Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano will hope to take a leap towards improving their season when they welcome Mallorca in a Sunday La Liga game. This is a crucial game in the relegation battle, as Rayo are 14th and Mallorca 16th. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Rayo’s 3-1 win at second-tier side Granada in the Copa del Rey offered some reprieve after a tough run in the league. That was their second win in five matches, both being in cup competitions.
In La Liga the hosts are on an eight-game winless run, losing three. All of their last four home league matches ended in draws, but they can afford some confidence, having only lost one of their 10 home games.
Mallorca haven't lost on their last three visits to Rayo Vallecano and are unbeaten across the last seven meetings with Rayo. That will offer some motivation in their push to address their own recent slump.
The visitors are on a three-game winless run, having lost twice in that period. In the league, they’ve managed just one win across six matches and lost twice.
Their loss to Girona last time out left the visitors just two points off the relegation zone. They risk dropping into the bottom three this weekend, and it is worsened by a run of five defeats in 10 away matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.9 | 3.2 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.3 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.19 | 4.72 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.15 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.3 | 4.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.2% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Mallorca with odds of 1.95 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca is 41.43% with odds of 3.4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 5 at Shangrila.
Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Mallorca Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 41.43% | 3.4 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.01% | 1.94 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 20.46% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Form
Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
22 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -6 |
|
17
|
18 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | -7 |
Rayo Vallecano and Mallorca Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
15 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
27 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
5 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Mallorca Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
A. Molina
DefenderJ. Vertrouwd
A. Espino
I. Balliu
F. Perez
G. Gumbau
O. Trejo
Alemao
R. Nteka
S. Camello
L. Bergstrom
DefenderM. Morey
D. Lopez
MidfielderP. Torre
S. Darder
I. Salhi
ForwardJ. Llabres
Mateo Joseph
T. Asano
Abdon
Missing players
A. Mumin
L. Felipe
MidfielderP. Ciss
D. Mendez
A. Raillo
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Mallorca
J. De Frutos
(6 Goals)
V. Muriqi
(11 Goals)
U. Lopez
(3 Assists)
J. Mojica
(3 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Mallorca Key Points
- The last two meetings between these teams hosted by Rayo ended in draws.
- Mallorca’s last two away league games ended in draws.
- Rayo drew all their last four league matches at home.
- Half of Rayo’s last 12 matches ended in draws.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca Prediction
Based on these teams’ recent league performances, this will be a crucial game in the context of the La Liga relegation battle. Losing this game could turn costly for either team, and so we expect both sides to be cautious. Rayo are winless in their last eight league matches, drawing five, and they have four straight draws at home.
Mallorca, who have done well on the road in this match, will find it hard to break this Rayo side. The two sides drew the last two meetings hosted by Rayo. Based on such, our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Mallorca
| Rayo Vallecano vs Mallorca | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 1.91 | 1.95 | +2.1% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.4 | -2.9% |
| Mallorca wins | 4.88 | 5 | +2.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 28.6% and is now 29.4% (0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
