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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs will fight for a final place in the second game of the NBA Cup semifinal. Regarding the best bet, we’re backing reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to clear 30 points in this match prediction.
SGA is second in PPG this season with 32.6, only behind Luka Doncic. And it's no surprise that he's featured amongst the advanced leaders in several offensive categories this season. Shai has the highest overall rating, dominating the charts with 21.5. In addition, SGA has the 6th-highest offensive rating, with 125.4 so far.
His usage rating of 32.1 (third-highest) in the best team in the entire league this season also ensures that Shai consistently racks up points. In his 24 games this season, SGA has scored 30+ points in 19 games, failing to do so in only 5 games.
And in the five games he didn't make up to 30+ points, Shai played under 30 minutes, which will be unlikely in this semifinal game. Even without Wembanyama, the Spurs have still been a deadly team this season, and they proved with a shock 132-119 win over the Lakers in the quarterfinal. Doncic's 35-point heroics couldn't secure the win for LA. Unless there's an early blowout, SGA will likely feature in all four quarters in this final-deciding game.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 4.5 |
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1.22 | 4.2 |
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1.2 | 4.33 |
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1.23 | 4.4 |
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|
1.22 | 4.4 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs match is: SGA scores over 29.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs game on 13/12/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 74.37% chance to pick up the win against San Antonio Spurs according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.23.
- There is a probability of 25.63% ⭐ for San Antonio Spurs to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.96 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 16 |
|
5
|
0.708 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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12 Nov 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Dec 2025 - NBA
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28 Nov 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- SGA has the highest net rating in the league (21.5).
- Shai has the 3rd-highest usage rating (32.1) and 6th-highest offensive rating (125.4).
- SGA has averaged 32.6 points per game in 33.4 minutes per game.
- SGA has scored 30+ points in 19 of 15 games this season, and in his last two against the Spurs.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
The Thunder should understand that the 17-7 Spurs are not a team to underestimate, especially after they just knocked out the Lakers without their best player. Because of this, SGA will likely play 30+ minutes, especially if the Spurs maintain the distance all through the game.
And with the highest net rating plus one of the highest usage and offensive ratings, you can expect him to lead the attack and emerge as the top scorer in this game. Hence, our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction is that SGA scores over 29.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
