Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 145 Georgia
Nikoloz Basilashvili
28/09/2026 05:00
ATP 29 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is the highest remaining seed in the Chengdu Open. The second seed takes on in-form qualifier Nikoloz Basilashvili in the last four of this tournament. Fokina is in the form to win this but our prediction is he'll do so with more than 21.5 games played.

Last year saw Alejandro Davidovich Fokina reach three ATP Tour finals on this surface, losing them all. This year has seen him win one grass court tournament in Mallorca. This is his second ATP Tour outdoor hard court semi-final of the year. The other was in Adelaide at the start of 2026.

This is his first tournament since the end of July. Wins have come against unseeded Juan Manuel Cerundolo and qualifier Alexandre Muller without a set being lost.

There's been one previous match between these players. Basilashvili won that in three sets, despite failing to win a game in set one. That was played five years ago on an indoor hard court.

Nikoloz Basilashvili has had to win five matches to reach this semi-final, two in qualifying. This is the first time in 2026 that he has made it past round one of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament this year. All five of his wins have come in straight sets, most recently beating Jenson Brooksby in the last eight.

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Nikoloz Basilashvili v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.3 1.3
1xbet
3.45 1.32
Melbet
3.42 1.31
Betwinner
3.42 1.31
Bet365
3.5 1.3
Check all Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

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Who will win the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina match is: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina game on 28/09/2026 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 37.76% chance to win against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.5.
  • Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has a 62.24% probability of winning facing Nikoloz Basilashvili ⭐ with odds of 1.33 at Shangrila.

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 37.76 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Nikoloz Basilashvili37.76 %
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina62.24 %

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Form

Nikoloz Basilashvili and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last Matches

Nikoloz Basilashvili Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Jenson Brooksby
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

25 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  0
Botic Van De Zandschulp

24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

23 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  0
Federico Cina

22 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2 :  0
Hanlei Lu

25 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open

Seong Chan Hong
2 :  0
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

26 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

16 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Alex Molcan
2 :  1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marco Trungelliti
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

5 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

3 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
3 :  0
Marton Fucsovics
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Key Points

  1. Fokina was 29th in the latest rankings, 116 places above his opponent.
  2. Fokina has played more than 21.5 games in four of his last six matches.
  3. More than 21.5 games have been played in each of the last three matches Basilashvili has played.
  4. Before this week, Basilashvili had failed to get past the first round of an ATP Tour outdoor hard court tournament in 2026.
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Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

It's not been a good year on hard courts for Nikoloz Basilashvili. Before this week, he had only won four of 14 played in 2026, but he's won five in Chengdu to reach this semi-final. Now he faces his toughest battle with this match against the second seed.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is attempting to reach his fifth ATP Tour final on this surface. Like his opponent, he is yet to drop a set in this tournament. Looking at the stats, our Nikoloz Basilashvili v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5.

Prediction :

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina wins and more than 21.5

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.