Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
Northern Ireland end their World Cup group campaign with a home game against Luxembourg. The Irish side will finish third in this group regardless of how this match progresses but they could still reach the finals. Our match prediction will explain why.
Friday saw Northern Ireland lose 1-0 in Slovakia. That has left them in third and six points behind second spot. However, they will be in the play-offs because of their Nations League record. They finished top of their group in League C and that also included Luxembourg who they beat at home.
Northern Ireland therefore still have a chance of reaching their first World Cup Finals since 1986. They will be fully expecting to end the group with their third win. One of those victories came in the reverse fixture against Luxembourg, winning 3-1.
Luxembourg are yet to earn a point in this group. All five games have been lost with just one goal scored. On Friday evening they were beaten 2-0 by Germany who top the group on goal difference from Slovakia.
Luxembourg have only scored once in their last seven internationals. They have failed to score in their last two visits to Belfast.
We tip Northern Ireland to win to nil.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Northern Ireland v Luxembourg Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.31 | 4.16 | 9.25 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.15 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.12 | 4.76 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.1 | 4.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Northern Ireland and Luxembourg?
Our prediction for the Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg match is: Northern Ireland wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/11/2025 between Northern Ireland and Luxembourg in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.64% for a win of Northern Ireland against Luxembourg with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg is 22.69% with odds of 4.16 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland with odds of 9.25 at 1xbet.
Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Northern Ireland Luxembourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 66.64% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 61.78% | 1.83 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 65.63% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Northern Ireland | 30.98% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Form
Northern Ireland and Luxembourg's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +1 |
|
4
|
0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 |
Northern Ireland and Luxembourg Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
25 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
Northern Ireland against Luxembourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
J. Clarke
L. Southwood
DefenderR. Johnson
E. Toal
MidfielderT. Devlin
R. McCausland
P. Smyth
P. Kelly
J. Devenny
ForwardC. Marshall
J. Magennis
D. Charles
L. Fox
T. Pereira
DefenderE. Dzogovic
V. Selimovic
MidfielderM. Mustafic
J. Cruz
S. Thill
E. Veiga
ForwardA. Curci
K. Avdusinovic
A. Djabi Embalo
E. Muratovic
Most goals and assists
Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
J. Reid
(1 Goals)
,
S. Charles
(1 Goals)
,
J. Devenny
(1 Goals)
,
I. Price
(1 Goals)
,
T. Hume
(1 Goals)
,
J. Donley
(1 Goals)
A. Dardari
(1 Goals)
Northern Ireland - Luxembourg Key Points
- Luxembourg have failed to score in their last five matches.
- Northern Ireland's last two home games against Luxembourg were both won to nil.
- Luxembourg have only scored in two of their last eight away games.
- Northern Ireland have kept a clean sheet in seven of their last nine home matches.
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Our Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg Prediction
Northern Ireland have lost their last two games but could still make the finals. Their Nations League record has kept them alive and they will want to get a confidence boosting victory over Luxembourg before the play-offs.
The Irish side aren't easy to beat on home soil and they did beat second-placed Slovakia. Luxembourg will finish bottom of this group and are yet to earn a point. They look set to lose again in Belfast. Our Northern Ireland v Luxembourg prediction is Northern Ireland wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Northern Ireland Luxembourg
| Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Ireland wins | 1.3 | 1.91 | +46.9% |
| Draw | 5 | 4.16 | -16.8% |
| Luxembourg wins | 10 | 9.25 | -7.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Northern Ireland is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 46.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.9% and is now 52.4% (-24.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Northern Ireland vs. Luxembourg game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
