Europe - Champions League
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by Nella Wagah | in Champions League Predictions
Italian champions Napoli have the chance to improve on their poor start to the Champions League when they face Azerbaijani side Qarabag. While they are expected to be the better side here, Napoli actually start matchday five in position 24 in the league phase. That is nine spots behind Qarabag, who have seven points, three ahead of Napoli’s tally. Let’s have a look at the predictions for this match, which will be hosted at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona.
For the first time in their history, these teams get to face off, and it is also Napoli’s first ever match against an Azerbaijani side. Qarabag are one of the surprise teams to get to this stage and will be looking to pull an even bigger shocker with a win here.
That could move them into the top eight. Qarabag will not have to look too far for motivation coming into this game; they’ve only lost twice in 10 matches in Europe this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Qarabag FK Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 5.75 | 9 |
|
|
1.25 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.3 | 5 | 9.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.26 | 6 | 10.5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Qarabag FK?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Qarabag FK match is: BTTS & Napoli to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/11/2025 between Napoli and Qarabag FK in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.24% for a win of Napoli against Qarabag FK with odds of 1.33 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Qarabag FK is 16.58% with odds of 6 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Qarabag FK vs Napoli with odds of 11.1 at 888Starz.
Napoli vs Qarabag FK Form
Napoli and Qarabag FK's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
24
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -5 |
Napoli and Qarabag FK Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Serie A
25 Oct 2025 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Oct 2025 - Serie A
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Serie A
18 Sept 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - Topaz Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Topaz Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Topaz Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
26 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
4 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Nov 2025 - Topaz Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Topaz Premier League
21 Sept 2025 - Topaz Premier League
16 Sept 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Topaz Premier League
Napoli - Qarabag FK: Form Analysis
Napoli will be happy to take this match at home, as they arrive for the game in poor shape in continental action. Home fans rarely fail them, with the team coming on a run of 19 matches unbeaten at home.
They last lost at home in December 2024 and will complete a whole year without defeat there if they avoid that in three coming home games. Right now the task at hand is key: to go for a second win in the league stage.
Their four points so far have all come at home, through a win against Sporting and, most recently, drawing 0-0 with Eintracht Frankfurt. In their last 19 home matches in the Champions League, Napoli only lost once.
Napoli have 11 wins in their last 19 home matches in the Champions League.
In the last round of this competition, Qarabag took advantage of a weaker Chelsea side to pick up a point. They played to a 2-2 draw at home against the Club World Cup winners.
They will hope to build on that, having suffered a 3-1 loss to Athletic Club in their last away Champions League game. Qarabag will hope to carry into this game the surprise element that saw them claim wins in their opening two matches.
Among those was an away win at Benfica. They have only lost two of their last 10 matches in Europe this season, which means Napoli should treat them with caution. Qarabag are also unbeaten in 11 of their last 12 away matches.
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Napoli vs Qarabag FK last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
A. Meret
DefenderL. Spinazzola
MidfielderK. De Bruyne
B. Gilmour
F. Anguissa
ForwardR. Lukaku
Napoli & Qarabag FK Squad Analysis
Napoli are coming from a 3-1 win against Atalanta, but that came at a cost, as defender Amir Rrahmani limped off injured. The Kosovan left the pitch after 64 minutes and was shortly after followed into the treatment room by Rasmus Hojlund.
These two worsen the injury situation at Napoli with the Belgian duo Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku already out.
Replacing Hojlund could be easier even though the Dane, with two goals in this competition, will be missed. David Neres comes into this match high in confidence, having netted twice in the weekend win.
Napoli will be without Frank Zambo Anguissa, with the midfielder expected back in January.
Qarabag are seeking a first win against an Italian team in the last six matches in Europe.
They lost all three on the road, and to change this, there will be reliance on, among others, Leandro Andrade. The Cape Verde international has scored three goals in the Champions League this season.
He netted in five of Qarabag’s last seven matches in Europe too.
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Qarabag FK
R. Hojlund
(4 Goals)
, 
F. Anguissa
(4 Goals)
, 
S. Mctominay
(4 Goals)
, 
K. De Bruyne
(4 Goals)
D. Neres
(3 Assists)
, 
L. Spinazzola
(3 Assists)
C. Duran
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Zoubir
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Jankovic
(1 Assists)
Napoli and Qarabag FK Stats in Champions League
Napoli - Qarabag FK Key Points
- Both teams scored in five of Napoli’s last eight games at home.
- Qarabag are winless in their past six matches against Italian teams.
- Napoli failed to keep a clean sheet in three of their four UCL matches.
- Napoli have only lost once in their 19 Champions League matches at home.
- Away from home against Italian sides, Qarabag suffered three straight losses.
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Our Napoli vs Qarabag FK Prediction
Though Qarabag have only lost twice in their 10 UEFA matches this season, winning seven, a number of those were against considerably weak opponents. The Azerbaijan side goes into a daunting assignment here. They will, however, be motivated by their scoring draw with Chelsea last time out.
The visitors have a prolific scorer in Leandro Andrade, and he may trouble the Italians. Still, Napoli retain the favorites’ tag, and we expect them to prevail here. The hosts have only lost once in 19 home matches in the Champions League. Our prediction for Napoli v Qarabag is: BTTS & Napoli to win.
Napoli vs Qarabag FK - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5 goals
Qarabag have played nine away matches this season, and five of them have had over 3.5 goals. That includes their latest two matches, one of which was in the Champions League, away to Athletic Bilbao.
Three of their four Champions League matches this season have produced 4+ goals. We could see the same here, given Napoli’s attacking prowess. A total of 13 goals have been scored in Napoli’s four Champions League matches so far. Our second prediction in this match is for over 3.5 goals.
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Napoli vs Qarabag FK match : Frequently asked questions
The Napoli v Qarabag match will be played on Tuesday, 25th November, 2025.
Kevin De Bruyne is out of the Napoli v Qarabag match. He has a thigh injury that sees him ruled out until late January.
The Napoli v Qarabag match will be televised on Sky and Amazon Prime in Italy. It will also be live on CBC Sport and Ictimai TV in Azerbaijan. In the Champions League portal on SportyTrader, you may also get the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
