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07 September 2020 - 14:45 

- Day 2

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
VS
Italy

Prediction :

Draw

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Netherlands vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Prediction

The Netherlands’ resurgence continued with their 1-0 win over Poland in their opening game of the 2020/21 UEFA Nations League and they will have a second straight home match in Round 2, against Italy. Ahead of the game, Netherlands have an early lead in Group 1 of League A after the win over Poland. Meanwhile, Italy played to a 1-1 draw with Bosnia-Herzegovina at home. For the Dutch, their game against Poland lacked the expected spark but Steven Bergwijn got the all important goal in the 61st minute which means Netherlands are now unbeaten in their last seven matches. They have three straight clean sheets now and the improving defence has seen them keep four in the last six matches. It has been painful for the Dutch in the past few years; they missed the last European Championships and World Cup finals and the team is in a restructuring process. They have a new coach as well and the good start against Poland was key. They topped a group that had France and Germany in the last Nations League campaign and only lost to Portugal in the final. They will be seeking a repeat of the same run this time, and to go a step higher by lifting it. They have a great home record, and head here with three straight home wins. In their last 13 home matches across all competitions, Netherlands have 11 wins and two losses. In the Euro 2020 qualifying campaign they also did well, to finish second in Group C two points behind Germany. The last five meetings between these two nations were all friendly matches and Netherlands have no win in the five. They have lost two and three have ended in draws. However, in the last competitive meeting between the two, in 2008, Netherlands carried the day at the European Championships, hitting Italy 3-0.

Italy are also seeking a rise after missing the 2018 World Cup – the first in 60 years. It was a painful period for the Italians but they restructured and are now back to their best. They won every single game of their Euro 2020 qualifying campaign and will be hoping for another good ride in the Nations League. The team had a slow start to the Nations League campaign though, and needed to come from behind at home to Bosnia Herzegovina after Edin Dzeko’s goal for the visitors. Stefano Sensi did get the equalizer but for a side that had a perfect run in the Euro qualifiers, it was sensible that they were disappointed by the result. Ahead of the draw, Italy had gone on a run of 11 straight wins and it was the first time they scored less than two goals in a game for the last 11 matches. They have six straight away wins and will feel they can match the Dutch in this clash. In their Nations League campaign in 2018/19, Italy managed one win in four games, and finished second. This time they aim to do better and the run in the Euro qualifiers should be the inspiration.

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Netherlands vs Italy Form

Netherlands and Italy's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Italy
Italy
12 6 3 3 0 5
2
Netherlands
Netherlands
11 6 3 2 1 3

Netherlands and Italy Last Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands Last matches
W W W D W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
1 :  0
Poland

19 Nov 2019 - Euro

Netherlands
5 :  0
Estonia

16 Nov 2019 - Euro

Northern Ireland
0 :  0
Netherlands

13 Oct 2019 - Euro

Belarus
1 :  2
Netherlands

10 Oct 2019 - Euro

Netherlands
3 :  1
Northern Ireland

9 Sep 2019 - Euro

Estonia
0 :  4
Netherlands
Italy
Italy Last matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
4.17
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
3.67
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina

18 Nov 2019 - Euro

Italy
9 :  1
Armenia

15 Nov 2019 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
0 :  3
Italy

15 Oct 2019 - Euro

Liechtenstein
0 :  5
Italy

12 Oct 2019 - Euro

Italy
2 :  0
Greece

8 Sep 2019 - Euro

Finland
1 :  2
Italy

Netherlands against Italy : Head to Head (H2H)

Netherlands

0 %

Draw

50 %

Italy

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

4 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Netherlands

28 Mar 2017 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
1 :  2
Italy
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Netherlands against Italy Lineups: Starting 11

Netherlands

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
J. Cillessen
12
H. Hateboer
3
J. Veltman
4
V. Van Dijk
5
N. Ake
15
M. De Roon
20
D. van de Beek
21
F. De Jong
8
G. Wijnaldum
10
M. Depay
11
Q. Promes
10
L. Insigne
17
C. Immobile
11
N. Zaniolo
20
M. Locatelli
8
Jorginho
18
N. Barella
4
L. Spinazzola
3
G. Chiellini
19
L. Bonucci
5
D. D-Ambrosio
21
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Italy

Netherlands - Italy Key Points

  1. Four of the last five meetings between these two nations have produced under 2.5 goals.
  2. Netherlands have no win in the last five meetings with Italy
  3. Italy have 11 wins in their last 12 matches.
  4. Italy have six straight away wins
  5. Netherlands have 11 wins and two losses in 13 home matches
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Our Netherlands vs Italy Prediction

Both Netherlands and Italy are restructuring and have registered very positive results in recent matches. Netherlands had a good run in the last Nations League campaign and Euro qualifiers and Italy comes to this game on the back of a great run in the Euro qualifiers so we expect a tough game here. Matches between the two sides have not had a lot of goals in their recent meetings and with the quality in the teams, we expect a cautious approach in this game. Netherlands have 11 wins in 13 home matches while Italy head here on six straight away wins and looking at these stats we expect a balanced fight in the clash thus a draw would be a good pick.

Prediction :

Draw

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Netherlands vs Italy Prediction

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