Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
05/09/2026 12:30
Bayern Munich

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Schalke’s chastening return to the Bundesliga could be extended on matchday two when they host the free-scoring champions Bayern Munich. This match on Saturday at the Veltins Arena in Gelsenkirchen between the 16th-placed ‘Royal Blues’ and the 1st-placed ‘Bavarians’ is likely to be an exciting game full of goals. That’s why our match prediction is over 3.5 goals to be scored.

Bayern had the best result of matchday one, with their four-margin victory guaranteeing the top spot. Schalke start this round in the relegation zone, being one of the three sides to lose on matchday one without scoring.

A 3-0 defeat and a red card summed up Schalke’s struggles last weekend on their return to the Bundesliga. The regular time draw in the DFB-Pokal tie before that means they are now winless within 90 minutes in competitive action.

There’s hope on the home front, as Schalke are unbeaten in their last 14 games here (W11, D3), although extending that against Bayern could be challenging.

Bayern are coming off a 4-1 win over VfL Osnabruck in their midweek DFB-Pokal Cup game. That was preceded by a 5-1 win over Stuttgart on matchday one, which meant the Bavarians have won eight games in a row, including friendlies.

Being on the road doesn’t take the sting out of Bayern, who have won their last four away league games.

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Schalke 04 v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
12.00 8.00 1.21
1xbet
13.50 7.28 1.22
Melbet
13.00 7.10 1.20
Betwinner
13.00 7.10 1.20
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13.00 7.10 1.20

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What is the prediction for the football match between Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich?

Our prediction for the Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich match is: over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.62% for a win of Schalke 04 against Bayern Munich with odds of 14.5 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich is 2.28% with odds of 8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 73.1% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Schalke 04 with odds of 1.22 at 1xbet.

Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:

Schalke 04 Bayern Munich Prediction Probability Odds
Bayern Munich wins 73.1% 1.22 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 80.73% 1.27 at Betsson
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich 47.23% 1.63 at Betsson

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Form

Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Bayern Munich
14 6 4 2 0 +17
15 Schalke 04
5 6 1 2 3 -3

Schalke 04 and Bayern Munich Last Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04 Last matches
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  0
Schalke 04

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  5
Schalke 04

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KSV Hessen Kassel
0 :  5
Schalke 04

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
3 :  1
Fagiano Okayama
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Atalanta

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
3 :  1
Fagiano Okayama

17 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
Braunschweig

2 May 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
1 :  0
Fortuna Dusseldorf

19 Apr 2026 - 2. Bundesliga

Schalke 04
4 :  1
SC Preussen 06 Munster
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
3 :  0
Schalke 04

24 Aug 2026 - DFB Pokal

Hallescher
2 :  5
Schalke 04

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KSV Hessen Kassel
0 :  5
Schalke 04

22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Kharkiv
0 :  2
Schalke 04

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Erzgebirge Aue
2 :  4
Schalke 04

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Gutersloh 2000
2 :  1
Schalke 04
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

2 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal

Osnabruck
1 :  4
Bayern Munich

28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Stuttgart

22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Bayern Munich

15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

28 Aug 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Stuttgart

15 Aug 2026 - Telekom Cup

Bayern Munich
3 :  1
Leipzig

23 May 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
3 :  0
Stuttgart

16 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  1
Köln

6 May 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  1
PSG

2 May 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
3 :  3
Heidenheim
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
4.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

2 Sept 2026 - DFB Pokal

Osnabruck
1 :  4
Bayern Munich

22 Aug 2026 - German Super Cup

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

18 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heidenheim
2 :  4
Bayern Munich

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Jeju United
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

FC Rottach-Egern
0 :  15
Bayern Munich

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Schalke 04

0 %

Draw

0 %

Bayern Munich

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
4.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

13 May 2023 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
6 :  0
Schalke 04

12 Nov 2022 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  2
Bayern Munich

24 Jan 2021 - Bundesliga

Schalke 04
0 :  4
Bayern Munich

18 Sept 2020 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
8 :  0
Schalke 04

3 Mar 2020 - DFB Pokal

Schalke 04
0 :  1
Bayern Munich

25 Jan 2020 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
5 :  0
Schalke 04
Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Schalke 04 against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11

Schalke 04

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
L. Karius
5
T. Becker
25
N. Katic
4
H. Kurucay
29
E. Ebimbe
23
S. El-Faouzi
13
S. Tanaka
8
R. Gosens
21
D. Ljubicic
24
A. Aouchiche
9
M. Sylla
34
I. Saibari
14
L. Diaz
11
N. Brown
42
L. Karl
45
A. Pavlovic
6
J. Kimmich
19
A. Davies
4
J. Tah
2
D. Upamecano
27
K. Laimer
1
M. Neuer

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bayern Munich

Substitutes

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Goalkeeper

K. Muller

Defender

M. Wober

H. Kurucay 74'

V. Becker

R. Gosens 65'

M. Ayhan

E. Ebimbe 65'

Midfielder

J. Bachmann

L. Vozar

D. Ljubicic 74'

Forward

J. Adamu

E. Dzeko

K. Karaman

A. Aouchiche 84'

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich
Goalkeeper

J. Urbig

Defender

K. Min-jae

J. Stanisic

H. Ito

Midfielder

B. Ndiaye

J. Musiala

L. Karl 56'

T. Bischof

A. Pavlovic 75'

Forward

M. Olise

I. Saibari 57'

H. Kane

N. Brown 46'

Missing players

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
Midfielder

R. Schallenberg

Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Schalke 04
CD Huachipato Bayern Munich
Top Goalscorer
Germany R. Gosens (1 Goals) , 
Austria M. Wober (1 Goals) , 
Algeria A. Aouchiche (1 Goals) , 
Switzerland A. Gantenbein (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France M. Olise (5 Goals)
Best assists
South Korea H. Hee-chan (1 Assists) , 
Austria J. Adamu (1 Assists)
Best assists
England H. Kane (4 Assists)

Schalke 04 - Bayern Munich Key Points

  1. Bayern’s last five matches produced over 3.5 goals.
  2. Eight of Bayern’s last nine Bundesliga games have seen four or more goals scored.
  3. Three of Schalke’s last six games have produced at least four goals.
  4. Five of Schalke’s last nine home competitive matches produced more than three goals.
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Our Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Schalke’s return to the Bundesliga after a three-year absence wasn’t rosy, conceding three goals without scoring. The hosts are unbeaten at home in their last 14 competitive games, but Bayern are unlikely to yield. The champions started their campaign with a 4-1 win and have scored 33 goals in their last nine Bundesliga games.

Bayern scored four or more goals in four of their last five Bundesliga matches against Schalke, which is in line with their scoring record in this competition. That’s why our Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich prediction is over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Schalke 04 Bayern Munich

Schalke 04 vs Bayern Munich Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Schalke 04 wins 9.30 14.50 +55.9%
Draw 6.40 8.00 +25.0%
Bayern Munich wins 1.31 1.22 -6.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Bayern Munich is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 6.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 82.0% (5.6%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.