Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction & Betting Tips - Almaty Open

ATP - Almaty Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili Georgia
Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP 128
23/10/2026 02:30
Adrian Mannarino France
Adrian Mannarino ATP 79

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

There have been plenty of surprise results in this indoor hard court Almaty Open. As a result, we're already guaranteed an unseeded finalist. It could even be a qualifier with Nikoloz Basilashvili playing unseeded Adrian Mannarino in the last eight. Mannarino beat Andrey Rublev in the last round and our prediction is he will win here.

The winner will take on either Stefanos Tsitsipas or James Duckworth in the last eight, both unseeded.

Adrian Mannarino has won eight of his 12 indoor hard court matches played this year. He was the runner-up in Montpellier and won this tournament six years ago with a final in 2023.  Round one saw him beat Aleksandar Vukic in three sets. A deciding set was also needed as he beat the fourth seed Andrey Rublev in the last 16.

Mannarino leads Basilashvili 3-1 in previous meetings and 2-1 on indoor hard courts.

Nikoloz Basilashvili hasn't beaten his opponent in the last nine years. The pair met in the recent Shanghai Masters and Basilashvili retired in the second set.

Back fit again, he has had four wins so far in this tournament. He won both of his qualifying matches in straight sets. That pattern has continued in the main draw. Round one saw him beat Marin Cilic and he then defeated clay court specialist Facundo Diaz Acosta.

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Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus
Stake
1.65 2.16
1xbet
1.69 2.22
Melbet
1.68 2.20
Betwinner
1.67 2.20
Bet365
1.67 2.20
Check all Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino odds

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Who will win the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino match is: Adrian Mannarino wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino game on 23/10/2026 of the current Almaty Open season:

  • Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 60.12% chance to win against Adrian Mannarino according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.86.
  • Adrian Mannarino has a 39.88% probability of winning facing Nikoloz Basilashvili ⭐ with odds of 2.22 at 1xbet.

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Nikoloz Basilashvili has a 60.12 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Nikoloz Basilashvili60.12 %
Adrian Mannarino39.88 %

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Form

Nikoloz Basilashvili and Adrian Mannarino Last Matches

Nikoloz Basilashvili Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Facundo Diaz Acosta
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

19 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Marin Cilic
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

18 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Adam Walton
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

17 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Taro Daniel
0 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

6 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Liam Draxl
1 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili

5 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Andre Ilagan
1 :  2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Adrian Mannarino Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev

19 Oct 2026 - Almaty Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Aleksandar Vukic

11 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Adrian Mannarino

9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  1
Flavio Cobolli

29 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
0 :  2
Pablo Carreño-Busta

28 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  2
Adrian Mannarino
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Adrian Mannarino Key Points

  1. Mannarino has won his last three matches against Basilashvili.
  2. Mannarino leads his opponent 2-1 on this surface.
  3. Mannarino beat the fourth seed in the last round.
  4. Basilashvili last beat Mannarino in 2017 and recently lost to him in Shanghai.
  5. Mannarino has twice reached the final in Almaty, winning the title in 2020.
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Our Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino Prediction

Adrian Mannarino has already reached one ATP Tour indoor hard court final this year. He has been in good form again in Almaty which is a tournament he has fond memories of. 2020 saw him win the title and he was the runner-up here in 2023. Round two saw him beat the fourth seed Andrey Rublev.

He also has a good record against Nikoloz Basilashvili, winning their last three matches. Basilashvili had to retire in his recent loss to Mannarino in Shanghai. This may go to three sets but our Nikoloz Basilashvili v Adrian Mannarino prediction is Adrian Mannarino wins.

Prediction :

 

Adrian Mannarino wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.