Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath in Europa League Predictions
PAOK and Rijeka will meet in the second leg of their Europa League Playoff qualifier clash on Thursday at Stadio Toumbas. The winner of this tie between the White and Blacks and RJK will enter the main draw, while the loser will be transferred to the Conference League. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After reaching the knockout phase of the Europa League last term, PAOK now have work to do if they are to feature in this season’s competition after losing 1-0 in Croatia last week.
However, the Double-headed Eagle of the North are certainly not out of this tie. Last week, they recorded 13 shots at goal and had 48% possession despite being the away side.
Those are stats that are likely to improve at home this week. At Stadio Toumbas, PAOK are unbeaten in their last seven games (W6 D1) and have kept clean sheets in five of those matches.
Meanwhile, if Rijeka can hold on to, or increase their advantage in Greece this week, they will be returning to the Europa League for the first time since the 2020-21 season.
Niko Jankovic set up Luka Menalo for RJK’s only goal in the first leg. Jankovic has now made a direct goal contribution in each of the three matches he has featured in this competition.
The visitors won their last away game in this competition 3-1 against Shelbourne. However, that win was just their second on the road in their last eight across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for PAOK Thessaloniki v HNK Rijeka Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.5 | 3.7 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.6 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.53 | 3.9 | 6.1 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PAOK Thessaloniki and HNK Rijeka?
Our prediction for the PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2025 between PAOK Thessaloniki and HNK Rijeka in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.64% for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki against HNK Rijeka with odds of 1.63 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka is 19.85% with odds of 4.1 at BC Game.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.51% chance ⭐ for a win of HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 6.36 at 22bet.
PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka Form
PAOK Thessaloniki and HNK Rijeka Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Superleague
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Superleague
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Superleague
27 Apr 2025 - Superleague
6 Apr 2025 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2025 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
12 Aug 2025 - Europa League
9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Europa League
9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
18 May 2025 - Prva HNL
14 May 2025 - Croatia Cup
10 May 2025 - Prva HNL
PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
Most goals and assists
PAOK Thessaloniki
HNK Rijeka
K. Despodov
(1 Goals)
A. Juric
(1 Goals)
,
S. Butic
(1 Goals)
,
T. Fruk
(1 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(1 Assists)
PAOK Thessaloniki - HNK Rijeka Key Points
- All four of PAOK’s matches across all competitions this season have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- PAOK have only conceded one goal this season.
- PAOK have kept five clean sheets in their last seven competitive home games.
- Six of Rijeka’s last 10 competitive matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka Prediction
PAOK may have lost in Croatia last week, but this tie is far from over. The White and Blacks are only a goal down and are now back home, where they have not tasted defeat since mid-February. They also kept five clean sheets in seven games at this venue during that time.
A clean sheet will be enough for Rijeka after they made the most of their home advantage. We’re expecting a tight and tactical affair in this one, where the first goal could prove decisive. Our PAOK vs Rijeka prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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