Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

ATP - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

ATP 29 Spain
Rafael Jodar
04/04/2026 10:25
ATP 59 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Which of these unseeded players will reach the Grand Prix Hassan II final in Marrakesh. Rafael Jodar is up against Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the last four of this outdoor clay court tournament. Find out more in our match prediction below.

A final against either top seed Luciano Darderi or qualifier Marco Trungelliti is the prize for the winner here.

Both players are attempting to reach their first ATP Tour final. Carabelli did win the Rosario Challenger Tour this year but this is his best performance on the ATP Tour. Carabelli has had to play nine sets in three matches this week. He beat the seventh seed Ignacio Buse in round two.

In his quarter-final, Carabelli lost the first set to Luca Van Assche without winning a game but only lost five in the next two sets.

Rafael Jodar is up to a career-high 74th in the live rankings, 13 below his opponent. He only played four clay court matches last year, winning three of them. Jodar has equaled that total already this week. 

He beat the fourth seed Tomas Machac in round two. His quarter-final saw him win the first set against Alexandre Muller who then retired in the second set.  We tip more than 20.5 games here.

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Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.45 2.74
Betwinner
1.46 2.71
Bet365
1.44 2.75
Roobet
1.44 2.62
BC Game
1.43 2.64
Check all Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds

Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: more than 20.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 04/04/2026 of the current ATP Grand Prix Hassan II season:

  • Rafael Jodar has a 61.73% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.6.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 38.27% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Bet365.

Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 61.73 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Rafael Jodar61.73 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli38.27 %

Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Rafael Jodar and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Rafael Jodar Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Tomas Machac

31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Dušan Lajović

22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Rafael Jodar
0 :  2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

21 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Aleksandar Vukic
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Rafael Jodar
2 :  1
Yannick Hanfmann

17 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Rafael Jodar
2 :  0
Benjamin Bonzi
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Luca Van Assche

2 Apr 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Ignacio Buse
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Timofey Skatov
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rafael Jodar - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. More than 20.5 games have been played in three of Jodar's last five completed matches.
  2. Carabelli has gone to a deciding set in four of his last five matches and all three this week.
  3. More than 20.5 games have been played in five of the last seven matches played by Carabelli.
  4. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Carabelli has played one in four of his last seven matches.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

This is a massive match for both players as the winner will go into their first ever ATP Tour final. Rafael Jodar has reached one Challenger Tour final this year and has made a good start to his clay court season with this run to the last four in Marrakesh.

Camilio Ugo Carabelli has lifted one clay court Challenger Tour title this year and had a real battle to reach the semi-finals. He's had to go to a deciding set in all three of his matches this week. Our Rafael Jodar v Camilo Ugo Carabelli prediction is more than 20.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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Rafael Jodar vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction