Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Libertadores
South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
The much-awaited 2025 Copa Libertadores final is here and will be contested by two Brazilian sides. Palmeiras and Flamengo will put a halt to their Serie A rivalry to focus on this continental showpiece. The match will be hosted in Lima, with both competing sides targeting a fourth Copa Libertadores title. We have a prediction for the game below.
Palmeiras have reached this stage of the competition and lost three times. The most recent was in the year 2000. This match is a repeat of the 2021 final, though, and Palmeiras will be looking to repeat their heroics from back then.
Flamengo’s only loss in the Libertadores final was in that edition; they will be here also seeking to avenge that. They did recover to win their latest Libertadores title in 2022 but will still feel they have a bone to pick here. In the last seven meetings with Palmeiras, Flamengo have four wins and has lost just once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Palmeiras v Flamengo Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.45 | 3 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.35 | 2.94 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.45 | 3 | 2.46 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Palmeiras and Flamengo?
Our prediction for the Palmeiras vs Flamengo match is: Flamengo wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/11/2025 between Palmeiras and Flamengo in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.52% for a win of Palmeiras against Flamengo with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Palmeiras vs Flamengo is 38.72% with odds of 3 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 28.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs Palmeiras with odds of 2.47 at Stake.
Palmeiras - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Palmeiras Flamengo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 38.72% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 56.18% | 1.93 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.18% | 4 at Bet365 |
Palmeiras vs Flamengo Form
Palmeiras and Flamengo Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
26 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
23 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
22 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
2 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
29 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores
25 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras vs Flamengo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
25 May 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Aug 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
7 Aug 2024 - Copa do Brasil
31 Jul 2024 - Copa do Brasil
21 Apr 2024 - Brasileirão Serie A
Palmeiras - Flamengo: Form Analysis
Palmeiras haven't had much going their way in their recent meetings with Flamengo. This is a narrative they will want to change, and among others, they’ll bank on the outcome in a previous Copa Libertadores meeting.
In the 2021 edition, these two sides clashed, with Palmeiras carrying the day in the final after a 2-1 win. That was their sixth Copa Libertadores final and third title.
To book this slot, Palmeiras claimed a 4-3 aggregate win against LDU Quito in the semis. These two are also involved in the title race in the Brazilian top flight, though Flamengo are very close to clinching the title.
This match features the best scorers in Libertadores, Palmeiras, against the meanest defence.
Flamengo will not get a better chance than this to avenge their 2021 loss to Palmeiras in the Libertadores final. Though they went on to win the title the following year, beating Palmeiras here will be special.
They recorded identical 1-0 wins to see off Racing Club in the semis, keeping their record as the best defensive side. In the 2025 Libertadores, Flamengo have only conceded four goals in their 12 matches and scored 11 in their 12 matches.
They come here having only lost twice in their last 10 matches and once in eight against Palmeiras. Unlike their opponents, Flamengo have only lost once in a Libertadores final. This will be their fourth appearance.
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Palmeiras against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Lomba
DefenderL. Benedetti
Micael
Jefte
A. Giay
F. Torres
A. Moreno
Mauricio
E. Martinez
R. Sosa
B. Rodrigues
Felipe Anderson
M. Cunha
DefenderEmerson
L. Ortiz
A. Lucas
MidfielderW. Yan
N. De La Cruz
Evertton
S. Niguez
ForwardMichael
L. Araujo
Juninho
Everton
Palmeiras & Flamengo Squad Analysis
It has been two months out of action now for Palmeiras midfielder Lucas Evangelista. The 30-year-old is nursing a hamstring injury, which has seen him miss 15 matches.
He is definitely set to sit out a 16th game, spending time in the infirmary alongside Paulinho. The Club World Cup game against Chelsea was Paulinho’s last act, and he has so far sat out 33 matches.
The former Bayer Leverkusen man is nursing a leg injury. Away from the injuries, this will be another moment for Flaco Lopez to show his magic. The Argentinian has seven goals and an assist for Palmeiras in this competition.
Flaco Lopez will claim the top scorer’s gong if he scores in the final.
The squad Luis Felipe goes for at Flamengo will also be influenced by the injury list. The one player they will miss most is Pedro. The man with 18 goal contributions in Serie A is set to sit out the remainder of the season with a thigh injury.
He has already missed the team’s last nine matches. Gonzalo Plata will also miss this match as he serves a suspension following his red card against Racing Club.
With Pedro out, Plata would have been a key inclusion in the attack, but he misses the chance to add to his two goal involvements in Libertadores. Meanwhile, Matias Vina will not be in the Flamengo team to face his former employers.
Most goals and assists
Palmeiras
Flamengo
F. Lopez
(5 Goals)
G. De Arrascaeta
(2 Goals)
, 
Pedro
(2 Goals)
V. Roque
(3 Assists)
L. Araujo
(2 Assists)
, 
G. Plata
(2 Assists)
Palmeiras - Flamengo Key Points
- Palmeiras are winless in their last five matches.
- Flamengo suffered only two defeats in their last 10 matches.
- Flamengo are unbeaten in their last three matches against Palmeiras.
- Palmeiras have only one win in their last eight meetings with Flamengo.
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Our Palmeiras vs Flamengo Prediction
Both Flamengo and Palmeiras have identical records in their recent Copa Libertadores matches. Each side has four wins, a loss, and a draw in the last six matches in the competition. This could be a pointer to an even match ahead, but we feel otherwise.
Flamengo have been dominant in these teams’ recent meetings, and they also come here undefeated in the last three matches against Palmeiras. Also, Palmeiras are on a poor run ahead of this game, failing to win any of their last five outings. Our prediction for Palmeiras v Flamengo is that Flamengo wins.
Palmeiras vs Flamengo - Other Interesting Predictions
BTTS
In half of the last 10 meetings between these sides, both scored. We expect the same here, this being a final and with the two sides having nothing to hold back. The two giants of Brazilian football clash, and we will simply be expecting an attacking game.
In Palmeiras’ last outing, both teams scored, and it was a similar case in five of Flamengo’s last six matches. Our second prediction for this match will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Palmeiras Flamengo
| Palmeiras vs Flamengo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras wins | 2.7 | 3.5 | +29.6% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3 | -3.2% |
| Flamengo wins | 2.5 | 2.47 | -1.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 33.3% (1.1%)
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Palmeiras vs Flamengo - FAQs
The Palmeiras v Flamengo match will be played on Saturday, 29th November.
The Palmeiras v Flamengo match will be played at the Estadio Monumental in Lima.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
