Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Monza
28/10/2026 15:45
Napoli

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Napoli will be looking to improve on their away form when they travel to 15th-placed Monza for their next Serie A outing. The former champions are struggling in Serie A and currently sit 10th, 11 points adrift of the league leaders. Monza’s recent matches have been high-scoring, and our prediction heads the same direction here.

Monza have to protect themselves against a sharp attack here, but they have a porous Napoli defence to trouble. This should be an interesting game, as the Biancorossi have good attacking numbers lately.

Across their last five matches, Monza managed 11 goals, which includes a recent 4-0 win against Cagliari. They are coming off a hard-fought 3-2 defeat at Torino.

Napoli have largely been let down by their defence this season. Twice in their last outing, they let their lead slip against AS Roma only to earn a point in a 3-3 draw.

That marked the third game in four outings that they conceded three or more goals. They’ve, however, been great in attack and have scored 3+ in three of their latest five outings.

While they recorded three clean sheets in four meetings with Monza, Napoli will have to work harder for that here. The Partenopei haven’t managed a clean sheet in four matches, conceding an average of 2.5 goals in the process.

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Monza v Napoli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
4.40 3.95 1.71
1xbet
4.53 4.06 1.82
Melbet
4.36 3.90 1.76
Betwinner
4.36 3.90 1.76
22bet
4.36 3.90 1.76
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What is the prediction for the football match between Monza and Napoli?

Our prediction for the Monza vs Napoli match is: over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/10/2026 between Monza and Napoli in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.38% for a win of Monza against Napoli with odds of 4.53 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Monza vs Napoli is 20.17% with odds of 4.06 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Napoli vs Monza with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.

Monza vs Napoli Form

Monza and Napoli's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Napoli
11 8 3 2 3 +3
15 Monza
7 8 2 1 5 -3

Monza and Napoli Last Matches

Monza
Monza Last matches
L W D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
3 :  2
Monza

19 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Monza
4 :  0
Cagliari

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  1
Monza

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
2 :  2
Monza

18 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Sassuolo

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza
L D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

19 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Monza
4 :  0
Cagliari

18 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Sassuolo

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  3
Udinese

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Monza
3 :  0
Avellino

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
3 :  3
Calcio Padova

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Monza
1 :  3
Aris Thessaloniki
W D L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
3 :  2
Monza

11 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  1
Monza

3 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brest
2 :  2
Monza

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
3 :  2
Monza

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Monza

1 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Torino FC
0 :  1
Monza
Napoli
Napoli Last matches
D W L L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  3
Roma

20 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
4 :  3
Bodoe/Glimt

17 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
1 :  0
Napoli

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
3 :  1
Napoli

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  0
Frosinone

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Napoli
L L W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

24 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  3
Roma

20 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
4 :  3
Bodoe/Glimt

10 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
3 :  0
Frosinone

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  0
Bologna

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Napoli
0 :  1
Arsenal

30 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
1 :  2
Como 1907
W W L D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Serie A

Venezia
1 :  0
Napoli

13 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Villarreal
3 :  1
Napoli

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Napoli

5 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  2
Napoli

22 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  2
Napoli

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  3
Napoli

Monza vs Napoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Monza

17 %

Draw

17 %

Napoli

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
16.67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Monza
0 :  1
Napoli

29 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  0
Monza

7 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  4
Napoli

29 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Monza

14 May 2023 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  0
Napoli

21 Aug 2022 - Serie A

Napoli
4 :  0
Monza
Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Monza vs Napoli last Lineups

Monza

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
N. Tornqvist
2
S. Goglichidze
3
L. Lucchesi
44
A. Carboni
19
S. Birindelli
8
M. Foe Ondoa
14
E. Akinsanmiro
7
R. Mangas
47
D. Mota
46
J. Robinson
9
G. Varela
70
N. Lang
19
R. Hojlund
21
M. Politano
8
S. Mctominay
11
K. De Bruyne
99
F. Anguissa
17
M. Olivera
5
B. Badiashile
16
R. Marin
22
G. Di Lorenzo
1
A. Meret

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Napoli

Substitutes

Monza
Monza
Goalkeeper

D. Thiam

A. Strajnar

Defender

E. Kouadio

V. Antov

A. Bakoune

Midfielder

P. Ciurria

I. Toure

M. Folorunsho

A. Colpani

O. Forson

L. Colombo

Forward

P. Cutrone

C. Ngonge

E. Zeballos

M. Mout

Napoli
Napoli
Goalkeeper

V. Milinkovic-Savic

N. Contini

Defender

L. Marianucci

L. Spinazzola

S. Beukema

Midfielder

A. Vergara

S. Lobotka

B. Gilmour

Forward

Giovane

L. Lucca

Missing players

Monza
Monza
Defender

J. Ziolkowski

Midfielder

P. Ciurria

M. Pessina

I. Toure

Napoli
Napoli
Defender

L. Spinazzola

A. Buongiorno

B. Badiashile

Midfielder

C. Favasuli

Forward

D. Neres

A. Santos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Monza
CD Huachipato Napoli
Top Goalscorer
Portugal G. Varela (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium K. De Bruyne (3 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal R. Mangas (2 Assists) , 
Italy S. Birindelli (2 Assists) , 
Portugal D. Mota (2 Assists)
Best assists
Italy M. Politano (2 Assists)

Monza and Napoli Stats in Serie A

Monza
Monza
Napoli
Napoli
25%
Wins
38%
63%
Losses
38%
13%
Draws
25%
4.13
Average goals per match
2.88
1.88
Goals scored per match
1.63
2.25
Goals conceded per match
1.25
13%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
88%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
13%
No goals conceded
38%
88%
BTTS
50%

Monza - Napoli Key Points

  1. Napoli’s last five games produced 21 goals.
  2. Both teams scored in six of Napoli’s last 10 encounters.
  3. Both teams scored in seven of Monza’s last eight league games.
  4. At least three goals have been scored in Monza’s last five league outings.
  5. An average of 2.5 goals have been scored in the last six meetings between these teams.
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Our Monza vs Napoli Prediction

Napoli would on paper go into this game as the favorites but their form this season gives other feelings. Their recent loss to bottom placed Venezia and losing a good lead to draw Roma recently point to their inconsistency.

Monza will see this as the chance to pile pressure on the already struggling Napoli. The newly promoted side has pulled a few surprises recently and surely see an opportunity to frustrate their hosts. Our prediction for Napoli v Monza is for over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.