Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
On Thursday, Shakhtar Donetsk will face Ilves at Stadion Stozice in the first round of the Europa League qualifiers. The winner of this tie between the Miners and Ipa will meet Besiktas in the second qualifying round. Let's get into the match prediction.
After three title-winning seasons in a row, Shakhtar Donetsk were forced to relinquish their hold on the Ukrainian Premier League last term when they only managed third place.
The Miners won the Ukrainian Cup to earn entry to the Europa League qualifiers. While they failed to qualify for the main draw last season, they did reach the last 16 in 2020-21 and 2022-23.
The Ukrainian Cup was the hosts’ last competitive match and the result saw them end the season unbeaten in their final seven games (W4 D3). They had scored two or more goals in four of their last five home matches.
Meanwhile, after ending 2022 and 2023 in the bottom half of the Veikkausliiga, Ilves enjoyed an excellent season last year, finishing second, just two points off league winners KuPS.
This will be Ipa’s third appearance in the Europa League qualifiers and they will be hoping to make it to the main draw for the first time, having exited in this round in their two previous attempts.
The visitors have been in good form coming into this match. They drew 1-1 against SJK last weekend and have only lost one of their last six league games (W4 D1 L1).
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The Best Betting Odds for Shakhtar Donetsk v Ilves Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 6 | 12 |
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|
1.17 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 12 |
|
|
1.2 | 6 | 11 |
|
|
1.15 | 7 | 15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and Ilves?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/07/2025 between Shakhtar Donetsk and Ilves in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.82% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against Ilves with odds of 1.21 at Bwin.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves is 30.78% with odds of 7.2 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Ilves vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 15 at Unibet.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and Ilves Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - Premier League
18 May 2025 - Premier League
14 May 2025 - Ukraine Cup
9 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Ukraine Cup
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
19 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 May 2025 - Premier League
18 May 2025 - Premier League
9 May 2025 - Premier League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
23 Apr 2025 - Ukraine Cup
11 Apr 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
2 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
18 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
14 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
1 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
18 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
24 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
21 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
9 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
12 Apr 2025 - Veikkausliiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
14 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
1 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 May 2025 - Suomen Cup
17 May 2025 - Veikkausliiga
Shakhtar Donetsk - Ilves Key Points
- Four of Shakhtar Donetsk’s last five games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Shakhtar Donetsk has only kept one clean sheet in their last five competitive home games.
- Shakhtar Donetsk scored in all of their home games since October last year.
- Ilves scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
- Ilves has only failed to score in one of their last six away games across all competitions.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves Prediction
While Shakhtar Donetsk are massive favourites to win this match, they did experience a noticeable dip in performance last season and it remains to be seen what shape they are in after a few weeks off.
Ilves, on the other hand, have begun the 2025 season promisingly, and with the Veikkausliiga already 15 games in, there is a case to be made that they could be the more match ready in this contest. We fancy the hosts to win the match but feel the visitors will get on the scoresheet. Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs Ilves prediction is both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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