Tip Norway - Slovenia
They may have missed out on qualifying for the World Cup but 2018 has been a fairly successful year for Norway. They won their first four games of the year beating three teams who did make it to Russia.(Australia, Iceland and Panama), Their opening UEFA Nations League game saw then record a fifth victory of the year as they beat Cyprus 2-0 at home thanks to two goals from Stefan Johansen. Their unbeaten run ended with a 1-0 loss away to Bulgaria and they need to get a win here to keep the pressure on the Bulgarians. Home form is strong with an eight-game unbeaten run stretching over a two-year period. Norway have won all three previous home games against their opponents and they have only lost once to them.
Slovenia are bottom of the group after losing their first two games in this group. They lost 2-1 at home to Bulgaria and then had heartbreak in Cyprus, taking a second-half lead but losing out to a 89th minute Stojanovic own-goal. They've been on a bad run for a while now with just one win (in Montenegro) in their last seven games. Away from home they have three wins in the last 14 including victory over San Marino. They need to get something from this game or they will be even stronger favourites to finish bottom and be relegated to League D. That doesn't look like happening and the tip here is to go for Norway to get the home win.
Key points Norway - Slovenia
Norway are unbeaten in their last eight home games.
Slovenia have only won one of their last seven matches.
Norway have won all of their three previous home games against Slovenia.
Conclusion Norway - Slovenia
Norway are second in the group and nothing but a win will be good enough for them in this home match against Cyprus. They haven't lost at home for the past two years and have already won one home game in this group. Slovenia have been struggling for form all year and relegation to League D is looking likely, especially if they lose this match. The tip is for a Norway home win.
Norway Slovenia Prediction published on October 10, 2018