Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction & Betting Tips - Challenge Cup

Europe - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
06/04/2025 12:30
Scarlets

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions

Ospreys will host Scarlets in this 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup round-of-16 tie on Sunday at the Swansea.com Stadium. The winner of this match will face either Lyon or Sharks in the last-8. Can Ospreys see off the Turks to qualify for the quarterfinals? Here is our prediction for the match.

Ospreys suffered a 38-22 away league loss against Scarlets in their last match. Hence, the Swansea-based side will head into this match not only to fight for a place 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but to also avenge their recent loss.

Notably, Mark Jones' side have been impressive at home, winning six of their last seven matches. This includes double-digit Challenge Cup victories against Lions (30-14) and Newcastle Falcons (35-15).

After a three-match losing streak, Scarlets returned to winning ways with a 38-22 victory over Ospreys in their last match. However, they will head into this match as underdogs, having lost their last six away matches in all competitions.

Additionally, the Llanelli-based side have lost four of their last five encounters with Ospreys. They are also winless in their last four away fixtures against Ospreys, averaging a 15.3-point losing margin. Hence, our tip for the spread.

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The Best Betting Odds for Ospreys v Scarlets Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 23 3.2
Unibet
1.33 26 3.2
Betway
1.35 21 3.5
Ladbrokes
1.36 34 3
Betobet
1.39 22 3.35
Check all Ospreys vs Scarlets odds

Ospreys vs Scarlets Form

Ospreys and Scarlets Last Matches

Ospreys
Ospreys Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

29 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
38 :  22
Ospreys

22 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
43 :  40
Connacht Rugby

1 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Glasgow Warriors
31 :  32
Ospreys

14 Feb 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
19 :  22
Leinster

24 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
43 :  0
Benetton Treviso

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
28 :  31
Ospreys
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

22 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
43 :  40
Connacht Rugby

14 Feb 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
19 :  22
Leinster

24 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
43 :  0
Benetton Treviso

11 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
35 :  15
Newcastle Red Bulls

21 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
23 :  22
Scarlets

8 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Ospreys
30 :  14
Lions
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
38 :  22
Ospreys

1 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Glasgow Warriors
31 :  32
Ospreys

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Section Paloise
28 :  31
Ospreys

1 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Cardiff Rugby
13 :  13
Ospreys

14 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  15
Ospreys

12 Apr 2024 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
23 :  13
Ospreys
Scarlets
Scarlets Last matches
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

29 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
38 :  22
Ospreys

22 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
17 :  29
Stormers

1 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
30 :  28
Scarlets

15 Feb 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
29 :  8
Scarlets

25 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
30 :  24
Edinburgh Rugby

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
38 :  28
Rugby Club Vannes
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

29 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
38 :  22
Ospreys

22 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
17 :  29
Stormers

25 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
30 :  24
Edinburgh Rugby

18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
38 :  28
Rugby Club Vannes

1 Jan 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
32 :  15
Dragons

15 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Scarlets
36 :  18
Black Lion
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

1 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ulster Rugby
30 :  28
Scarlets

15 Feb 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Munster
29 :  8
Scarlets

10 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

Gloucester Rugby
31 :  7
Scarlets

21 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
23 :  22
Scarlets

7 Dec 2024 - Challenge Cup

Aviron Bayonne
17 :  16
Scarlets

13 Jan 2024 - Challenge Cup

Clermont
38 :  17
Scarlets

Ospreys vs Scarlets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Ospreys

50 %

Draw

0 %

Scarlets

50 %

29 Mar 2025 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Scarlets
38 :  22
Ospreys

21 Dec 2024 - United Rugby Championship (URC)

Ospreys
23 :  22
Scarlets

Ospreys - Scarlets Key Points

  1. Ospreys have won six of their last seven home matches.
  2. Ospreys have won their two 2024-25 Challenge Cup home matches, scoring 65 points and conceding 29.
  3. Scarlets have lost their last six away matches.
  4. Scarlets have lost their last four away matches against Ospreys by an average of 15.3 points.
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Our Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction

Ospreys will head into this match as the favorites to win and will have a lot to play for. They will not only be fighting for a sport in the 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but also, to avenge their recent defeat to Scarlets. 

Mark Jones' side have won six of their last seven home matches, including both of their Challenge Cup home matches. They have also won their last four home matches against Scarlets, averaging an impressive 15.3-point winning margin. Hence, our Ospreys vs Scarlets prediction is Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

Prediction :

 

Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction