Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Pisa and Fiorentina make two of the struggling teams in Serie A going into matchday five. The two will face off at the Arena Garibaldi, with 19th-placed Pisa looking to rise above their 17th-placed visitors. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Pisa have found the going tough in Serie A; after four matches, they’ve only posted one draw. No wins so far, though they take some credit for doing well in defence.
Apart from champions Napoli, no team has scored more than a goal against Pisa so far this season. Even in that encounter, Pisa managed to score twice against one of the best defences in the league.
Fiorentina have also had a tough start to the season. Coming into this game, they are still in search of the opening win of the season in Serie A. They only have two points to show from a possible 12.
Fiorentina should have gotten more from their last outing, but La Viola spurned their slim lead after concession in the dying minutes.
Como rose from a goal conceded in the sixth minute to beat them 2-1, with the winner coming deep in injury time. Fiorentina, who started the season with back-to-back draws against Torino and Cagliari, need a win here ahead of the start of their continental journey.
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The Best Betting Odds for Pisa SC v Fiorentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.25 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.1 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Pisa SC and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Pisa SC vs Fiorentina match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2025 between Pisa SC and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.93% for a win of Pisa SC against Fiorentina with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Pisa SC vs Fiorentina is 36.35% with odds of 3.45 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Pisa SC with odds of 2.37 at 888Starz.
Pisa SC - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Pisa SC Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 36.35% | 3.45 at 22bet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 2.32 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 13.77% | 5 at Bet365 |
Pisa SC vs Fiorentina Form
Pisa SC and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
16
|
10 | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -6 |
|
19
|
6 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -9 |
Pisa SC and Fiorentina Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Sept 2025 - Serie A
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2025 - Serie B
9 May 2025 - Serie B
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Sept 2025 - Coppa Italia
22 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
8 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
25 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
8 May 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Pisa SC against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
F. Coppola
D. Denoon
T. Esteves
MidfielderG. Maucci
ForwardC. Stengs
T. Lamptey
ForwardC. Kouame
Most goals and assists
Pisa SC
Fiorentina
M. Nzola
(3 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(3 Goals)
, 
R. Mandragora
(3 Goals)
S. Moreo
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Tramoni
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Leris
(1 Assists)
, 
E. Akinsanmiro
(1 Assists)
,
S. Angori
(1 Assists)
S. Sohm
(1 Assists)
,
R. Piccoli
(1 Assists)
,
E. Kouadio
(1 Assists)
,
N. Fortini
(1 Assists)
,
H. Caviglia
(1 Assists)
,
C. Ndour
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gudmundsson
(1 Assists)
,
M. Kean
(1 Assists)
Pisa SC - Fiorentina Key Points
- Three of Pisa’s opening four league matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Fiorentina have scored three goals in their opening four league matches.
- Pisa have netted three times in their first four league games of the season.
- An average of 2.25 goals were scored in Pisa’s four league matches so far.
- Fiorentina haven't managed more than a goal in any of their league games so far.
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Our Pisa SC vs Fiorentina Prediction
For a team that finished sixth in Serie A last season, Fiorentina are going through tough times. They haven't found their footing as far as attack is concerned while they’ve been either unlucky or complacent. With tighter fixture schedules coming up as European action gets underway, Fiorentina are expected to get their act right.
However, in this match, they will find a hard-fighting Pisa side. While the newly promoted side is winless, the losing margins haven't been huge. In the goals market, our prediction for Pisa v Fiorentina is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Pisa SC Fiorentina
| Pisa SC vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pisa SC wins | 3.8 | 3.4 | -10.5% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.2 | -13.5% |
| Fiorentina wins | 1.9 | 2.25 | +18.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.0% and is now 31.3% (4.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
