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Poland vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Poland
04/09/2025 14:30
Belgium

Prediction :

 

Under 161.5 Points

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Poland and Belgium wrap up their Group D campaigns in a FIBA Eurobasket encounter where motivations couldn't be more different. Poland is still chasing top seeding while Belgium may as well be disqualified as they need a convincing win to draw level on points with Slovenia to qualify. This final group game brings together two teams at opposite ends of the emotional spectrum, creating the perfect conditions for a more controlled, tactical affair rather than an all-out scoring bonanza. Get our best Poland vs Belgium match prediction.

The historical evidence between these teams points strongly toward lower-scoring encounters whenever they meet. Their last six head-to-head battles across all competitions have consistently stayed below the 162-point mark. And their recent form across competitions only supports our analysis. 

Only one of Poland's four group games has featured over 161.5 points, and that came in their opener against Slovenia where they needed to outscore their opponents 105-95. Belgium's group stage has followed a similar pattern, with just one game clearing this total in their desperate 92-89 loss to Israel when qualification was still possible.

Poland's 83-76 loss to France ended their perfect group stage run but didn't eliminate their hopes of securing the top seed with a convincing victory against Belgium. And with a very bleak chance of qualifying for Belgium, we could see a routine low-scoring affair with Poland emerging the winner.

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The Best Betting Odds for Poland v Belgium Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 6
William Hill
1.12 5.5
Betway
1.15 5.25
Ladbrokes
1.11 5.75
Unibet
1.18 4.75
Check all Poland vs Belgium odds
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Who will win the Poland vs Belgium Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Poland vs Belgium match is: Under 161.5 Points.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Poland vs Belgium game on 04/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Poland has a 74.24% chance to pick up the win against Belgium according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
  • There is a probability of 25.76% ⭐ for Belgium to win vs Poland with odds of 6.4 at BC Game.

Poland vs Belgium Form

Poland and Belgium's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Poland
Poland
8 5 3 2 -2
5
Belgium
Belgium
7 5 2 3 1

Poland and Belgium Last Matches

Poland
Poland Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

France
83 :  76
Poland

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
84 :  75
Iceland

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
66 :  64
Israel

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  105
Poland

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
84 :  75
Iceland

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Poland
66 :  64
Israel

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
94 :  89
Georgia

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
74 :  72
Sweden

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
69 :  75
Senegal
L W L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

France
83 :  76
Poland

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
95 :  105
Poland

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

North Macedonia
88 :  74
Poland

24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Estonia
86 :  88
Poland

18 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket

Germany
82 :  69
Poland
Belgium
Belgium Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
89 :  92
Israel

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
86 :  69
Belgium

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Iceland
64 :  71
Belgium

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
64 :  92
France

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
60 :  73
Bosnia & Herzegovina

15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
84 :  72
Great Britain
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
89 :  92
Israel

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Belgium
64 :  92
France

17 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
60 :  73
Bosnia & Herzegovina

15 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
84 :  72
Great Britain

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Belgium
93 :  63
Slovakia

25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Belgium
83 :  85
Latvia
L L L L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Slovenia
86 :  69
Belgium

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Iceland
64 :  71
Belgium

11 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
92 :  74
Belgium

8 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
105 :  62
Belgium

6 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
74 :  60
Belgium

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Spain
59 :  52
Belgium

Players list

Poland
Poland
O. Balcerowski J. Loyd A. Pluta M. Ponitka M. Sokolowski
Belgium
Belgium
I. Bako M. Lecomte L. Schwartz H. Vanwijn J. Mwema

Substitutes

Poland
Poland
S. Zapala A. Dziewa D. Olejniczak M. Michalak K. Laczynski P. Zolnierewicz T. Gielo
Belgium
Belgium
K. Tumba G. Tshimanga N. Van Den Eynde M. Guisse J. Mennes A. Van Vliet S. Ledegen

Poland - Belgium Key Points

  1. None of their last six head-to-head meetings across all competitions has produced 162+ points.
  2. Only one of Belgium's four group stage games featured over 161.5 points.
  3. Only one of Poland's four group stage games exceeded 161.5 points.
  4. Over Belgium's last 20 games across all competitions, 16 have finished with fewer than 162 points.
  5. Seven of Poland's last eight competitive games outside friendlies have ended under 162 points.
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Our Poland vs Belgium Prediction

Poland will want to win convincingly, but they'll also be mindful of avoiding injuries before the knockout stages. Belgium's almost eliminated status potentially removes any pressure to chase points desperately, while the consistent head-to-head history suggests both teams know how to keep these encounters within manageable scoring ranges.

Their run of games up to the FIBA Eurobasket and the tournament form of both sides supports another relatively low-scoring affair in this Group D finale. Hence, our Poland vs Belgium prediction is Under 161.5 Points.

Prediction :

 

Under 161.5 Points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Poland vs Belgium Prediction
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