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Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open

ATP - ATP Beijing Open

ATP 2 Italy
Jannik Sinner
30/09/2025 02:00
ATP 8 Australia
Alex De Minaur

Prediction :

 

Sinner wins in two sets

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions

Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur meet for the 11th time, and this clash will take place in the semifinals of the Beijing Open. Sinner would especially be excited as he holds an almost perfect record against his opponent. See the sharp pick in this Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match prediction.

Our bet is for Sinner to beat Minaur in straight sets, which is something he has done in eight of his nine wins against Minaur. In fact, in the ten times they’ve faced, Sinner has conceded one set to Minaur, and that was half a decade ago during their second-ever clash, in which Sinner won.

Minaur’s only win against Sinner was a walkover, meaning the game wasn’t decided based on skill. But it’s not just against Minaur that Sinner consistently wins this way. Of Jannik Sinner’s last 22 three-set singles wins, he has won 20 games in two sets. Also notable is the fact that Minaur's last seven three-set defeats featured four losses in two sets.

What’s more, the quality of Sinner’s opponent doesn’t seem to matter much, as that run includes several players ranked in the ATP top 20. Sinner capped that run with a quarterfinal straight-sets victory over Fabian Marozsan. While Minaur qualified off a retired game against Jakub Mensik.

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The Best Betting Odds for Jannik Sinner v Alex De Minaur Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.11 6.5
William Hill
1.11 6.5
Betway
1.1 7
Ladbrokes
1.12 6
Unibet
1.12 6.5
Check all Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur odds
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Who will win the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur match is: Sinner wins in two sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur game on 30/09/2025 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:

  • Jannik Sinner has a 76.43% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.13.
  • Alex De Minaur has a 23.57% probability of winning facing Jannik Sinner ⭐ with odds of 7.08 at Betobet.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jannik Sinner has a 76.43 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Jannik Sinner76.43 %
Alex De Minaur23.57 %

Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Form

Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur Last Matches

Jannik Sinner Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Fabian Marozsan

27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  1
Terence Atmane

25 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Marin Cilic

7 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
1 :  3
Carlos Alcaraz

5 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Felix Auger Aliassime

3 Sep 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Alex De Minaur Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

29 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
abort
Jakub Mensik

27 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Arthur Rinderknech

26 Sep 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Yunchaokete Bu

21 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Jakub Mensik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

20 Sep 2025 - Laver Cup,Singles Matches

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

12 Sep 2025 - Davis Cup

Alex De Minaur
1 :  2
Raphael Collignon

Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Jannik Sinner

83 %

Alex De Minaur

17 %

22 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Alex De Minaur

23 Nov 2024 - Davis Cup

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

10 Nov 2024 - ATP Finals

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

18 Feb 2024 - ATP Rotterdam

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

26 Nov 2023 - Davis Cup

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

2 Nov 2023 - Rolex Paris Masters

Jannik Sinner
- :  -
Alex De Minaur
Compare Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur with our comparison tool.

Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Key Points

  1. Sinner has won eight of his nine victories against Minaur in straight sets.
  2. Sinner has won his last eight meetings against Minaur in straight sets.
  3. Of Sinner’s last 22 three-set singles victories, 20 came in two sets.
  4. Of Minaur’s last seven three-set defeats, six came in two sets.
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Our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction

Sinner is undoubtedly the favorite to win the Beijing Open, so beating Minaur in the semifinal seems inevitable. However, the real value is betting on Sinner to win in two sets.

Sinner has done this in eight of his nine victories against Minaur and has now won in the same way over 20 of his last 22 three-set singles victories. Then, for Minaur, he has lost in two sets over his last seven three-set singles defeats. Hence, our Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur precision is that Sinner wins in two sets.

Prediction :

 

Sinner wins in two sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
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