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01 August 2020 - 14:45 

- Day 38

Italy - Serie A

Napoli
VS
Lazio

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Napoli vs Lazio Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Serie A Prediction

Napoli will have their final league match at home to SS Lazio this Saturday, wrapping up what has been a tough season for the hosts. No matter the result here, Napoli are going to finish seventh while Lazio are seeking a win that could drive them from fourth to second. Napoli suffered a 2-0 loss to Inter in their last match, which was away from home and with a three-match winless away run, they will be glad to end their campaign at home. Just to highlight how low their season has been, Napoli have finished second in three of their last four Serie A campaigns, and have not finished outside the top six since finishing 12th in 2008/09 season. The biggest undoing for Napoli this season has been a leaking defence; they have conceded 49 goals in their 37 matches so far and have managed just seven clean sheets in the process. In the last 10 league matches, they have one clean sheet, which came against Sassuolo and in that match their visitors had four goals disallowed. Home form should do it for them though, as they head to this clash unbeaten in their last six league matches at home and have scored two or more in each of these. However, their defensive challenges remain, even when playing at home – Napoli have one clean sheet in their last 12 home league matches.

As for Lazio, finishing second seems to be a big motivation, even though that is not entirely in their hands. They finished eighth last season and have not managed a higher finish than third since winning the title in 2000. This is Lazio’s last match and we feel they will give their all, looking at the recent run, as they come here packed with three straight wins. Lazio have failed to score in two of their last 15 league matches and will want to take advantage of Napoli’s shaky defence. They have just two clean sheets in the last 11 league matches, which shows they are also vulnerable at the back and with one win in their last four away matches, they will hope to do better in Naples. Away from home in the league this season, Lazio have managed three clean sheets. In their last match, Joaquin Correa and Ciro Immobile combined to deliver a 2-0 win over Brescia, who are already relegated but this time it will be a bigger challenge.

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Napoli vs Lazio Form

Napoli and Lazio's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4
Lazio
Lazio
78 38 24 6 8 37
7
Napoli
Napoli
62 38 18 8 12 11

Napoli and Lazio Last Matches

Napoli
Napoli Last matches
D D W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.67
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
1.33
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

28 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Napoli

25 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Sassuolo

22 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Napoli

19 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Udinese

15 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  1
Napoli

12 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
AC Milan
Lazio
Lazio Last matches
L D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

29 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Brescia

26 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  5
Lazio

23 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Cagliari

20 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Lazio

15 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Sassuolo

Napoli against Lazio : Head to Head (H2H)

Napoli

83 %

Draw

0 %

Lazio

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
3
BTTS
67%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

21 Jan 2020 - Coppa Italia

Napoli
1 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2020 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Napoli

20 Jan 2019 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Lazio

18 Aug 2018 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Napoli

10 Feb 2018 - Serie A

Napoli
4 :  1
Lazio

20 Sep 2017 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  4
Napoli
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Napoli against Lazio Lineups: Starting 11

Napoli

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

25
D. Ospina
22
G. Di Lorenzo
44
K. Manolas
26
K. Koulibaly
6
M. Rui
8
F. Ruiz
68
S. Lobotka
20
P. Zielinski
7
J. Callejon
14
D. Mertens
24
L. Insigne
17
C. Immobile
11
J. Correa
77
A. Marusic
10
L. Alberto
16
M Parolo
21
S. Milinkovic-Savic
29
M. Lazzari
33
F. Acerbi
3
L. Felipe
4
Patric
1
T. Strakosha

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Lazio

Napoli - Lazio Key Points

  1. Lazio have scored in 13 of their last 15 league matches.
  2. Lazio have three clean sheets in 18 away league matches
  3. Napoli have six wins in the last seven meetings between these two sides.
  4. Napoli have one clean sheet in their last 10 league matches.
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Our Napoli vs Lazio Prediction

This will be the third meeting between these two sides this season; Lazio won in the league meeting while Napoli carried the day in the Coppa Italia. It has not been a good season for Napoli and going to this game, they have nothing but home pride to play for. Having a Champions League game in the horizon, Gennaro Gattuso may want to rest key players but one factor they will carry is that even with their best, they have been weak defensively. The same applies to Lazio; they have not been the best in defence, and as they push for a win, in the bid to finish second, they may leave spaces at the back. The two sides do not have many clean sheets and we are backing them both to score here so a bet of over 2.5 goals could do.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Napoli vs Lazio Prediction

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