England - FA Cup
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in FA Cup Predictions
Reading’s Round 1 game of the FA Cup may just be the value bet of the day as they face a lower-league Carlisle United side, who they've thrashed back-to-back in recent times. Check out the best bet in our Reading vs Carlisle United match prediction below.
Our money is on Reading to beat Carlisle United in their opening game, just as they did the last two times they faced off in League One. The last time out, Reading beat Carlisle 3-1 on the road. This scoreline made it 8-2 on aggregate, as Reading flogged Carlisle 5-1 at home in the first leg.
Outside of having the psychological advantage and playing in a higher division, Reading has also proven hard to beat in recent games. In their last eight games, The Royals have only lost one match, which was 2-1 against a stronger Cardiff side. Their latest matchup was a well-contested 1-1 draw at home to Doncaster.
Admittedly, Carlisle has been impressive in their latest outings, winning four of their last five. However, that run was preceded by two back-to-back losses that saw the Blues lose 2-0 to Rochdale and 5-0 to York City, showing just how vulnerable they are against tougher opponents.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Reading v Carlisle United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.6 | 4.1 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Reading and Carlisle United?
Our prediction for the Reading vs Carlisle United match is: Reading wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/11/2025 between Reading and Carlisle United in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.76% for a win of Reading against Carlisle United with odds of 1.75 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Reading vs Carlisle United is 23.21% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.03% chance ⭐ for a win of Carlisle United vs Reading with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
Reading vs Carlisle United Form
Reading and Carlisle United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League One
21 Oct 2025 - League One
18 Oct 2025 - League One
11 Oct 2025 - League One
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - League One
21 Oct 2025 - League One
7 Oct 2025 - EFL Trophy
4 Oct 2025 - League One
30 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
20 Sept 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - League One
11 Oct 2025 - League One
27 Sept 2025 - League One
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2025 - League One
2 Sept 2025 - EFL Trophy
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - National League
18 Oct 2025 - National League
11 Oct 2025 - FA Cup, Qualification
4 Oct 2025 - National League
1 Oct 2025 - National League
27 Sept 2025 - National League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - National League
11 Oct 2025 - FA Cup, Qualification
1 Oct 2025 - National League
27 Sept 2025 - National League
13 Sept 2025 - National League
6 Sept 2025 - National League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - National League
4 Oct 2025 - National League
23 Sept 2025 - National League
20 Sept 2025 - National League
3 Sept 2025 - National League
30 Aug 2025 - National League
Reading vs Carlisle United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
2 Mar 2024 - League One
Most goals and assists
Reading
Carlisle United
J. Marriott
(5 Goals)
K. Doyle
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Rushesha
(1 Assists)
Reading - Carlisle United Key Points
- Reading plays in a higher division than Carlisle.
- Reading beat Carlisle the last two times they faced.
- Before Carlisle's relegation, Reading beat them 8-2 on aggregate over both legs in League One.
- Reading are unbeaten in seven of their last eight games.
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Our Reading vs Carlisle United Prediction
While this Round 1 game between Reading and Carlisle seems tight on paper, we're expecting another routine victory for The Royals over the Blues. For one, Reading plays in a higher division, facing much tougher opponents than Carlisle on a weekly basis.
What's also notable is that in the two times Reading faced Carlisle, they won both games, totaling 8-2 on aggregate. We're also considering the fact that Reading are unbeaten in seven of their last eight games against tougher opponents. Hence, our Reading vs Carlisle United prediction is that Reading wins.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Reading vs. Carlisle United game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Reading and Carlisle United? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's FA Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
