Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open
ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the highest remaining seed in the Chengdu Open. The second seed takes on in-form qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili in the last four of this tournament. Fokina is in the form to win this but our prediction is he'll do so with more than 21.5 games played.
Last year saw Alejandro Davidovich Fokina reach three ATP Tour finals on this surface, losing them all. This year has seen him win one grass court tournament in Mallorca. This is his second ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-final of the year. The other was in Adelaide at the start of 2026.
This is his first tournament since the end of July. Wins have come against unseeded Juan Manuel Cerundolo and qualifier Alexandre Muller without a set being lost.
There's been one previous match between these players. Basilashvili won that in three sets, despite failing to win a game in set one. That was played five years ago on an indoor hard court.
Nikoloz Basilashvili has had to win five matches to reach this semi-final, two in qualifying. This is the first time in 2026 that he has made it past round one of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year. All five of his wins have come in straight sets, most recently beating Jenson Brooksby in the last eight.
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Nikoloz Basilashvili v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.3 | 1.3 |
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3.45 | 1.32 |
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|
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3.42 | 1.31 |
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3.42 | 1.31 |
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|
|
3.5 | 1.3 |
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Who will win the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 28/09/2026 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 37.76% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 62.24% probability of winning facing Nikoloz Basilashvili ⭐ with odds of 1.33 at Shangrila.
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 37.76 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | 37.76 % |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 62.24 % |
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form
Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
23 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
22 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
25 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
26 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
16 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
5 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points
- Fokina was 29th in the latest rankings, 116 places above his opponent.
- Fokina has played more than 21.5 games in four of his last six matches.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in each of the last three matches Basilashvili has played.
- Before this week, Basilashvili had failed to get past the first round of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament in 2026.
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Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction
It's not been a good year on hard courts for Nikoloz Basilashvili. Before this week, he had only won four of 14 played in 2026, but he's won five in Chengdu to reach this semi-final. Now he faces his toughest battle with this match against the second seed.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is attempting to reach his fifth ATP Tour final on this surface. Like his opponent, he is yet to drop a set in this tournament. Looking at the stats, our Nikoloz Basilashvili v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.