Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in LaLiga Predictions
Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano sit just one point apart in the La Liga standings, both having already tasted defeat. The two are set to face off on matchday four, and below we have a prediction for the match.
Hosts Osasuna are coming off their second defeat in three matches after falling 1-0 to Espanyol. The hosts’ season started with defeat by a solitary goal at Real Madrid before recovering to beat Valencia.
They couldn’t, however, keep the momentum and were picked out by Espanyol. Having failed to win any of their last three meetings with Rayo further sets out a bleak near future for the hosts.
Rayo have a head-to-head advantage to fight for here, and after the 1-1 draw last time they met, they’ll want to return to winning ways.
The visitors are unbeaten in three matches against Osasuna and have only lost once to them in the latest five meetings. That dominance hasn’t been expressed a lot in away matches against Osasuna, and that will be another area for potential improvement.
Rayo enter this game off the back of a solid performance, from which they settled for a 1-1 draw with league champions Barcelona. Their last away match ended in a 1-0 defeat to Athletic Bilbao.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 2.9 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.63 | 2.88 | 3 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.63 | 2.95 | 2.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.84% for a win of Osasuna against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.82 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano is 11.6% with odds of 3 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Osasuna with odds of 3 at Betfred.
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Prediction and Best Odds:
| Osasuna Rayo Vallecano Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 47.57% | 3 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 58.93% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 24.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 16.56% | 6.5 at Betfair |
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
15 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -2 |
|
16
|
11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -4 |
Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 May 2025 - LaLiga
15 May 2025 - LaLiga
2 May 2025 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2025 - Conference League
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2022 - LaLiga
Players list
S. Herrera
DefenderF. Boyomo
A. Catena
J. Cruz
V. Rosier
MidfielderJ. Moncayola
L. Torro
A. Bretones
ForwardR. Garcia
A. Budimir
I. Benito
A. Batalla
DefenderA. Ratiu
S. Gomez
J. Vertrouwd
P. Chavarria
MidfielderI. Palazon
P. Ciss
Alemao
S. Camello
O. Trejo
ForwardJ. De Frutos
Substitutes
A. Fernandez
DefenderJ. Herrando
MidfielderI. Munoz
A. Osambela
ForwardI. Benito
A. Budimir
R. Garcia
S. Becker
K. Barja
A. Molina
D. Cardenas
DefenderM. de las Sias
I. Balliu
A. Espino
J. Vertrouwd
G. Gumbau
O. Valentin
S. Gomez
O. Trejo
Alemao
S. Camello
Missing players
M. Gomez
A. Mumin
N. Mendy
Most goals and assists
Osasuna
Rayo Vallecano
A. Budimir
(4 Goals)
J. De Frutos
(5 Goals)
,
A. Garcia
(5 Goals)
R. Garcia
(2 Assists)
P. Chavarria
(2 Assists)
, 
A. Ratiu
(2 Assists)
,
U. Lopez
(2 Assists)
,
A. Garcia
(2 Assists)
,
I. Palazon
(2 Assists)
Osasuna - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Not more than a goal was scored in Osasuna’s last four matches.
- Osasuna’s last seven league matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
- Only one of Rayo’s last four league games had over 2.5 goals.
- On average, 2.4 goals were scored in Rayo’s five away games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Rayo Vallecano have dominated this fixture in recent times, though the latest ended in a draw. It also registered under 2.5 goals for the second time in four meetings. This return of goals has been more common in matches involving these two teams.
In Osasuna’s last four matches, none registered more than a goal, while each of the last seven ended with under 2.5 goals. The trend has also been seen in Rayo Vallecano’s matches. Our prediction for Osasuna v Rayo Vallecano is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Osasuna Rayo Vallecano
| Osasuna vs Rayo Vallecano | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna wins | 2 | 2.8 | +40.0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 2.9 | -17.1% |
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 3.6 | 2.8 | -22.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 27.8% and is now 35.7% (7.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Osasuna and Rayo Vallecano? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
