Nice vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
PSG return to Ligue 1 action after a successful outing in Europe and travel to lowly Nice this weekend. After 26 rounds of play, PSG sit atop the standings, having won more than double the number of games their hosts, in 15th, have. Let's look at our prediction for this match.
Though they find themselves just above the relegation zone, Nice are much safer than their position suggests. Claude Puel’s men are eight points clear of the red zone, having accumulated 27 points thanks to seven wins and six draws.
They, however, cannot rest on their laurels, as mathematically they can still go down. Les Aiglons got back to winning ways thanks to a 2-0 win over Angers last weekend.
PSG were able to keep their Champions League title defence on track in midweek. Facing Chelsea away in London in the return leg of their round of 16 tie, the Parisiens won to confirm progress to the quarter-finals.
Luis Enrique’s men had won the first leg at home and went on to win the tie 8-2 on aggregate after a dominant 3-0 victory at Stamford Bridge.
Paris were not in action in the league last weekend and have a game in hand. They lost 3-1 to Monaco in their last league outing and now only have a one-point cushion at the top of the table.
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Nice v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.6 | 5.2 | 1.46 |
|
|
8.1 | 5.65 | 1.33 |
|
|
6.8 | 5.1 | 1.41 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.8 | 1.45 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nice and PSG?
Our prediction for the Nice vs PSG match is: over 2.5 goals and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2026 between Nice and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.91% for a win of Nice against PSG with odds of 8.1 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nice vs PSG is 23.96% with odds of 5.65 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.14% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Nice with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
Nice - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nice PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 53.14% | 1.51 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.43% | |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 22.46% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Nice vs PSG Form
Nice and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
16
|
32 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -23 |
Nice and PSG Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Nice vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
15 May 2024 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2024 - French Cup
15 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
Nice against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 3 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
M. Dupe
DefenderA. Abdi
K. Oppong
MidfielderD. Coulibaly
C. Vanhoutte
T. Louchet
K. Boudache
T. Gouveia
Kevin Carlos
L. Chevalier
R. Marin
DefenderBeraldo
Marquinhos
MidfielderD. Fernandez
G. Ramos
I. Mbaye
O. Dembele
Missing players
M. Abdelmoneim
M. Bombito
MidfielderT. Ndombele
I. Jansson
Everton
ForwardM. Cho
A. Hakimi
MidfielderF. Ruiz
J. Neves
ForwardB. Barcola
Q. Ndjantou
Most goals and assists
Nice
PSG
S. Diop
(8 Goals)
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
J. Clauss
(5 Assists)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
Nice - PSG Key Points
- Both teams scored in six of PSG's last 10 matches.
- PSG have scored three or more goals five times in their last 10 games.
- In their last 10 outings, Nice have conceded two or more goals five times.
- PSG have conceded in seven of their last 10 road fixtures in the league.
- Nice have found the net six times in their last eight games at home.
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Our Nice vs PSG Prediction
Our prediction for Nice v PSG is for over 2.5 goals and BTTS. PSG are not only the most potent team in France but are also one of the more free-flowing attacking sides in Europe. They showed this in midweek in the Champions League.
With the distraction of the UCL now off the menu for a bit, Paris can focus fully on their title charge. They will want to send a statement with a big win this weekend. Nice, on their part, possesses one of the most porous backlines, which has made conceding three goals an almost everyday occurrence.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nice PSG
| Nice vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins | 7.2 | 8.1 | +12.5% |
| Draw | 5.35 | 5.65 | +5.6% |
| PSG wins | 1.37 | 1.51 | +10.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.0% and is now 66.2% (-6.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
