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10 September 2018 - 14:45 

- Day 2

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
VS
Italy

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Portugal vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Prediction

European Champions Portugal were knocked out in the last sixteen of the World Cup and have made a large number of changes for this opening European Nations League game against Italy. The biggest omission is that of Cristiano Ronaldo with his adapting to life at Juventus being given as the reason. Nine other World Cup squad members have also been left out and there are three new caps in the squad. Thursday saw them draw 1-1 at home with World Cup finalists Croatia coming from behind with Pepe getting the equaliser. That's just two wins in the last nine internationals, both over sides from Africa. Only Andre Silva has scored a double figure number of international goals with Pepe the next highest though it's taken him 101 caps to get eight goals. Home form has seen only the Netherlands defeat Portugal in the last ten games.

Italy came from behind to get a 1-1 draw with Poland in their opening European Nations League match and defeat by Portugal would make them prime candidates to be relegated to League B. Their poor form has seen just one home victory over Saudi Arabia in their last eight internationals. Only in that 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia have Italy scored more than once in their last 11 games  Only Mario Balotelli is into double figures as far as international goals are concerned. Both teams are finding it hard to score goals at present and the best bet here is to go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in this match.

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Portugal vs Italy Form

Portugal and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Portugal
Portugal
8 4 2 2 0 2
2
Italy
Italy
5 4 1 2 1 0

Portugal and Italy Last Matches

Portugal
Portugal Last matches
D W D W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

6 Sep 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
1 :  1
Croatia

30 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  1
Portugal

25 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Iran
1 :  1
Portugal

20 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  0
Morocco

15 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Portugal
3 :  3
Spain

7 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
3 :  0
Algeria
Italy
Italy Last matches
D L D W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
83%
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1.5
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

7 Sep 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Poland

4 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Netherlands

1 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Italy

28 May 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  1
Saudi Arabia

27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  1
Italy

23 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

Argentina
2 :  0
Italy
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Portugal against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

Portugal

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
R. Patricio
2
J. Cancelo
3
Pepe
6
R. Dias
19
M. Rui
20
Pizzi
13
R. Neves
14
W. Carvalho
7
Bruma
9
A. Silva
11
B. Silva
14
F. Chiesa
17
C. Immobile
7
S Zaza
8
G. Bonaventura
5
Jorginho
23
B. Cristante
4
D. Criscito
6
A. Romagnoli
13
M. Caldara
15
M. Lazzari
22
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Italy

Portugal - Italy Key Points

  1. Four of the last six games between these two sides have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in nine of the last 11 Italy internationals.
  3. Three of the last four Portugal internationals have seen under 2.5 goals score in them.
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Our Portugal vs Italy Prediction

Portugal will of course miss the talents of Cristiano Ronaldo and their side isn't exactly full of other players who can score on a consistent basis. Italy have been struggling for goals for a while now and could only draw 1-1 with Poland in their opening European Nations League game. A bet on under 2.5 goals looks to be the one to go for in this match.

Prediction :

Under 2.5

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Portugal vs Italy Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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