Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Devesh Jaganath in Eredivisie Predictions
Some fixtures are played. De Topper is lived! On Sunday, Philips Stadion will turn into a sea of red and white, as arch-rivals PSV Eindhoven and Ajax step out for this weekend’s headline fixture in the Eredivisie. The Boeren and de Godenzonen are second and third in the league standings, respectively. Check out our match prediction below!
The final few weeks of last season were truly unforgettable, as Ajax fans had their champagne in hand and the band tuned up, nine points clear at the top heading into the run-in. However, then came the stumble - a 4-0 defeat to Utrecht followed by another three games without victory, and clouds began to form over Amsterdam’s parade.
Over in Eindhoven, PSV smelled blood and mounted a title charge that gathered storm-like momentum - six wins in their final six games and the title remained at Philips Stadion on the final day. That collapse, that comeback - it all feeds into the expectation of this being an absolute blockbuster. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for PSV Eindhoven v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.73 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.72% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against Ajax with odds of 1.74 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax is 23.63% with odds of 4.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Form
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
|
3
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Sep 2025 - Champions League
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
3 Aug 2025 - Johan Cruijff Schaal
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Eredivisie
11 May 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
13 Sep 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
3 Feb 2024 - Eredivisie
29 Oct 2023 - Eredivisie
30 Apr 2023 - KNVB beker
23 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax: Form Analysis
PSV Eindhoven enter this match off the back of a defeat, having lost their opening match of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League 3-1 to Union Saint-Gilloise here at home in midweek.
Domestically, the Red and Whites have four wins and one loss in the Eredivisie this season. However, barring that defeat, they have been excellent in attack again this term, already on 17 goals in five games.
Ten of their goals this season came in their first two games here at Philips Stadion, and the hosts have only failed to score two or more goals in two of their last 28 league games at this venue.
PSV only lost one home game last season, and it was against Ajax!
Meanwhile, Ajax’s UCL campaign also got off to a disappointing start this week, as they were handed a 2-0 defeat by Inter Milan, with Marcus Thuram netting both goals in the space of five minutes.
De Joden comfortably beat PEC Zwolle 3-1 in their last league game, but they have experienced a mixed start to their domestic campaign, winning three and drawing two of their matches so far.
Notably, both those draws came in away games for the visitors, while they also failed to win any of their final three league matches on the road last term, which contributed heavily to them squandering the title.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
W. Kuhn
A. Obispo
MidfielderMauro Junior
ForwardA. Plea
B. Van den Boomen
PSV Eindhoven & Ajax Squad Analysis
Peter Bosz was dealt a double blow in the past week, with Myron Boadu sustaining an injury in the loss to USG, while Kiliann Sidillia picked up a knock last weekend against NEC.
Both players are ruled out for this match and expected to remain sidelined for several weeks. The pair will join longer-term absentees Mauro Junior and Alassane Plea in a watching brief this weekend.
With Luuk de Jong now at Porto, Ricardo Pepi is expected to be the main man in PSV’s attack, and he returned from injury superbly, bagging a brace against NEC in his first league start last week.
Ivan Perisic has five goal involvements in five league games this season (1 goal, 4 assists)!
For the visitors - after racking up three goal involvements in as many games at the start of the season, Steven Berghuis missed the midweek fixture against Inter with a knock, and he is a doubt for this match.
If the veteran striker is unable to return in time for this match, he will join Aaron Bouwman and Branco Van Den Boomen on the casualty list, and will likely be replaced by Oliver Edvardsen in the starting 11.
Wout Weghorst has been Ajax’s main attacking threat this term, with three goals and an assist in five league games. Davy Klaasen scored home and away against this opponent last season and could return to the starting lineup this weekend.
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
R. van Bommel
(4 Goals)
W. Weghorst
(3 Goals)
I. Perisic
(4 Assists)
S. Berghuis
(2 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven and Ajax Stats in Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven - Ajax Key Points
- Four of PSV’s five league games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals.
- Four of PSV’s last five league home games this season have ended with over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
- PSV have only kept one clean sheet in their last 12 home league matches.
- Ajax have scored two or more goals in four of their five league games this season.
- Ajax have conceded two or more goals in three of their last four away league games.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax Prediction
With Feyenoord firing on all cylinders, and given that these two sides have already dropped points this season, this match is certainly not a title-decider just yet, but fireworks are still expected when they step out on Sunday.
PSV have been rampant again this season and will be aching to get their revenge after losing home and away to this opponent last season. Ajax, on the other hand, have made a lukewarm start to the season, but a win here could give them the kickstart they need. Our PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax - Other Interesting Predictions
Ajax wins or draw
Despite PSV’s incredible home record in recent years, they were beaten by this opponent home and away last season. Additionally, the hosts have also already tasted defeat at Philips Stadion this term, going down 2-0 to Telstar in their last match at this venue.
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PSV Eindhoven vs Ajax match : Frequently asked questions
The Eredivisie match between PSV and Ajax will take place on September 21 at 12:30 GMT.
The Eredivisie match between PSV and Ajax will be played at Philips Stadion in Eindhoven.
The Eredivisie match between PSV and Ajax will be broadcast live on TrillerTV+ and Premier Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Eredivisie livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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