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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The NBA Finals are here, and the Oklahoma City Thunder will look to make home advantage count in Game 1 when they play host to the Indiana Pacers at the Paycom Center on Thursday. OKC ended the regular season as the top seed in the Western Conference, while the Pacers finished fourth in the East. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are returning to the NBA finals for the first time in 13 years, having taken down the Grizz (4-0), Nuggets (4-3) and Timberwolves (4-1) in the postseason.
OKC’s defence has been the cornerstone of their success this season, as they strangle opponents, while forcing the most turnovers per game of any team in the league.
On offence, the Thunder are led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who is averaging 29.8 points per game in the postseason, while Jalen Williams has provided the MVP with excellent support, averaging 20.4 PPG.
Meanwhile, the Indiana Pacers have brought a 26-year wait to an end by reaching the Finals, beating the Bucks (4-1), Cavaliers (4-1) and Knicks (4-2).
While Pascal Siakam was awarded MVP in the Eastern Conference final, it is Tyrese Haliburton who has been the creative spark in this team, averaging 18.8 PPG and a stunning 9.8 assists per game in the postseason.
OKC won the regular season series 2-0, with SGA averaging 39.0 PPG on 55.6% shooting, along with 8.0 assists and 7.0 rebounds in those matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Indiana Pacers Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.2 | 4.75 |
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1.21 | 4.6 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.18 | 4.6 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers match is: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers game on 05/06/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 60.73% chance to pick up the win against Indiana Pacers according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.22.
- There is a probability of 39.27% ⭐ for Indiana Pacers to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 5 at Bwin.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers Last Matches
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5/6 (83%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Indiana Pacers Key Points
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ranks first among qualified players for PPG this season (32.7).
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the top scorer in the postseason with 29.8 PPG.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 30.9 PPG in home games in the postseason.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 39.0 PPG in the regular season series against the Pacers.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction
The Thunder will be without Nikola Topic for the Finals, while the Pacers are down Isaiah Jackson and Jarace Walker is set to miss the first two games due to an ankle injury.
OKC won the two matches between these sides in the regular season by six and 21 points, respectively, and somewhat unsurprisingly, it was their star man, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who led the way with 39.0 PPG. The reigning MVP has put up 30+ points per game since the West semi-finals, and we feel he will power the Thunder to a 1-0 lead in this series. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers prediction is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 32.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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