Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo
03/01/2026 09:00
Parma

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Sassuolo and Parma meet for the first time in over four years to start their 2026 schedule in Serie A. Five points separate the two sides, with hosts Sassuolo ninth and Parma 15th. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Sassuolo ended 2025 on a low, failing to win any of their last three outings. In that period though, they managed draws with AC Milan and Bologna and will be looking to build on those.

There’s a lot to pick from the two draws as they look to improve on just one win in their last six matches. Their last five matches at home haven't been fruitful either, Sassuolo losing three times in the run.

Parma’s last game of 2025 served as their fourth league win of the season. Three of those wins came in the last five outings, and they will be pumped up for this.

They are looking to build on a 1-0 win against Fiorentina at home, which pulled them five points clear of the relegation zone. This match also offers I Crociati the chance to record a third straight away win in the league.

Eight of their total 17 points were claimed in away matches, and this should be a motivating factor for the visitors.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sassuolo v Parma Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.91 3.3 4.33
Betfred
1.83 3.3 4.2
William Hill
1.91 3.2 4
Unibet
1.85 3.4 4.3
Betway
2 3.4 3.8
Check all Sassuolo vs Parma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and Parma?

Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs Parma match is: over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2026 between Sassuolo and Parma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.46% for a win of Sassuolo against Parma with odds of 2 at Betway.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs Parma is 27.98% with odds of 3.46 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.56% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Sassuolo with odds of 4.75 at Shangrila.

Sassuolo vs Parma Form

Sassuolo and Parma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
22 17 6 4 7 1
15
Parma
Parma
17 16 4 5 7 -7

Sassuolo and Parma Last Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo Last matches
D L W D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Torino FC

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

28 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

24 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC
W L L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Torino FC

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

24 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  2
Pisa SC

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  2
Genoa

26 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Roma

28 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Udinese
D W W L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Sassuolo

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

28 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  0
Sassuolo

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  3
Sassuolo

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
1 :  2
Sassuolo

18 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Sassuolo
Parma
Parma Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Udinese

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Parma
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Udinese

8 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
AC Milan

2 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Bologna

25 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Como 1907
D D L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  1
Parma

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
2 :  1
Parma

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  2
Parma

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Parma

21 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Parma

Sassuolo vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sassuolo

17 %

Draw

33 %

Parma

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

16 May 2021 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  3
Sassuolo

17 Jan 2021 - Serie A

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Parma

16 Feb 2020 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  1
Parma

25 Sept 2019 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Sassuolo

14 Apr 2019 - Serie A

Sassuolo
0 :  0
Parma

25 Nov 2018 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Sassuolo

Sassuolo vs Parma last Lineups

Sassuolo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

49
A. Muric
6
S. Walukiewicz
21
J. Idzes
80
T. Muharemovic
5
F. Cande
42
K. Thorstvedt
18
N. Matic
90
I. Kone
7
C. Volpato
99
A. Pinamonti
45
A. Lauriente
7
A. Benedyczak
9
M. Pellegrino
17
J. Ondrejka
22
O. Sorensen
16
M. Keita
10
A. Bernabe
14
E. Valeri
5
L. Valenti
39
A. Circati
27
S. Britschgi
40
E. Corvi

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Parma

Missing players

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Defender

E. Pieragnolo

F. Romagna

W. Coulibaly

Midfielder

D. Boloca

Forward

D. Berardi

L. Skjellerup

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

Z. Suzuki

Defender

N. Ndiaye

Forward

M. Frigan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sassuolo
CD Huachipato Parma
Top Goalscorer
Italy A. Pinamonti (4 Goals)
Italy D. Berardi (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (4 Goals)
Best assists
Italy C. Volpato (4 Assists)
Best assists
Switzerland S. Britschgi (2 Assists)
Poland A. Benedyczak (2 Assists)

Sassuolo and Parma Stats in Serie A

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Parma
Parma
35%
Wins
25%
24%
Draw
31%
41%
Losses
44%
2.53
Total goals per match
1.81
1.29
Goals scored per match
0.69
1.24
Goals conceded per match
1.13
53%
Over 2.5
31%
47%
Under 2.5
69%
53%
BTTS
38%
24%
Clean Sheet
31%

Sassuolo - Parma Key Points

  1. Three of Sassuolo’s last four games had both sides score.
  2. Sassuolo’s last five matches had a total of 13 goals scored.
  3. Parma’s last four away matches produced an average of 2.5 goals.
  4. Three times in Parma’s last four away matches, both teams scored.
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Our Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction

The most recent outcome when these two sides faced off at Sassuolo was a 1-1 draw, and both teams scoring is a possibility here too. Sassuolo’s recent matches have produced that in three of the last four outings, while they haven't managed a clean sheet in the last six games.

Their matches have also recorded high scores; six of the last nine returned 3+ goals. As for Parma, three of their last four away matches also produced over 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring. There are chances this stat could be replicated here. Our prediction for Sassuolo v Parma is for over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sassuolo vs Parma Prediction