Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
It’s a battle of two teams that are prone to low-scoring encounters, with Real Sociedad welcoming Athletic Bilbao on Sunday in a La Liga matchday 34 fixture. This match at Anoeta Stadium between the 10th-placed La Real and the fourth-placed Lehoiak comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
Sociedad’s 42 points put them two points behind the top eight slots, as they chase European qualification. Athletic have 60 points and have a five-point lead over Villarreal in the race to qualify for the Champions League.
A 1-0 away loss at Deportivo Alaves extended Sociedad’s slide, as they now have just one point from the last three league games. Another loss here could push them farther from a top eight finish and thereby European action for next season.
The challenge is to revive their home form that has landed just one win in their last five competitive fixtures at this venue (W1, D1, L3).
Athletic lost 3-0 at home to Manchester United in the first leg of the Europa League semi-finals on Thursday. While the next week’s second leg will be a priority, a win here could cement their top-five credentials that guarantees Champions League action.
They will have to work on their away form as Athletic have just one win from their last nine competitive trips (W1, D4, L4).
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.5 | 3 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.8 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.88 | 3.2 |
|
|
3 | 2.2 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40% for a win of Real Sociedad against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao is 23.28% with odds of 3.07 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad with odds of 3.7 at Ladbrokes.
Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 40% | 3 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 65.52% | 1.94 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 27.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Sociedad | 21.22% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
70 | 38 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 25 |
|
11
|
46 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | -11 |
Real Sociedad and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2025 - Europa League
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2025 - Europa League
23 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
17 Apr 2025 - Europa League
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2025 - Europa League
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2023 - LaLiga
15 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
Players list
A. Remiro
DefenderJ. Aramburu
J. Martin
N. Aguerd
A. Munoz
MidfielderL. Sucic
M. Zubimendi
P. Marin
S. Becker
ForwardA. Barrenetxea
M. Oyarzabal
U. Simon
DefenderA. Gorosabel
D. Vivian
A. Paredes
I. Lekue
MidfielderM. Jauregizar
M. Vesga
A. Boiro
ForwardA. Djalo
A. Berenguer
M. Sannadi
Substitutes
A. Fraga
U. Marrero
DefenderJ. Pacheco
J. Lopez
A. Elustondo
J. Aramburu
J. Olasagasti
B. Turrientes
L. Sucic
S. Becker
A. Barrenetxea
A. Mariezkurrena
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderO. De Marcos
Y. Alvarez
U. Nunez
Y. Berchiche
MidfielderM. Vesga
A. Boiro
M. Jauregizar
A. Djalo
M. Sannadi
P. Urtasan
Missing players
A. Odriozola
MidfielderA. Zakharyan
I. Zubeldia
ForwardO. Oskarsson
O. Sancet
Most goals and assists
Real Sociedad
Athletic Bilbao
M. Oyarzabal
(14 Goals)
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
B. Mendez
(5 Assists)
,
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Real Sociedad - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Sociedad’s La Liga matches this season averaged 2.09 goals per game, the second-lowest aggregate.
- Over the last eight league games, Athletic’s matches average a league-low 1.25 goals per match.
- Seven of Athletic’s last eight La Liga games returned under 2.5 goals.
- Four of Sociedad’s last five home La Liga fixtures saw fewer than three goals.
- Athletic have conceded a league-low 26 goals in this La Liga campaign.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Athletic Bilbao will be distracted by the upcoming second leg of their Europa League semis, but take nothing away from their league campaign so far. They have the best defensive record and have consistently kept opponents in check. Sociedad are also prone to low-scoring games, as they kept 12 clean sheets in the season and their aggregate goals are among the lowest. This match could also go the same way, and that’s why our Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Sociedad Athletic Bilbao
| Real Sociedad vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad wins | 2.45 | 2.5 | +2.0% |
| Draw | 3 | 2.9 | -3.3% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Sociedad is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 40.0% (-0.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Real Sociedad vs. Athletic Bilbao game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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