Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Champions League Predictions
The UEFA Champions League returns with a number of top matches lined up as the quarter-finals take center stage. One of the most anticipated encounters will see Real Madrid and Bayern Munich face off for the 29th time in Europe. This first leg encounter will be hosted in Madrid, and in case you are looking to bet on the match, we have at least two predictions and a preview below.
This clash features two of the most successful teams in Europe, with a total of 21 UCL titles between them. Real Madrid are eyeing a 16th continental crown, while Bayern have won the title six times.
The two also have a rich history in quarter-final appearances, Real Madrid marking their 22nd while Bayern have been at this stage 24 times. We’ll all be curious to see how this pans out with Los Blancos having progressed to 17 semi-finals while Bayern lost 10 of their 24 quarter-finals.
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Real Madrid v Bayern Munich Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 4.1 | 2.34 |
|
|
2.61 | 4 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.98 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.75 | 4 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.7 | 4 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich match is: Real Madrid or Draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/04/2026 between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.12% for a win of Real Madrid against Bayern Munich with odds of 2.8 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich is 18.93% with odds of 4.13 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid with odds of 2.47 at 888Starz.
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 41.95% | 2.47 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 84.19% | |
| Both Team To Score | 79.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich | 14.91% | 3.6 at LSbet |
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Form
Real Madrid and Bayern Munich Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 May 2024 - Champions League
30 Apr 2024 - Champions League
20 Jul 2019 - International Champions Cup
1 May 2018 - Champions League
25 Apr 2018 - Champions League
18 Apr 2017 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich: Form Analysis
Real Madrid didn’t have the best of warm-ups for this game as they lost their five-match winning run this past weekend. They were beaten 2-1 in La Liga by struggling Mallorca, jeopardizing their league title ambitions. The record European champions will not have much time to reflect on that, as an even bigger game comes their way.
Their pedigree at this level is undeniable, but that means so little if they can’t rise to the occasion. Playing at home will offer some solace, as Real have won five of their six UCL home games this season. Los Blancos have won six of the last eight times hosted Bayern, drawing once and losing once inside 90 minutes.
In Europe, Real Madrid lost once in the last eight meetings with Bayern in regular time.
This past weekend, Bayern Munich also had a tough outing in the Bundesliga, but they did the job, albeit late on. The Bavarians had to come from two goals down, with three strikes in the final 10 minutes, to beat Freiburg 3-2. That saw them maintain their nine-point lead in the league and hit a 13-game unbeaten mark (11W, 2D).
Switching focus back to Europe, the six-time champions will be looking to avoid an 11th quarter-final loss in the Champions League. The German giants have only lost once in their last five away matches in this competition.
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Real Madrid against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
F. Gonzalez
DefenderF. Garcia
R. Asencio
E. Militao
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
MidfielderE. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
D. Ceballos
ForwardG. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
B. Diaz
J. Urbig
L. Prescott
DefenderA. Davies
H. Ito
K. Min-jae
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderL. Karl
J. Musiala
T. Bischof
L. Goretzka
N. Jackson
Missing players
T. Courtois
DefenderF. Mendy
ForwardRodrygo
S. Ulreich
Real Madrid & Bayern Munich Squad Analysis
Real Madrid are dealing with high-profile injuries ahead of this game. Goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois is out with a thigh injury that could also rule him out of the return leg. That is not the only absence in defence that Real are dealing with.
Ferland Mendy will once again be missing in action as he nurses a hamstring injury. Meanwhile, Rodrygo is out for the season's remainder after suffering a knee injury. There will be some freshness in this game, though, as Federico Valverde returns to action. The Uruguayan missed the Mallorca loss as he was suspended.
Real Madrid’s Kylian Mbappé is the UCL top-scorer with 13 goals.
At Bayern Munich, Vincent Kompany will be sweating over Harry Kane’s fitness. The Englishman suffered an ankle injury on March 31st, and his return is doubtful. His absence, if confirmed, will be a massive blow as he has 52 goal contributions this season and is definitely a cog in the Bavarians’ attack.
There will be some reprieve for Bayern, though, as Nicholas Jackson returns, having been suspended for the weekend match. If picked to lead the attack, the Senegalese will enjoy support from Luis Díaz, Serge Gnabry, and Michael Olise.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Bayern Munich
K. Mbappe
(15 Goals)
H. Kane
(14 Goals)
Vinicius Junior
(6 Assists)
M. Olise
(5 Assists)
Real Madrid - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Real Madrid have five wins in six Champions League home games.
- Real Madrid have won six of their last seven matches, losing once.
- Two of the last three meetings between these two ended in draws.
- Real Madrid have beaten Bayern five times in the last eight meetings.
- Bayern Munich lost once in their last five away matches in the Champions League.
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Our Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction
Bayern Munich suffered a loss the last time they visited Real Madrid, and they will be keen to avoid a repeat. Their run of just one loss in five away matches in the Champions League should offer some confidence. However, the fact that they are facing the record champions means they have a long evening ahead.
Real Madrid have a run of five wins in six matches at home. This will be a tough encounter for both giants, and it could go either way given Real’s home form and Bayern’s recent run. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Bayern Munich is: Real Madrid or Draw.
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Seven of Real Madrid’s latest eight Champions League games had over 2.5 goals netted. The Spanish giants haven't failed to score at home in this competition since December 2018. That will meet Bayern’s stat that they’ve averaged at least three goals in the CL this season. The Germans are also averaging 8.2 shots on target per game.
Real Madrid have averaged 2.4 goals, created at least four big chances and had 6.9 shots on target per game in this competition. All these in consideration, make our second bet of over 2.5 goals.
Real Madrid wins
Though Real Madrid have been shaky in their recent matches, their home form in Europe almost always guarantees a win. Here they have another chance to take control of what’s arguably one of their toughest games this season.
In their last six home matches in the UCL, Los Blancos have come out as winners five times. They are also unbeaten against Bayern the last two times they hosted this match. Our third prediction here is for Real Madrid to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Bayern Munich
| Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 2.6 | 2.8 | +7.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.13 | +10.1% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 2.55 | 2.47 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 40.5% (1.3%)
Real Madrid vs Bayern Munich - FAQs
Real Madrid v Bayern Munich game will be played on Tuesday, 7th April.
The Real Madrid v Bayern Munich game will be staged at the Santiago Bernabeu.
The Real Madrid v Bayern Munich game will be aired on DAZN and Amazon Prime for German fans. In Spain it will be live on Telefonica. Also, SportyTrader will have the updates for this and other Champions League games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
