinner has won his last eight meetings against Minaur in straight sets.
- Of Sinner’s last 22 three-set singles victories, 20 came in two sets.
- Of Minaur’s last seven three-set defeats, six came in two sets.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Sinner is undoubtedly the favorite to win the Beijing Open, so beating Minaur in the semifinal seems inevitable. However, the real value is betting on Sinner to win in two sets.
Sinner has done this in eight of his nine victories against Minaur and has now won in the same way over 20 of his last 22 three-set singles victories. Then, for Minaur, he has lost in two sets over his last seven three-set singles defeats. Hence, our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur precision is that Sinner wins in two sets.
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Try your luck on this year's ATP Beijing Open! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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